EOG Resources, Inc. · EOG · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

EOG Resources Beats Q1 2026 Estimates, Raises Guidance on Oil and LNG Strength

EOG Resources delivered a decisive Q1 2026 beat, with EPS of $3.41 (vs $3.23 estimated) and revenue of $6.92B (vs $6.18B estimated), representing surprises of 5.6% and 11.9% respectively. The company generated $1.8B in adjusted net income and $1.5B in free cash flow, returning $950M to shareholders. Management raised guidance, citing capital reallocation toward higher-margin oil and NGLs within a flat $6.5B capex budget, the accretive nCino acquisition (~10% oil production addition), and premium LNG contracts linked to JKM and Brent pricing. Despite the fundamental strength, the stock experienced a -5.7% abnormal move in the session following the report, before recovering +4.6% in subsequent drift. Analyst consensus targets remain well above the current price at $160.44 (vs $139.64), implying meaningful upside if execution holds.

Reported After market closeNYSEEnergy $74.38B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

EOG Resources, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, explores for, develops, produces, and markets crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas in producing basins in the United States, the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago, and internationally. The company also offers crude oil and condensate, and gathering, processing and marketing. The company was formerly known as Enron Oil & Gas Company. EOG Resources, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.41 Consensus $3
EPS surprise +5.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.92B Consensus $6.18B
Revenue surprise +11.9% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EOG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $3.07 Q4 '23 actual $3.07, match Q1 '24 estimate $2.71 Q1 '24 actual $2.82, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.96 Q2 '24 actual $3.16, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.01 Q3 '24 actual $3.44, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.23 Q2 '25 actual $2.32, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.46 Q3 '25 actual $2.71, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.20 Q4 '25 actual $2.27, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.23 Q1 '26 actual $3.41, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.00 Q3 '26 estimate $3.97 Q4 '26 estimate $3.87 Q1 '27 estimate $3.62

