Deckers Outdoor Corporation · DECK · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q2 2026

Deckers: HOKA and UGG growth meets margin and tariff questions

The current evidence supports a constructive but conditional view: HOKA and UGG demand, product innovation, direct-to-consumer engagement and international expansion provide growth support, while margin and execution risks remain material.

Reported After market closeNYSEConsumer Cyclical $10.70B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.96 Consensus $0.81
EPS surprise +18.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.02B Consensus $1.09B
Revenue surprise -6.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +3.9% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +3.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.8% Up to 20 sessions
DECKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The latest analysis shifts the focus from a prior guidance-raise narrative to execution against maintained guidance. New emphasis includes HOKA retail expansion, technology and AI investment, UGG’s spring-summer strategy, and the effect of tariffs and input costs on profitability.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its forward outlook, while emphasizing execution against the multiyear growth framework.

Key takeaways

  • The current quarter extended strong momentum across HOKA and UGG.
  • Management emphasized product launches, membership, international expansion and selective distribution growth.
  • The central debate is whether demand and full-price sell-through can offset cost, tariff and promotional risks.

Management priorities

  • Launch new HOKA franchises and expand the retail footprint
  • Develop UGG’s spring-summer and 365 brand strategy
  • Invest in technology, AI-driven analytics and localized direct-to-consumer capabilities
  • Maintain full-price sell-through while expanding internationally

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DECK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $11.48 Q3 '24 actual $15.11, beat Q4 '24 estimate $2.89 Q4 '24 actual $4.95, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.58 Q1 '25 actual $0.75, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.24 Q2 '25 actual $1.59, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.68 Q1 '26 actual $0.93, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.58 Q2 '26 actual $1.82, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.77 Q3 '26 actual $3.33, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.81 Q4 '26 actual $0.96, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.88 Q1 '27 actual $0.94, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1.79 Q3 '27 estimate $3.71 Q4 '27 estimate $1.08 Q1 '28 estimate $1.04
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold55 ratings
Bullish2647.3%
Neutral2341.8%
Bearish610.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$78.76Current
$70Low
$163.45Average
$480High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Telsey Advisory Group Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 24, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 24, 2026
Show 51 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $78.76. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$70$82.6 -11.1%Sep 8, 2026
NeedhamTom Nikic$125$96.23 +58.7%Jul 24, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$133$96.23 +68.9%Jul 24, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$115$96.23 +46.0%Jul 24, 2026
Wells FargoIke Boruchow$85$96.23 +7.9%Jul 24, 2026
See 80 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Deckers Outdoor Corporation, operating with its subsidiaries, is a global enterprise dedicated to the creation, promotion, and distribution of footwear, apparel, and accessories. Its product lines serve both casual everyday needs and specialized high-performance activities. The company manages a portfolio of prominent brands: Under the UGG label, it offers premium footwear, clothing, and related items. Teva is known for its range of sandals, shoes, and boots. Sanuk provides comfortable, relaxed casual shoes and sandals. For the athletic segment, particularly ultra-runners and other athletes, Hoka supplies specialized footwear and apparel. Lastly, Koolaburra features fashionable casual footwear, often incorporating plush materials.…

Historical context

All DECK earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-22T00:17:09.251489+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T10:30:55.938485+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T10:30:55.935737+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.