EQT Corporation · EQT · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

EQT: Strong cash generation, expanding midstream and LNG plans

The latest analysis supports a constructive operating narrative: resilient cash generation, rapid Olympus integration, and contracted midstream, LNG, and power opportunities strengthen the growth case. That case is not settled, because returns remain sensitive to gas prices, LNG supply, project execution, and the pace of capital deployment.

Reported After market closeNYSEEnergy $31.98B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.52 Consensus $0.36
EPS surprise +43.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.82B Consensus $1.81B
Revenue surprise +0.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -4.0% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -3.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +10.1% Up to 20 sessions
EQTSPY benchmark

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What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the focus shifted toward realized Q3 cash generation and operating efficiencies from Olympus integration, while the capex outlook moved from increasing to decreasing. MVP Boost was upsized after an oversubscribed open season, LNG offtake activity advanced, and shareholder-return plans became more prominent; concerns now center on reduced basis hedging, Q4 curtailments, and debt-versus-buyback timing.

Guidance delta

Maintained; no change in guidance sentiment was identified.

Key takeaways

  • EQT reported robust free cash flow despite modest gas prices, while Olympus integration delivered operational improvements and cost savings.
  • MVP Boost expansion was oversubscribed and upsized, with long-term utility contracts supporting midstream growth.
  • Management is advancing LNG offtake, data-center gas supply, and power-related projects while emphasizing low leverage and shareholder returns.
  • The setup remains constructive, but LNG oversupply, gas-price volatility, project execution, and capital-allocation timing are material risks.