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy63 ratings
Bullish3860.3%
Neutral2539.7%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$145.03Current
$65Low
$136.94Average
$196High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJul 21, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 9, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 2, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJul 2, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJul 1, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJun 29, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 27, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 26, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 13, 2026
Bernstein Market Perform Market PerformMaintainMay 11, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainApr 22, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 1, 2026
Freedom Broker Buy BuyMaintainFeb 26, 2026
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainFeb 12, 2026
Keybanc Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeJan 16, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 13, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 6, 2025
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeAug 25, 2025
Raymond James Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainJul 22, 2025
Roth Capital Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 9, 2025
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 23, 2025
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 13, 2025
Benchmark Hold HoldMaintainJan 13, 2025
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeJan 3, 2025
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainApr 30, 2024
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainApr 23, 2024
Goldman Sachs Neutral BuyDowngradeJun 13, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 24, 2023
TD Securities Hold BuyDowngradeDec 15, 2022
Johnson Rice Hold BuyDowngradeDec 5, 2022
CFRA Overweight Market WeightUpgradeSep 29, 2022
MKM Partners Buy BuyMaintainAug 26, 2022
Tudor Pickering Buy HoldUpgradeSep 13, 2021
Northland Capital Markets Perform Market PerformMaintainSep 14, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy HoldUpgradeJun 19, 2020
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainFeb 28, 2020
Edward Jones Hold BuyDowngradeFeb 20, 2020
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 22, 2020
Bank of America Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 7, 2020
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 22, 2019
Imperial Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 28, 2017
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2017
Atlantic Equities Overweight NeutralUpgradeJun 27, 2017
Capital One Financial Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeNov 16, 2016
Capital One Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeNov 16, 2016
CLSA Outperform UnderperformUpgradeNov 15, 2016
Societe Generale Hold BuyDowngradeOct 3, 2016
FBR Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 13, 2016
Wunderlich Securities Buy HoldUpgradeAug 8, 2016
Wunderlich Buy HoldUpgradeAug 8, 2016
Canaccord Genuity Buy HoldUpgradeMay 9, 2016
Cowen & Co. Perform Market PerformMaintainMar 30, 2016
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainMar 29, 2016
GMP Securities Buy BuyMaintainFeb 3, 2016
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainJan 21, 2016
Macquarie Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 20, 2015
Miller Tabak Buy BuyMaintainNov 5, 2014
Guggenheim Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 21, 2014
KLR Group Buy AccumulateMaintainOct 2, 2014
Argus Buy BuyMaintainJul 17, 2014
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 16, 2014
Scotia Howard Weil Sector Perform Sector OutperformDowngradeApr 15, 2014
ISI Group Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 7, 2013
Brean Capital Buy BuyMaintainMay 11, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $145.03. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$158$129.62 +8.9%Jul 2, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$175$128.59 +20.7%Jul 2, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$134$129.73 -7.6%Jul 1, 2026
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$156$132.6 +7.6%Jun 29, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$157$136.2 +8.3%May 27, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$160$141.06 +10.3%May 22, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$196$134.13 +35.1%May 13, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$155$130.03 +6.9%May 11, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$136$134.91 -6.2%May 6, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$149$140.82 +2.7%May 6, 2026
Williams TradingAnalyst unavailable$177$128.43 +22.0%Apr 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$155$149.56 +6.9%Mar 27, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$110$122.52 -24.2%Feb 25, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$123$108.59 -15.2%Jan 28, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$127$107.6 -12.4%Jan 27, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$151$107.53 +4.1%Jan 26, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$128$107.96 -11.7%Jan 23, 2026
BarclaysBetty Jiang$133$109.27 -8.3%Jan 21, 2026
ScotiabankPaul Cheng$123$104.78 -15.2%Jan 16, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$140$110.74 -3.5%Jan 14, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$138$105.44 -4.8%Jan 13, 2026
BernsteinBob Brackett$126$105.59 -13.1%Jan 5, 2026
UBSJosh Silverstein$141$109.22 -2.8%Dec 12, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$134$109.46 -7.6%Dec 12, 2025
Raymond JamesJohn Freeman$153$109.06 +5.5%Dec 3, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$138$107.24 -4.8%Nov 20, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$124$109.57 -14.5%Nov 18, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$129$106.37 -11.1%Oct 21, 2025
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$170$106.22 +17.2%Oct 20, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$144$109.72 -0.7%Oct 13, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$145$108.07 -0.0%Oct 12, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$136$110.45 -6.2%Oct 7, 2025
ScotiabankPaul Cheng$130$117.3 -10.4%Sep 26, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$133$117.54 -8.3%Sep 15, 2025
KeyBancTim Rezvan$138$122.23 -4.8%Sep 3, 2025
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$135$111.34 -6.9%Jun 2, 2025
Piper SandlerMark Lear$133$111.32 -8.3%Apr 22, 2025
Raymond JamesJohn Freeman$140$109.11 -3.5%Apr 21, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$136$129.18 -6.2%Mar 26, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$135$122.19 -6.9%Mar 6, 2025
Williams TradingAnalyst unavailable$154$121.85 +6.2%Mar 5, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$142$120.54 -2.1%Mar 3, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$146$126.94 +0.7%Feb 28, 2025
Wolfe ResearchDoug Leggate$143$124.71 -1.4%Jan 2, 2025
KeyBancTim Rezvan$150$127.28 +3.4%Oct 16, 2024
Wells FargoRoger Read$135$122.93 -6.9%Oct 1, 2024
Evercore ISIStephen Richardson$145$122.44 -0.0%Sep 30, 2024
Piper SandlerMark Lear$147$126.54 +1.4%Aug 15, 2024
CFRAStewart Glickman$146$123.12 +0.7%Aug 5, 2024
SusquehannaBiju Perincheril$159$122.92 +9.6%Aug 5, 2024
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$136$129.09 -6.2%May 16, 2024
Piper SandlerMark Lear$154$129.4 +6.2%May 14, 2024
RBC CapitalScott Hanold$147$129.83 +1.4%May 9, 2024
Stifel NicolausDerrick Whitfield$150$134.2 +3.4%Apr 23, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$140$135.29 -3.5%Apr 15, 2024
BarclaysBetty Jiang$144$137.06 -0.7%Apr 9, 2024
Raymond JamesJohn Freeman$148$121.08 +2.0%Dec 22, 2023
ScotiabankPaul Cheng$145$121.85 -0.0%Apr 13, 2023
J.P. MorganArun Jayaram$153$105.73 +5.5%Mar 23, 2023
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$153$128.71 +5.5%Jan 3, 2023
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$146$125.77 +0.7%Dec 15, 2022
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$125$124.06 -13.8%Dec 13, 2022
Johnson RiceAnalyst unavailable$163$134.14 +12.4%Dec 5, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$171$137.95 +17.9%Nov 28, 2022
Credit SuisseWilliam Janela Analyst$65$147.11 -55.2%Nov 14, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$158$142.31 +8.9%Nov 11, 2022
Credit SuisseWilliam Janela Analyst$160$142.23 +10.3%Nov 7, 2022
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$148$108.49 +2.0%Sep 28, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$139$119.63 -4.2%Sep 21, 2022
KeyBancTim Rezvan$157$120.43 +8.3%Sep 19, 2022
MKM PartnersLeo Mariani Mariani$130$126.28 -10.4%Sep 12, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$164$120.22 +13.1%Aug 31, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$149$127.41 +2.7%Aug 29, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$160$118.9 +10.3%Aug 23, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$167$116.46 +15.1%Aug 18, 2022
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$175$114.49 +20.7%Aug 15, 2022
TD SecuritiesMenno Hulshof$135$98.41 -6.9%Aug 5, 2022
Piper SandlerMark Lear$160$111.22 +10.3%Aug 1, 2022
MKM PartnersLeo Mariani$123$106.3 -15.2%Jul 27, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$150$105.48 +3.4%Jul 26, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$151$101.13 +4.1%Jul 19, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$173$101.24 +19.3%Jul 19, 2022
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$180$99.95 +24.1%Jul 12, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$168$132.73 +15.8%Jun 14, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$175$136.85 +20.7%May 31, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$149$131.4 +2.7%May 25, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$149$117.94 +2.7%May 10, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$148$129.37 +2.0%May 6, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$170$116.12 +17.2%Apr 25, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$152$120.05 +4.8%Apr 22, 2022
ScotiabankPaul Cheng$120$116.8 -17.3%Mar 8, 2022
RBC CapitalScott Hanold$140$119.12 -3.5%Mar 7, 2022
J.P. MorganArun Jayaram$120$113.94 -17.3%Feb 28, 2022
MKM PartnersJohn Gerdes$127$113.94 -12.4%Feb 28, 2022
Siebert Williams Shank & CoGabriele Sorbara$130$106.36 -10.4%Feb 25, 2022
Evercore ISIStephen Richardson$110$106.36 -24.2%Feb 25, 2022
Credit SuisseWilliam Janela$122$106.36 -15.9%Feb 25, 2022
SusquehannaBiju Perincheril$135$111.95 -6.9%Feb 2, 2022
Wolfe ResearchJosh Silverstein$114$83.95 -21.4%Dec 14, 2021
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$121$84.67 -16.6%Dec 13, 2021
UBSLloyd Byrne$122$86.64 -15.9%Nov 17, 2021
Argus ResearchBill Selesky$111$89.64 -23.5%Nov 15, 2021
Tudor PickeringMatthew Portillo$82$67.11 -43.5%Sep 13, 2021
CitigroupScott Gruber$98$77.8 -32.4%Jul 13, 2021
BernsteinBob Brackett$114$79.93 -21.4%Jun 21, 2021
Johnson RiceCharles Meade$105$82.19 -27.6%Jun 8, 2021
Goldman SachsNeil Mehta$80$64.49 -44.8%Apr 20, 2021
Show less

