Darden Restaurants, Inc. · DRI · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q2 2025

Darden pairs resilient demand with expansion and portfolio changes

The call supports a constructive but conditional view of demand: operating momentum and delivery initiatives are encouraging, but the next-year case depends on maintaining margins while funding expansion and portfolio changes.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $23.28B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.98 Consensus $2.97
EPS surprise +0.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.27B Consensus $3.26B
Revenue surprise +0.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.4% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +1.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -8.4% Up to 20 sessions
DRISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The discussion put greater emphasis on executing the five-year plan, extending delivery, expanding international franchising, and evaluating non-core portfolio options.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its forward outlook while emphasizing sales growth, margin stability, and disciplined capital allocation.

Key takeaways

  • Management described fiscal 2025 as a strong year, with delivery, promotions, and brand performance supporting demand.
  • The five-year plan centers on new restaurants, international franchising, and continued investment in the operating platform.
  • Uber Direct is being extended beyond its initial rollout, while management continues to evaluate portfolio options.
  • The core debate is whether growth initiatives can scale while preserving margins and capital discipline.

Management priorities

  • Execute the five-year strategic plan across sales growth, new units, and margin stability.
  • Expand delivery initiatives and validate their economics across additional brands.
  • Pursue international franchising, particularly in India and Spain.
  • Maintain pricing discipline, affordability initiatives, and portfolio optimization.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DRI REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $3B Q2 '24 actual $3B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $3B Q3 '24 actual $3B, miss Q4 '24 estimate $3B Q4 '24 actual $3B, miss Q1 '25 estimate $3B Q1 '25 actual $3B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q3 '26 actual $3B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q4 '26 actual $4B, miss Q1 '27 estimate $3B Q2 '27 estimate $3B Q3 '27 estimate $4B Q4 '27 estimate $4B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy59 ratings
Bullish3864.4%
Neutral2033.9%
Bearish11.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$200.6Current
$95Low
$198.28Average
$265High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 25, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 25, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainSep 25, 2026
Freedom Capital Markets Buy BuyMaintainSep 25, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainSep 25, 2026
Show 54 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $200.6. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinDanilo Gargiulo$230$206.12 +14.7%Sep 25, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesNick Setyan$245$207.44 +22.1%Sep 25, 2026
Seaport GlobalEric Gonzalez$240$209.02 +19.6%Sep 16, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$245$218.61 +22.1%Sep 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$255$209.82 +27.1%Sep 14, 2026
See 138 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Darden Restaurants, Inc., through its various subsidiaries, focuses on the ownership and operation of full-service dining establishments across both the United States and Canada. As of May 29, 2022, the company's extensive portfolio comprised 1,867 directly managed restaurants. These included a significant presence from its flagship brands: 884 Olive Garden outlets, 546 LongHorn Steakhouse locations, 172 Cheddar's Scratch Kitchens, 85 Yard House venues, 62 Capital Grille branches, 45 Seasons 52 restaurants, 42 Bahama Breeze sites, 28 Eddie V's Prime Seafood establishments, and 3 Capital Burger eateries. In addition to its owned operations, Darden also oversees 60 franchised restaurants, specifically 35 Olive Garden units, 18 LongHorn Steakhouse units, 4 Cheddar's Scratch Kitchens, 2 Capital Grille locations, and 1 Bahama Breeze restaurant. The company, which originated in 1968, is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T12:00:44.977870+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T12:00:44.975135+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.