Management priorities

  • Integrate Olympus assets and accelerate Deep Utica development.
  • Expand MVP Boost capacity and evaluate Southgate scope.
  • Secure additional LNG offtake and tolling agreements for post-2027 exposure.
  • Pursue data-center gas supply and power-related projects.
  • Maintain low leverage while increasing the dividend and pursuing opportunistic buybacks.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EQT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.65 Q1 '24 actual $0.82, beat Q2 '24 estimate $-0.19 Q2 '24 actual $-0.08, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.05 Q3 '24 actual $0.12, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.42 Q2 '25 actual $0.45, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.36 Q3 '25 actual $0.52, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.76 Q4 '25 actual $0.90, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.08 Q1 '26 actual $2.33, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.41 Q2 '26 actual $0.39, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.41 Q4 '26 estimate $0.86 Q1 '27 estimate $1.30 Q2 '27 estimate $0.61
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy45 ratings
Bullish3066.7%
Neutral1533.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$51.12Previous close
$22Low
$44.19Average
$73High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainSep 29, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainSep 23, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 17, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 14, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 19, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 17, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJun 24, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 23, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainApr 15, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 6, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 27, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 17, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 5, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainFeb 20, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 5, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainDec 12, 2025
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainNov 21, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 22, 2025
Roth Capital Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 18, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainFeb 12, 2025
Tudor Pickering Buy HoldUpgradeJun 20, 2023
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeDec 14, 2022
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 28, 2022
MKM Partners Buy BuyMaintainOct 23, 2020
TD Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 28, 2020
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainMay 8, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainApr 24, 2020
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainApr 20, 2020
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainJan 27, 2020
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 30, 2019
Cowen & Co. Perform Market PerformMaintainApr 9, 2019
Drexel Hamilton Buy BuyMaintainNov 17, 2016
Scotia Howard Weil Sector Perform OutperformDowngradeAug 11, 2016
Deutsche Bank Hold BuyDowngradeJun 14, 2016
GMP Securities Buy BuyMaintainFeb 3, 2016
Seaport Global Accumulate BuyMaintainJan 13, 2016
KLR Group Hold BuyDowngradeApr 20, 2015
ISI Group Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2014
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 15, 2014
Maxim Group Buy BuyMaintainNov 13, 2013
Societe Generale Hold BuyDowngradeMay 22, 2013
Canaccord Genuity Hold HoldMaintainDec 20, 2012
Brean Capital Hold BuyDowngradeMay 2, 2012
Pritchard Capital Partners Buy NeutralUpgradeApr 30, 2012
Ladenburg Thalmann Hold BuyDowngradeDec 8, 2011
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $51.12. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Stifel NicolausDavid Deckelbaum$66$54.62 +29.1%Sep 9, 2026
StephensMike Scialla$72$52.73 +40.8%Jul 22, 2026
StephensMike Scialla$71$49.81 +38.9%Jul 15, 2026
UBSJosh Silverstein$73$51.22 +42.8%Jul 8, 2026
RBC CapitalScott Hanold$49$44.53 -4.1%Dec 3, 2024
StephensMike Scialla$38$37.31 -25.7%Oct 30, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$41$36.94 -19.8%Oct 4, 2024
CitigroupScott Gruber$44$37.26 -13.9%Oct 3, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$43$33.19 -15.9%Sep 16, 2024
CitigroupPaul Diamond$37$32.9 -27.6%Aug 22, 2024
Piper SandlerMark Lear$32$31.48 -37.4%Aug 15, 2024
Wells FargoRoger Read$42$31.15 -17.8%Aug 13, 2024
Piper SandlerMark Lear$43$34.38 -15.9%Jul 25, 2024
Piper SandlerMark Lear$47$35.6 -8.1%Jul 18, 2024
ScotiabankCameron Bean$55$37.11 +7.6%Jul 12, 2024
JefferiesLloyd Byrne$49$36.98 -4.1%Jun 30, 2024
JefferiesLloyd Byrne$48$40.98 -6.1%Jun 3, 2024
Evercore ISIStephen Richardson$50$39.91 -2.2%May 24, 2024
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$47$39.35 -8.1%May 13, 2024
Piper SandlerMark Lear$46$41.05 -10.0%Apr 30, 2024
Wolfe ResearchJosh Silverstein$46$39.43 -10.0%Apr 24, 2024
Piper SandlerMark Lear$41$36.22 -19.8%Apr 19, 2024
Wells FargoRoger Read$37$36.2 -27.6%Apr 17, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$40$36.52 -21.8%Apr 16, 2024
ScotiabankCameron Bean$52$37.71 +1.7%Apr 11, 2024
BernsteinJean Ann Salisbury$34$37.95 -33.5%Apr 10, 2024
JefferiesLloyd Byrne$43$36.76 -15.9%Apr 5, 2024
StephensMike Scialla$36$39.66 -29.6%Jul 13, 2023
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$28$32.65 -45.2%Apr 11, 2023
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$49$33.87 -4.1%Dec 29, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$40$36.91 -21.8%Dec 7, 2022
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$63$41.49 +23.2%Nov 17, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$60$46.56 +17.4%Sep 21, 2022
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$65$46.56 +27.2%Sep 20, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$57$47.89 +11.5%Sep 9, 2022
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$53$47.7 +3.7%Aug 22, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$59$47.72 +15.4%Aug 18, 2022
Piper SandlerMark Lear$59$42.31 +15.4%Aug 2, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$52$45.44 +1.7%Jul 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$48$38.48 -6.1%Jul 19, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$55$38.7 +7.6%Jul 19, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$62$34.2 +21.3%Jul 11, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$50$46.71 -2.2%Jun 13, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$50$47.99 -2.2%Jun 6, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$65$48.32 +27.2%May 31, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$51$39.45 -0.2%May 3, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$41$40.97 -19.8%Apr 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$47$42.32 -8.1%Apr 22, 2022
Cowen & Co.David Deckelbaum$23$19.74 -55.0%Oct 13, 2021
Piper SandlerKashy Harrison$27$20.76 -47.2%Oct 8, 2021
CitigroupKevin Cunane$23$18 -55.0%Aug 30, 2021
Tudor PickeringSameer Panjwani$27$18.28 -47.2%Jul 30, 2021
Credit SuisseWilliam Janela$26$18.58 -49.1%Jul 29, 2021
TD SecuritiesAaron Bilkoski$27$21.04 -47.2%Jun 29, 2021
Goldman SachsNeil Mehta$22$17.28 -57.0%Apr 20, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

EQT Corporation primarily functions as an extractor of natural gas within the United States. In addition to natural gas, the firm also obtains various natural gas liquids (NGLs), specifically ethane, propane, isobutane, butane, and natural gasoline. By the end of 2021, EQT possessed certified reserves amounting to 25.0 trillion cubic feet of natural gas, NGLs, and crude oil. These reserves are situated across roughly 2.0 million gross acres, with a significant 1.7 million gross acres located within the Marcellus shale formation. The company, which dates back to its founding in 1878, has its principal offices in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Historical context

All EQT earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-06T05:30:41.548032+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-06T05:30:41.545069+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.