Eni S.p.A. · E · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Eni combines production growth with stronger LNG and biofuel execution

The quarter supports a constructive operating picture: production growth, floating LNG expansion, biofuel margins, and balance-sheet actions were accompanied by raised guidance. The main counterweights are commodity exposure, potential LNG overcapacity, chemicals weakness, regulatory issues, and execution risk.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $90.46B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.90 Consensus $0.73
EPS surprise +23.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $23.49B Consensus $21.45B
Revenue surprise +9.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.7% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +0.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.3% Up to 20 sessions
ESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the supplied current-quarter picture, management highlighted faster upstream growth, expanding floating LNG and biofuel activity, lower planned net capex, stronger cash-flow expectations, and increased capital returns. No prior-quarter analysis was supplied, so quarter-over-quarter change cannot be assessed directly.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year production guidance, lowered net-capex guidance, and raised cash-flow expectations.

Key takeaways

  • Production increased 8.5% year over year, supported by upstream project ramp-ups.
  • Floating LNG expansion and Enilive biofuel margins broaden the growth mix.
  • Balance-sheet measures included debt reduction and a larger share-buyback program.
  • Management also highlighted execution, LNG oversupply, chemicals weakness, and regulatory risks.

Management priorities

  • Ramp up upstream projects and floating LNG developments.
  • Expand Enilive biofuels and pursue sustainable-aviation-fuel demand.
  • Advance Argentina LNG, CCUS, and other partnership initiatives.
  • Strengthen the balance sheet through cash initiatives, disposals, and capital returns.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
E REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $25B, None Q1 '24 actual $23B, None Q2 '24 actual $23B, None Q1 '25 estimate $23B Q1 '25 actual $26B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $22B Q2 '25 actual $22B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $21B Q3 '25 actual $23B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $21B Q4 '25 actual $24B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $25B Q1 '26 actual $23B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $28B Q2 '26 actual $25B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $26B Q3 '26 actual $29B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $25B Q1 '27 estimate $24B Q2 '27 estimate $24B Q3 '27 estimate $25B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold26 ratings
Bullish934.6%
Neutral1661.5%
Bearish13.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$62.08Current
$34.6Low
$61.3Average
$90High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainApr 9, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight UnderweightUpgradeMar 2, 2026
UBS Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 25, 2025
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeJan 7, 2025
Bernstein Market Perform OutperformDowngradeSep 23, 2024
Show 21 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $62.08. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$56.3$54.55 -9.3%Oct 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$90$55.04 +45.0%Sep 25, 2026
BNP ParibasEni to Outperform$64.3$55.39 +3.6%Apr 17, 2026
Morgan StanleyMartijn Rats$34.6$34.69 -44.3%Sep 3, 2025
Morgan StanleyMartijn Rats$39.6$32.86 -36.2%Aug 29, 2024

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Eni S.p.A. is an international energy company primarily engaged in the discovery, development, and extraction of crude oil and natural gas resources. Its operations are organized into distinct divisions: Exploration & Production; Global Gas & LNG Portfolio; Refining & Marketing and Chemicals; Plenitude and Power; and Corporate and Other activities. The Exploration & Production division is responsible for the research, development, and output of oil, condensates, and natural gas, additionally undertaking initiatives in forestry conservation and carbon dioxide capture and storage.…

Historical context

All E earnings

Energy peers this season

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SLB Slb N.V. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +3.7% +7.1% SLB Q3 2026: Growth Broadens Beyond Core Oilfield
VLO Valero Energy Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +12.9% -2.4% Valero Q3: Record Profitability, Strong Cash Generation and Execution Risks

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T08:10:42.003003+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T08:10:42.000093+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.