Ecolab Inc. · ECL · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Ecolab raises outlook as growth engines and pricing accelerate

The supplied analysis supports a constructive Ecolab trajectory: raised guidance, pricing execution, double-digit growth engines and secular data-center water demand offset ongoing execution and end-market risks.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $77.03B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.07 Consensus $2.07
EPS surprise 0.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.17B Consensus $4.12B
Revenue surprise +1.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -4.1% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -4.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.9% Up to 20 sessions
ECLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, guidance sentiment moved from maintained to raised. The current analysis adds the pending Ovivo acquisition, a larger High-Tech opportunity, a 1-million-device Pest Intelligence target and new direct-to-chip cooling technology.

Guidance delta

Raised: the adjusted EPS midpoint was raised to $7.53, with double-digit growth guidance for 2026.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported double-digit earnings growth and a record 18.7% operating-income margin in the supplied analysis.
  • Growth engines including Pest Elimination, Life Sciences, Global High-Tech and Digital were described as delivering double-digit sales growth.
  • The pending Ovivo acquisition and data-center cooling demand broaden the High-Tech opportunity, while Basic Industries and Paper remain recovery items.

Management priorities

  • Integrate Ovivo and expand High-Tech water and circular solutions.
  • Scale Pest Intelligence deployment toward 1 million devices.
  • Expand One Ecolab cross-selling and continue direct-to-chip cooling and other High-Tech water technologies.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ECL REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $4B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $4B Q1 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $4B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $4B Q3 '24 actual $4B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $4B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4B Q3 '25 actual $4B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $4B, match Q1 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '26 actual $4B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $4B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $5B Q4 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '27 estimate $4B Q2 '27 estimate $5B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy37 ratings
Bullish2978.4%
Neutral718.9%
Bearish12.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$273.7Current
$164Low
$275.22Average
$360High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 29, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 29, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform PerformUpgradeJul 17, 2026
Show 32 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $273.7. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSJoshua Spector$342$281.05 +25.0%Jul 29, 2026
BMO CapitalJohn McNulty$360$280.58 +31.5%Jul 29, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$327$282.9 +19.5%Jul 29, 2026
Robert W. BairdAndrew Wittmann$305$282.9 +11.4%Jul 29, 2026
OppenheimerScott Schneeberger$320$275.71 +16.9%Jul 17, 2026
See 68 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Ecolab Inc. provides water, hygiene, and infection prevention solutions and services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Global Water, Global Institutional & Specialty, Global Pest Elimination, and Global Life Sciences. The Global Water segment offers water treatment and process applications, and cleaning and sanitizing solutions to manufacturing, food and beverage processing, transportation, chemical, primary metals and mining, power generation, global refining, petrochemical, pulp and paper industries.…

Historical context

All ECL earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T03:00:44.535001+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T03:00:44.532426+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.