Track every rating change on EOG the moment it posts. Free to start.

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Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -4.4% Event window
SPY move +1.4% Same window
Abnormal move -5.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +4.6% Up to 20 sessions
EOGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

From the prior quarter (Q4 2025), EOG's guidance sentiment shifted from maintained to raised. Capex outlook moved from increasing to stable, with the $6.5B budget held flat while capital was reallocated toward oil and NGLs. The nCino acquisition (~10% oil production gain) and an Eagle Ford bolt-on were new additions this quarter. LNG contracts were newly linked to JKM and Brent pricing indices. The Janus gas processing plant achieved a record 100% utilization month in March. International exploration timeline shifted, with UAE and Bahrain results now expected in H2 2026 rather than Q2. The Encino acquisition synergies of $150M, highlighted last quarter as ahead of schedule, are now fully integrated into the operating base.

Guidance delta

Guidance was raised from the prior quarter's maintained stance. Management plans to increase oil and NGL production while keeping total capex flat at $6.5B. The company committed to returning at least 70% of free cash flow to shareholders. New targets include expanding LNG contract volumes toward ~1 bcf/day, with UAE and Bahrain exploration results expected in H2 2026. Additional acquisitions and bolt-on opportunities remain under consideration.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 2026 EPS of $3.41 beat estimates by 5.6%; revenue of $6.92B beat by 11.9%
  • Adjusted net income of $1.8B and free cash flow of $1.5B, with $950M returned to shareholders
  • Guidance raised: capital reallocated toward oil and NGLs within a flat $6.5B capex budget
  • nCino acquisition adds roughly 10% oil production; Eagle Ford bolt-on also completed
  • LNG contracts secured with pricing linked to JKM and Brent indices
  • Janus gas plant achieved record 100% utilization month in March

Management priorities

  • Increase oil and NGL production while maintaining flat $6.5B capex
  • Expand LNG contract volumes toward ~1 bcf/day
  • Deliver UAE and Bahrain exploration results in H2 2026
  • Return at least 70% of free cash flow to shareholders via dividends and buybacks
  • Pursue further acquisitions and bolt-on opportunities
  • Leverage Corpus Christi export capacity and premium LNG marketing

Related earnings events

Energy

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-29T12:07:45.080210+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-29T12:07:45.077116+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.