DTE Energy Company · DTE · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

DTE Energy: Data-center growth supports outlook, execution risks remain

DTE's Q2 analysis supports a constructive but conditional thesis: resilient utility demand, executed data-center contracts, reliability investment, and RNG tax credits can support growth, but the trajectory depends on regulatory approvals, project execution, counterparties, and funding the expanded capital plan.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $26.25B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.32 Consensus $1.14
EPS surprise +15.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.37B Consensus $3.36B
Revenue surprise +0.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.8% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -1.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.8% Up to 20 sessions
DTESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis adds Q2 evidence that the data-center opportunity is progressing, with 2.4 GW of executed agreements and another 2 GW in advanced discussions. It also highlights the response to a severe July storm, continued grid investment, and a regulatory strategy aimed at extending the electric rate-case stay-out through 2028.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management continued to point to the high end of 2026 operating EPS guidance and its 6%-8% long-term operating EPS growth target.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 performance and management commentary support the view that DTE remains on track for the high end of its 2026 operating EPS guidance.
  • Executed Oracle and Google agreements provide a large-load growth platform, while the additional data-center pipeline remains subject to development and regulatory execution.
  • The investment case also depends on grid reliability, capital funding, regulatory approvals, and continued access to RNG tax credits.

Management priorities

  • Advance Oracle construction and Google approval through the Michigan Public Service Commission.
  • File the Q3 2026 Integrated Resource Plan and continue grid automation and pole-top maintenance.
  • Fund the approximately $11 billion five-year capital plan while maintaining annual equity issuance of $500-$600 million through 2028.
  • Advance the Vantage behind-the-meter data-center project and its permitting and equipment milestones.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DTE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.71 Q1 '24 actual $1.67, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1.22 Q2 '24 actual $1.43, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.88 Q3 '24 actual $2.22, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.40 Q2 '25 actual $1.36, miss Q3 '25 estimate $2.11 Q3 '25 actual $2.25, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.54 Q4 '25 actual $1.65, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.01 Q1 '26 actual $1.95, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.14 Q2 '26 actual $1.32, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.39 Q4 '26 estimate $2.09 Q1 '27 estimate $2.14 Q2 '27 estimate $1.55
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold44 ratings
Bullish2045.5%
Neutral2454.5%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$126.13Current
$119Low
$146.46Average
$172High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 28, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 27, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 4, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 4, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainFeb 18, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJan 28, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJan 20, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainDec 17, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainNov 5, 2025
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 31, 2025
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 2, 2025
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainMar 21, 2025
Keybanc Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeDec 4, 2024
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeJan 16, 2024
Seaport Global Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 8, 2024
Credit Suisse Outperform NeutralUpgradeMay 23, 2022
Edward Jones Buy HoldUpgradeJan 13, 2022
Vertical Research Hold HoldMaintainFeb 25, 2020
Bank of America Neutral UnderperformUpgradeOct 21, 2019
Scotia Howard Weil Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainJul 24, 2018
Argus Hold BuyDowngradeMay 5, 2018
Macquarie Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 27, 2016
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainJan 27, 2016
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 13, 2015
Brean Capital Hold BuyDowngradeFeb 23, 2015
Buckingham Research Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 20, 2015
ISI Group Hold BuyDowngradeOct 29, 2014
Canaccord Genuity Hold HoldMaintainSep 10, 2014
Wunderlich Hold BuyDowngradeMay 19, 2014
Pivotal Research Hold BuyDowngradeMay 19, 2014
Nomura Neutral ReduceUpgradeMay 19, 2014
Atlantic Equities Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 19, 2014
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 7, 2014
Standpoint Research Hold BuyDowngradeFeb 19, 2014
Northland Securities Outperform OutperformMaintainDec 4, 2013
FBR Capital Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 25, 2013
Moffett Nathanson Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 27, 2013
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainMay 8, 2013
Wunderlich Securities Hold HoldMaintainApr 29, 2013
Standpoint Buy BuyMaintainMar 4, 2013
Pacific Crest Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 8, 2012
Hudson Square Buy HoldUpgradeSep 25, 2012
