Eni S.p.A. · E · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025
Eni Maintains Guidance as Upstream and Transition Plans Advance
The current evidence is constructive but mixed: management described resilient upstream and transition execution, while the main counterweights are SAF oversupply, refining and chemicals weakness, commodity volatility, and delivery risk. That supports a cautious view of improving operating breadth rather than an unqualified growth conclusion.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Relative to the prior analysis, the emphasis shifted toward executing upstream start-ups, scaling transition assets, and using portfolio transactions and capital discipline to manage volatility; guidance remained maintained rather than raised.
Guidance delta
Management maintained guidance while targeting upstream production growth and lower capital expenditure; execution and commodity-market assumptions remain important.
Key takeaways
- Management kept guidance intact while highlighting upstream start-ups as a path to higher production.
- Plenitude and Enilive continued to scale, adding renewable, storage, and sustainable-fuel capacity.
- Portfolio transactions and capital discipline supported the balance-sheet and shareholder-return framework.
Management priorities
- Deliver scheduled upstream start-ups and progress toward the production target.
- Expand Plenitude renewable generation and storage and Enilive sustainable aviation fuel capacity.
- Advance LNG, Namibia, and portfolio-optimization initiatives while controlling capital expenditure.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Apr 9, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Underweight | Upgrade | Mar 2, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Sep 23, 2024 |
| Redburn Atlantic | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jun 25, 2024 |
| Berenberg | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 20, 2024 |
| HSBC | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Mar 21, 2022 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Underweight | Upgrade | Nov 19, 2021 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Apr 12, 2021 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Apr 12, 2021 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | May 7, 2019 |
| Exane BNP Paribas | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Jan 11, 2017 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Oct 5, 2016 |
| Societe Generale | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 2, 2016 |
| BTIG Research | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 6, 2015 |
| BTIG | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 6, 2015 |
| Nomura | Neutral | Reduce | Upgrade | Oct 12, 2015 |
| BMO Capital | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Sep 28, 2015 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 16, 2015 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Mar 25, 2014 |
| Natixis | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Oct 31, 2013 |
| Fidentis | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Aug 2, 2013 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | May 29, 2013 |
| Santander | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 25, 2013 |
| Investec | Hold | Sell | Upgrade | Feb 15, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $62.08. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas | Analyst unavailable | $56.3 | $54.55 | -9.3% | Oct 7, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $55.04 | +45.0% | Sep 25, 2026 |
| BNP Paribas | Eni to Outperform | $64.3 | $55.39 | +3.6% | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Martijn Rats | $34.6 | $34.69 | -44.3% | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Martijn Rats | $39.6 | $32.86 | -36.2% | Aug 29, 2024 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationEni S.p.A. is an international energy company primarily engaged in the discovery, development, and extraction of crude oil and natural gas resources. Its operations are organized into distinct divisions: Exploration & Production; Global Gas & LNG Portfolio; Refining & Marketing and Chemicals; Plenitude and Power; and Corporate and Other activities. The Exploration & Production division is responsible for the research, development, and output of oil, condensates, and natural gas, additionally undertaking initiatives in forestry conservation and carbon dioxide capture and storage.…
Historical context
All E earningsEnergy peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLB Slb N.V. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +3.7% | +7.1% | SLB Q3 2026: Growth Broadens Beyond Core Oilfield |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +12.9% | -2.4% | Valero Q3: Record Profitability, Strong Cash Generation and Execution Risks |
Latest beats and misses
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Missed on EPS
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- BBDFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-7.7% EPS+3.0% move
- SNAFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.9% EPS-3.4% move
- SPOTFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-11.6% EPS+11.1% move
- VRSNFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-2.0% EPS-0.9% move
- HBANMFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.3% EPS+0.5% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-24T11:25:36.476092+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T12:40:44.443828+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T12:40:44.441044+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.