Deckers Outdoor Corporation · DECK · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q1 2026

Deckers reports strong Q3 and raises FY2026 guidance

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis for Deckers: strong HOKA and UGG demand, product innovation, international expansion, and balanced channels accompanied the FY2026 guidance raise. The thesis remains dependent on DTC execution, order-book visibility, pricing, inventory discipline, and consumer demand.

Reported After market closeNYSEConsumer Cyclical $10.64B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.33 Consensus $2.77
EPS surprise +20.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.96B Consensus $1.87B
Revenue surprise +4.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +19.5% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +19.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.0% Up to 20 sessions
DECKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis shows a raised FY2026 outlook, stronger reported revenue and EPS, lower estimated net tariff impact, and continued emphasis on HOKA membership, international expansion, product launches, and share repurchases.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2026 guidance, with revenue at $5.4-$5.425 billion and EPS at $6.80-$6.85 in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 7% to $1.96 billion and diluted EPS reached a record $3.33 in the supplied analysis.
  • HOKA revenue rose 18% to $629 million, supported by membership and international expansion.
  • UGG reached a record $1.3 billion in revenue with balanced DTC and wholesale growth.
  • Management cited product launches, international distribution, full-price selling, and channel balance as growth supports.
  • The analysis notes a roughly $25 million net tariff impact and a $349 million quarterly share repurchase.

Management priorities

  • Expand HOKA and UGG product franchises
  • Grow international distribution, especially in Europe and China
  • Develop HOKA membership and DTC initiatives
  • Build lifestyle marketing and ambassador partnerships
  • Continue share repurchases and manage channel balance

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DECK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $11.48 Q3 '24 actual $15.11, beat Q4 '24 estimate $2.89 Q4 '24 actual $4.95, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.58 Q1 '25 actual $0.75, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.24 Q2 '25 actual $1.59, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.68 Q1 '26 actual $0.93, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.58 Q2 '26 actual $1.82, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.77 Q3 '26 actual $3.33, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.81 Q4 '26 actual $0.96, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.88 Q1 '27 actual $0.94, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1.79 Q3 '27 estimate $3.71 Q4 '27 estimate $1.08 Q1 '28 estimate $1.04
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold55 ratings
Bullish2647.3%
Neutral2341.8%
Bearish610.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$78.14Current
$70Low
$163.45Average
$480High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Telsey Advisory Group Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 24, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 24, 2026
Show 51 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $78.14. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$70$82.6 -10.4%Sep 8, 2026
NeedhamTom Nikic$125$96.23 +60.0%Jul 24, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$133$96.23 +70.2%Jul 24, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$115$96.23 +47.2%Jul 24, 2026
Wells FargoIke Boruchow$85$96.23 +8.8%Jul 24, 2026
See 80 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Deckers Outdoor Corporation, operating with its subsidiaries, is a global enterprise dedicated to the creation, promotion, and distribution of footwear, apparel, and accessories. Its product lines serve both casual everyday needs and specialized high-performance activities. The company manages a portfolio of prominent brands: Under the UGG label, it offers premium footwear, clothing, and related items. Teva is known for its range of sandals, shoes, and boots. Sanuk provides comfortable, relaxed casual shoes and sandals. For the athletic segment, particularly ultra-runners and other athletes, Hoka supplies specialized footwear and apparel. Lastly, Koolaburra features fashionable casual footwear, often incorporating plush materials.…

Historical context

All DECK earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T01:46:07.078598+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T01:46:07.075732+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.