DraftKings Inc. · DKNG · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

DraftKings Q3 growth meets lower FY2026 revenue outlook

DraftKings' Q3 growth across sportsbook, iGaming and its predictions platform supports a diversified expansion case, but the lower FY2026 revenue outlook and planned predictions investment leave execution, margins and regulation as material tests.

Why did DKNG fall 23.4% after missing EPS estimates in FY2026 Q3?

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Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $11.68B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-0.53 Consensus $-0.41
EPS surprise -29.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.33B Consensus $1.39B
Revenue surprise -4.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -23.4% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -24.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
DKNGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The supplied Q3 analysis highlights 16% year-over-year revenue growth, stronger sportsbook and iGaming activity, and increasing scale in predictions. It also reports a lower FY2026 revenue outlook and higher planned predictions investment for 2027; compared with the prior-quarter analysis, which described FY2026 guidance as reaffirmed, the outlook has become less favorable on revenue.

Guidance delta

The supplied Q3 analysis reports FY2026 revenue guidance was trimmed to $6.35–$6.55 billion and the adjusted EBITDA loss outlook narrowed to $175–$275 million. It cites FY2027 revenue growth of about 17% and adjusted EBITDA of $800 million–$1 billion.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 revenue increased 16% year over year, with sportsbook net revenue up 36% and iGaming customer acquisition up 76%, according to the transcript analysis.
  • Management described predictions as scaling and emphasized customer cross-sell across sportsbook, iGaming and other offerings.
  • Management expects to increase predictions investment in 2027, making acquisition efficiency and the path to operating leverage important execution tests.

Management priorities

  • Scale predictions and cross-sell users into other products.
  • Continue iGaming expansion, promotions and exclusive content.
  • Pursue cost efficiency and operating leverage while investing in the platform.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DKNG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.06 Q4 '23 actual $-0.10, miss Q1 '24 estimate $-0.29 Q1 '24 actual $-0.30, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.01 Q2 '24 actual $0.12, beat Q3 '24 estimate $-0.42 Q3 '24 actual $-0.60, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.15 Q2 '25 actual $0.38, beat Q3 '25 estimate $-0.43 Q3 '25 actual $-0.26, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.36 Q4 '25 actual $0.36, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.22 Q1 '26 actual $0.20, miss Q2 '26 estimate $0.02 Q2 '26 actual $-0.14, miss Q3 '26 estimate $-0.41 Q3 '26 actual $-0.53, miss Q4 '26 estimate $0.46 Q1 '27 estimate $0.16
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy48 ratings
Bullish3675.0%
Neutral816.7%
Bearish48.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$18.27Current
$15Low
$41.13Average
$105High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 3, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainNov 2, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainOct 29, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainOct 26, 2026
Canaccord Genuity Buy BuyMaintainOct 23, 2026
Show 43 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $18.26. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BTIGClark Lampen$26$20.3 +42.3%Oct 29, 2026
Stifel NicolausJeffrey Stantial$32$20.91 +75.2%Oct 26, 2026
Canaccord GenuityAnalyst unavailable$40$20.94 +119.0%Oct 23, 2026
MoffettNathansonRobert Fishman$22$20.53 +20.4%Oct 22, 2026
SusquehannaJoseph Stauff$27$19.15 +47.8%Oct 8, 2026
See 175 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

DraftKings Inc. operates as a leading digital enterprise specializing in sports entertainment and gaming. The company provides sophisticated multi-channel sports betting and gaming technology solutions to operators across 17 countries, facilitating diverse entertainment experiences. Directly, DraftKings manages its own iGaming services under the DraftKings brand in five U.S. states, and separately operates Golden Nugget Online Gaming, another iGaming offering, in three states. Its Sportsbook platform is accessible for both mobile and physical wagers in 18 U.S.…

Historical context

All DKNG earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ABNB Airbnb, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +10.9% -3.5% Airbnb raises 2026 outlook as hotels and AI broaden growth

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-06T17:11:46.970417+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-06T01:23:16.275024+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-06T19:20:46.722092+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-06T19:20:46.719391+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.