EastGroup Properties, Inc. · EGP · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

EastGroup raises 2026 outlook as leasing and acquisitions accelerate

The supplied Q2 analysis supports a constructive operating thesis for EastGroup: record leasing, raised development and acquisition plans, and emerging data-center-adjacent demand strengthen the growth case. The thesis remains contingent on execution, tenant demand, project timing, and market supply.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $10.90B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.40 Consensus $1.31
EPS surprise +6.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $193.3M Consensus $193.6M
Revenue surprise -0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.1% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move +0.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.0% Up to 20 sessions
EGPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management raised guidance, reported record leasing, increased planned development starts and acquisitions, and identified data-center-adjacent leasing as a more prominent demand driver. The supplied analysis also noted specific Phoenix and Austin acquisition activity.

Guidance delta

Management raised 2026 FFO guidance to $9.59 per share, increased development-start guidance to $325 million, and lifted acquisition guidance to $215 million.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported record leasing activity of 3.9 million square feet and strong same-store NOI growth.
  • Data-center-adjacent tenants represented 40% of Q1 development leasing and 20% of Q2 leasing, according to the supplied analysis.
  • The company highlighted Phoenix and Austin acquisitions, including a 143,000-square-foot Phoenix building and five Austin buildings under contract totaling 388,000 square feet.
  • Confidence remained high, but management cited consumer weakness, higher rates, and construction delays as risks.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate development starts toward the $325 million target.
  • Continue targeted acquisitions in high-growth submarkets, including Phoenix and Austin.
  • Pursue data-center-adjacent leasing opportunities while maintaining geographic and tenant diversification.
  • Preserve capital flexibility through equity-sale programs and credit-facility capacity.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EGP EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.05 Q2 '24 actual $2.05, match Q3 '24 estimate $2.10 Q3 '24 actual $2.13, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.20 Q2 '25 actual $2.21, match Q3 '25 estimate $2.28 Q3 '25 actual $2.27, match Q4 '25 estimate $2.33 Q4 '25 actual $2.34, match Q1 '26 estimate $1.20 Q1 '26 actual $1.77, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.31 Q2 '26 actual $1.40, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.36 Q3 '26 actual $1.46, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.39 Q1 '27 estimate $1.33 Q2 '27 estimate $1.36 Q3 '27 estimate $1.41
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy32 ratings
Bullish1753.1%
Neutral1546.9%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$202.7Current
$150Low
$210.29Average
$268High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 12, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainOct 2, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeSep 24, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 1, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 3, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 28, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 16, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 13, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainJul 1, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 27, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 28, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainFeb 6, 2026
Mizuho Neutral OutperformDowngradeDec 4, 2025
Raymond James Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainMay 7, 2025
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 25, 2024
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJun 30, 2022
Berenberg Buy BuyMaintainOct 20, 2021
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Hold HoldMaintainFeb 18, 2020
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainJul 16, 2018
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 16, 2018
Stifel Nicolaus Buy HoldUpgradeJun 1, 2018
Stifel Buy HoldUpgradeJun 1, 2018
BTIG Research Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 25, 2016
Sandler O'Neill Hold BuyDowngradeJul 22, 2016
Credit Suisse Neutral OutperformDowngradeAug 20, 2015
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 10, 2015
Goldman Sachs Neutral BuyDowngradeDec 22, 2014
ISI Group Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 3, 2014
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 22, 2013
Wunderlich Securities Hold BuyDowngradeJul 23, 2012
Wunderlich Hold BuyDowngradeJul 23, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $202.7. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$246$195.98 +21.4%Oct 12, 2026
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$199$195.82 -1.8%Oct 2, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$200$203.61 -1.3%Sep 21, 2026
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$202$198.12 -0.3%Sep 14, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$232$199.5 +14.5%Sep 1, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$220$207.71 +8.5%Aug 3, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$221$209.58 +9.0%Jul 31, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$230$210.84 +13.5%Jul 28, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldRichard Anderson$235$213.1 +15.9%Jul 27, 2026
