Deckers Outdoor Corporation · DECK · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q4 2025

Deckers: International Growth Holds, HOKA Guidance Moves Lower

The quarter supports a constructive demand case through international growth, product momentum, and brand investment, but the evidence is mixed: lower HOKA guidance, tariff exposure, softer U.S. demand, and UGG DTC weakness temper confidence in durable earnings growth.

Reported After market closeNYSEConsumer Cyclical $10.92B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.82 Consensus $1.58
EPS surprise +15.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.43B Consensus $1.42B
Revenue surprise +0.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -15.2% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -16.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 6.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.1% Up to 20 sessions
DECKSPY benchmark

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What changed

The current analysis shows a strong Q2 FY2026 with 9% revenue growth and 14% EPS growth, but also a lower HOKA growth outlook and quantified tariff mitigation efforts. International markets remained the primary growth engine, while the company continued to work toward a 50/50 wholesale-DTC mix.

Guidance delta

FY2026 outlook was reaffirmed, while HOKA growth guidance was lowered from mid-teens to low teens; management cited tariff and consumer considerations.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 FY2026 revenue rose 9% and EPS rose 14%, according to the supplied analysis.
  • HOKA and UGG growth was strongest in international markets, while wholesale continued to outpace DTC.
  • Tariffs, a cautious U.S. consumer, and UGG's DTC decline remain key execution and margin questions.
  • Management is pursuing a longer-term 50/50 wholesale-DTC channel mix.

Management priorities

  • Advance HOKA and UGG product launches and franchise updates.
  • Expand international retail, DTC loyalty, and omnichannel initiatives.
  • Use pricing, factory cost-sharing, marketing, and brand partnerships to support growth and mitigate costs.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DECK REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $879M Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $888M Q4 '24 actual $960M, beat Q1 '25 estimate $807M Q1 '25 actual $825M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $1B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $900M Q1 '26 actual $965M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 actual $1B, miss Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q1 '27 actual $1B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $2B Q3 '27 estimate $2B Q4 '27 estimate $1B Q1 '28 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold55 ratings
Bullish2647.3%
Neutral2341.8%
Bearish610.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$80.21Previous close
$70Low
$163.45Average
$480High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Telsey Advisory Group Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 24, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 24, 2026
Show 51 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $80.21. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$70$82.6 -12.7%Sep 8, 2026
NeedhamTom Nikic$125$96.23 +55.8%Jul 24, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$133$96.23 +65.8%Jul 24, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$115$96.23 +43.4%Jul 24, 2026
Wells FargoIke Boruchow$85$96.23 +6.0%Jul 24, 2026
See 80 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Deckers Outdoor Corporation, operating with its subsidiaries, is a global enterprise dedicated to the creation, promotion, and distribution of footwear, apparel, and accessories. Its product lines serve both casual everyday needs and specialized high-performance activities. The company manages a portfolio of prominent brands: Under the UGG label, it offers premium footwear, clothing, and related items. Teva is known for its range of sandals, shoes, and boots. Sanuk provides comfortable, relaxed casual shoes and sandals. For the athletic segment, particularly ultra-runners and other athletes, Hoka supplies specialized footwear and apparel. Lastly, Koolaburra features fashionable casual footwear, often incorporating plush materials.…

Historical context

All DECK earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-06T09:50:42.627885+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-06T09:50:42.624717+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.