Eni S.p.A. · E · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Eni Maintains Guidance as Upstream and Transition Plans Advance

The current evidence is constructive but mixed: management described resilient upstream and transition execution, while the main counterweights are SAF oversupply, refining and chemicals weakness, commodity volatility, and delivery risk. That supports a cautious view of improving operating breadth rather than an unqualified growth conclusion.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $90.46B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.03 Consensus $0.79
EPS surprise +30.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $25.61B Consensus $22.59B
Revenue surprise +13.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.0% Event window
SPY move +2.1% Same window
Abnormal move -0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.9% Up to 20 sessions
ESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior analysis, the emphasis shifted toward executing upstream start-ups, scaling transition assets, and using portfolio transactions and capital discipline to manage volatility; guidance remained maintained rather than raised.

Guidance delta

Management maintained guidance while targeting upstream production growth and lower capital expenditure; execution and commodity-market assumptions remain important.

Key takeaways

  • Management kept guidance intact while highlighting upstream start-ups as a path to higher production.
  • Plenitude and Enilive continued to scale, adding renewable, storage, and sustainable-fuel capacity.
  • Portfolio transactions and capital discipline supported the balance-sheet and shareholder-return framework.

Management priorities

  • Deliver scheduled upstream start-ups and progress toward the production target.
  • Expand Plenitude renewable generation and storage and Enilive sustainable aviation fuel capacity.
  • Advance LNG, Namibia, and portfolio-optimization initiatives while controlling capital expenditure.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
E EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 11 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $0.89 Q3 '24 actual $0.86, miss Q1 '25 estimate $0.79 Q1 '25 actual $1.03, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.67 Q2 '25 actual $0.79, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.73 Q3 '25 actual $0.90, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.78 Q4 '25 actual $0.87, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.13 Q1 '26 actual $0.81, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.90 Q2 '26 actual $1.76, miss Q3 '26 estimate $1.87 Q3 '26 actual $2.13, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.76 Q1 '27 estimate $1.22 Q2 '27 estimate $1.15 Q3 '27 estimate $1.24
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold26 ratings
Bullish934.6%
Neutral1661.5%
Bearish13.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$62.08Current
$34.6Low
$61.3Average
$90High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainApr 9, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight UnderweightUpgradeMar 2, 2026
UBS Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 25, 2025
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeJan 7, 2025
Bernstein Market Perform OutperformDowngradeSep 23, 2024
Redburn Atlantic Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 25, 2024
Berenberg Hold BuyDowngradeMar 20, 2024
HSBC Buy HoldUpgradeMar 21, 2022
Barclays Overweight UnderweightUpgradeNov 19, 2021
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeApr 12, 2021
Credit Suisse Neutral UnderperformUpgradeApr 12, 2021
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 7, 2019
Exane BNP Paribas Neutral UnderperformUpgradeJan 11, 2017
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeOct 5, 2016
Societe Generale Hold BuyDowngradeMay 2, 2016
BTIG Research Neutral BuyDowngradeNov 6, 2015
BTIG Neutral BuyDowngradeNov 6, 2015
Nomura Neutral ReduceUpgradeOct 12, 2015
BMO Capital Underperform UnderperformMaintainSep 28, 2015
Canaccord Genuity Hold BuyDowngradeJan 16, 2015
Raymond James Outperform Market PerformUpgradeMar 25, 2014
Natixis Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 31, 2013
Fidentis Hold HoldMaintainAug 2, 2013
Goldman Sachs Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 29, 2013
Santander Hold BuyDowngradeApr 25, 2013
Investec Hold SellUpgradeFeb 15, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $62.08. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$56.3$54.55 -9.3%Oct 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$90$55.04 +45.0%Sep 25, 2026
BNP ParibasEni to Outperform$64.3$55.39 +3.6%Apr 17, 2026
Morgan StanleyMartijn Rats$34.6$34.69 -44.3%Sep 3, 2025
Morgan StanleyMartijn Rats$39.6$32.86 -36.2%Aug 29, 2024

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Eni S.p.A. is an international energy company primarily engaged in the discovery, development, and extraction of crude oil and natural gas resources. Its operations are organized into distinct divisions: Exploration & Production; Global Gas & LNG Portfolio; Refining & Marketing and Chemicals; Plenitude and Power; and Corporate and Other activities. The Exploration & Production division is responsible for the research, development, and output of oil, condensates, and natural gas, additionally undertaking initiatives in forestry conservation and carbon dioxide capture and storage.…

Historical context

All E earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-24T11:25:36.476092+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T12:40:44.443828+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T12:40:44.441044+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.