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$206$214.12 +1.6%Jul 23, 2026
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$268$221.2 +32.2%Jul 21, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$228$213.11 +12.5%Jul 16, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$220$209.62 +8.5%Jul 13, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$235$202.53 +15.9%Jul 1, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$241$197.55 +18.9%Jun 17, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$231$206.98 +14.0%May 27, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$210$202.22 +3.6%Apr 29, 2026
RBC CapitalMichael Carroll$208$200.16 +2.6%Apr 28, 2026
Robert W. BairdNicholas Thillman$210$200.16 +3.6%Apr 28, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldRichard Anderson$217$197.86 +7.1%Apr 27, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$195$199.84 -3.8%Apr 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$215$197.62 +6.1%Apr 16, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$195$190.98 -3.8%Feb 18, 2026
Robert W. BairdNicholas Thillman$203$192.15 +0.1%Feb 11, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$230$189.91 +13.5%Feb 9, 2026
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$188$190.31 -7.3%Feb 6, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldRichard Anderson$210$188.48 +3.6%Feb 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyRonald Kamdem$205$187.94 +1.1%Jan 16, 2026
BarclaysBrendan Lynch$210$183.19 +3.6%Jan 13, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$200$183.5 -1.3%Jan 8, 2026
Deutsche BankOmotayo Okusanya$185$179.9 -8.7%Jan 5, 2026
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$185$180.67 -8.7%Dec 22, 2025
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$220$184.18 +8.5%Dec 12, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$200$179.24 -1.3%Dec 4, 2025
KeyBancTodd Thomas$200$179.24 -1.3%Dec 4, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesVikram Malhotra$172$179.24 -15.1%Dec 4, 2025
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$196$175.91 -3.3%Nov 4, 2025
RBC CapitalMichael Carrol$183$176.19 -9.7%Oct 28, 2025
Industrial Alliance SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$200$178.74 -1.3%Oct 27, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldRichard Anderson$200$178.88 -1.3%Oct 27, 2025
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$207$177.2 +2.1%Oct 27, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$190$169.26 -6.3%Oct 1, 2025
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$180$166.74 -11.2%Sep 15, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$178$164.92 -12.2%Sep 9, 2025
Wells FargoBlaine Heck$215$168 +6.1%Jul 13, 2025
Robert W. BairdNicholas Thillman$190$165.31 -6.3%May 7, 2025
Raymond JamesJonathan Hughes$190$156.6 -6.3%Apr 14, 2025
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$175$160.43 -13.7%Apr 6, 2025
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$204$187.5 +0.6%Sep 16, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesVikram Malhotra$200$185.7 -1.3%Sep 5, 2024
Wells FargoBlaine Heck$214$186.6 +5.6%Aug 28, 2024
RBC CapitalMichael Carrol$186$187.07 -8.2%Jul 30, 2024
BarclaysBrendan Lynch$198$187.07 -2.3%Jul 30, 2024
WedbushRichard Anderson$208$187.6 +2.6%Jul 22, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesVikram Malhotra$175$160.81 -13.7%May 31, 2024
RBC CapitalMichael Carrol$172$159.86 -15.1%May 6, 2024
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$200$158.34 -1.3%Apr 29, 2024
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$190$179.77 -6.3%Apr 1, 2024
Raymond JamesWilliam Crow$180$161.14 -11.2%Oct 31, 2023
WedbushRichard Anderson$175$166.35 -13.7%Oct 18, 2023
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$170$151.2 -16.1%Nov 30, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$160$155.66 -21.1%Nov 22, 2022
Credit SuisseOmotayo Okusanya$150$152.85 -26.0%Apr 21, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

EastGroup Properties, Inc. (NYSE: EGP), a self-administered equity real estate investment trust and an S&P MidCap 400 company, specializes in the development, acquisition, and management of industrial properties. The company concentrates its efforts within major Sunbelt markets across the United States, with a particular focus on Florida, Texas, Arizona, California, and North Carolina. Its central aim is to enhance shareholder value by serving as a leading provider of adaptable, efficient, and high-quality business distribution facilities for location-sensitive clients, generally seeking spaces between 15,000 and 70,000 square feet. EastGroup's growth strategy prioritizes ownership of prime distribution centers, strategically positioned close to key transportation networks in submarkets where supply is limited. The firm's current portfolio encompasses approximately 45.8 million square feet, including properties under development, value-add acquisitions in lease-up, and those currently under construction.

Historical context

All EGP earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-23T20:04:08.819530+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-08-27T01:23:13.912278+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-23T02:40:41.483562+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-23T02:40:41.480615+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.