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeJul 23, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $126.13. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$143$136.65 +13.4%Aug 28, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$152$137.71 +20.5%Aug 27, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$148$137.86 +17.3%Aug 21, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$160$141.72 +26.9%Aug 4, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$150$146.13 +18.9%Jul 29, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$164$146.26 +30.0%Jul 29, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$152$151.41 +20.5%Jul 13, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$172$151.39 +36.4%Jul 9, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$150$150.05 +18.9%Jun 24, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$165$147.42 +30.8%Jun 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$146$143.4 +15.8%May 21, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$158$139.78 +25.3%May 18, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$154$148.79 +22.1%May 4, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$165$152.8 +30.8%May 1, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$155$144.6 +22.9%Apr 21, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$160$145.87 +26.9%Apr 21, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$165$145.87 +30.8%Apr 20, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$170$148.78 +34.8%Apr 8, 2026
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$156$149.34 +23.7%Mar 17, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$153$144.8 +21.3%Feb 20, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$157$142.62 +24.5%Feb 19, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$155$144.69 +22.9%Feb 18, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$144$134.33 +14.2%Jan 26, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$142$136.62 +12.6%Jan 21, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$152$135.51 +20.5%Jan 20, 2026
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$141$133.95 +11.8%Jan 15, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$148$128.52 +17.3%Dec 24, 2025
UBSWilliam Appicelli$151$128.66 +19.7%Dec 17, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$138$129.04 +9.4%Dec 16, 2025
JefferiesJulian Dumoulin-Smith$150$131.44 +18.9%Dec 11, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$144$135.84 +14.2%Nov 20, 2025
JefferiesJulian Dumoulin-Smith$149$135.54 +18.1%Nov 3, 2025
ScotiabankAndrew Weisel$146$138.06 +15.8%Oct 31, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$157$141.63 +24.5%Oct 27, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$145$141.94 +15.0%Oct 22, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$148$140.07 +17.3%Oct 14, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$158$140.79 +25.3%Oct 10, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$147$139.28 +16.5%Oct 3, 2025
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$144$138.42 +14.2%Aug 25, 2025
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$140$140.2 +11.0%Aug 21, 2025
UBSWilliam Appicelli$143$123.6 +13.4%Dec 3, 2024
CitigroupRyan Levine$142$126.63 +12.6%Oct 28, 2024
KeyBancSophie Karp$138$127.61 +9.4%Oct 22, 2024
JefferiesJulian Dumoulin-Smith$137$128.9 +8.6%Oct 21, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$140$128.44 +11.0%Oct 18, 2024
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$128$125.2 +1.5%Sep 25, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$133$125.55 +5.4%Sep 10, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$135$123.66 +7.0%Sep 6, 2024
KeyBancSophie Karp$125$116.28 -0.9%May 20, 2024
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$119$110.83 -5.7%Apr 30, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$113$103.2 -10.4%Apr 17, 2024
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$130$119.5 +3.1%Dec 15, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$139$126.75 +10.2%Sep 22, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$141$134.36 +11.8%Aug 23, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$131$120.88 +3.9%Jul 21, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$131$125.18 +3.9%Jul 18, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$130$124.85 +3.1%Jul 11, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$137$130.5 +8.6%May 23, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$146$129.13 +15.8%May 3, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$147$135.52 +16.5%Apr 29, 2022
Credit SuisseNicholas Campanella$142$135.52 +12.6%Apr 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$143$139.5 +13.4%Apr 20, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesJulien Dumoulin-Smith$127$116.31 +0.7%Feb 15, 2022
Evercore ISIDurgesh Chopra$128$115.36 +1.5%Feb 11, 2022
Wolfe ResearchSteve Fleishman$119$115.36 -5.7%Feb 11, 2022
Wells FargoNeil Kalton$130$115.36 +3.1%Feb 11, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$134$119.32 +6.2%Jan 10, 2022
ScotiabankAndrew Weisel$143$109.92 +13.4%Jul 6, 2021
GuggenheimShahriar Pourreza$147$114.82 +16.5%Jun 9, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

DTE Energy Company, established in 1903 and based in Detroit, Michigan, is primarily engaged in utility services. Its Electric division is responsible for generating, acquiring, delivering, and selling electricity to approximately 2.3 million customers—including households, businesses, and industrial clients—across southeastern Michigan. This power is sourced from diverse facilities, encompassing fossil fuel, pumped-storage hydroelectric, nuclear, wind, and other renewable energy assets. The infrastructure supporting this includes around 698 distribution substations and 449,800 line transformers. The Gas division manages the procurement, storage, transmission, distribution, and sale of natural gas to roughly 1.3 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers statewide in Michigan.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-13T20:13:52.498462+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-02T01:23:14.593608+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T03:40:51.210264+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T03:40:51.207445+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.