DoorDash, Inc. · DASH · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

DoorDash: Europe and New Verticals Strengthen the Growth Story

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but execution-dependent thesis: European expansion, retail and grocery scaling, subscriptions and advertising broaden DoorDash's growth drivers, while the near-term trade-off is heavier investment and execution risk.

Reported After market closeNASDAQCommunication Services $79.98B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.48 Consensus $0.59
EPS surprise -18.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.96B Consensus $4.00B
Revenue surprise -1.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.6% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +1.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -9.6% Up to 20 sessions
DASHSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the supplied Q4 analysis adds evidence of faster European growth after the Deliveroo acquisition, continued Wolt integration, retail and grocery unit economics targeted for positivity in H2 2026, and a front-loaded technology and autonomy investment profile extending mainly through 2026 with smaller spillover into 2027.

Guidance delta

Maintained: the supplied analysis says full-year 2026 EBITDA guidance was unchanged, with modest margin improvement expected.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted faster European growth following the Deliveroo acquisition, with international operations growing faster than the U.S. in the supplied analysis.
  • Retail and grocery are expected to reach positive unit economics in the second half of 2026, according to management's outlook as summarized in the event analysis.
  • DashPass subscriptions reached a record year and advertising continued to expand across restaurant, grocery and retail segments.
  • The growth plan requires substantial investment in a unified technology platform and autonomous delivery, concentrating much of the spending in 2026.

Management priorities

  • Integrate Deliveroo and Wolt into DoorDash's platform.
  • Scale DashMart Fulfillment Services and expand the warehouse footprint.
  • Deploy and orchestrate autonomous delivery through DoorDash Dot and drones.
  • Complete global technology-stack consolidation while expanding merchant services and DashPass.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DASH EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $-0.15 Q4 '23 actual $-0.39, miss Q1 '24 estimate $-0.04 Q1 '24 actual $-0.06, miss Q2 '24 estimate $-0.09 Q2 '24 actual $-0.38, miss Q3 '24 estimate $0.22 Q3 '24 actual $0.38, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.44 Q2 '25 actual $0.65, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.68 Q3 '25 actual $0.55, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.59 Q4 '25 actual $0.48, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.36 Q1 '26 actual $0.42, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.47 Q2 '26 actual $0.46, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.82 Q4 '26 estimate $0.82 Q1 '27 estimate $0.85
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy40 ratings
Bullish3075.0%
Neutral1025.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$183.55Previous close
$60Low
$224.48Average
$350High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
StoneX Buy BuyMaintainSep 8, 2026
Wedbush Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 20, 2026
Roth Capital Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 10, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 7, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainAug 7, 2026
Show 35 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $183.55. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$275$200.44 +49.8%Sep 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$295$201.46 +60.7%Sep 8, 2026
WedbushAnalyst unavailable$220$220.66 +19.9%Aug 20, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$220$212.56 +19.9%Aug 10, 2026
Wells FargoKen Gawrelski$225$213.26 +22.6%Aug 7, 2026
See 137 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

DoorDash, Inc. operates a comprehensive logistics platform globally and within the United States, linking merchants, consumers, and delivery personnel ('dashers'). Through its primary marketplaces, DoorDash and Wolt, the company provides essential services designed to help merchants overcome critical challenges, including customer acquisition, delivery logistics, data insights and analytics, merchandising support, payment processing, and customer assistance. Additionally, DoorDash offers subscription-based products like DashPass and Wolt+, alongside white-label delivery fulfillment services under DoorDash Drive and Wolt Drive. Its portfolio also includes DoorDash Storefront, which enables merchants to provide on-demand e-commerce access to their customers, and Bbot, a solution offering digital ordering and payment processing for both in-store and online channels. Founded in 2013 as Palo Alto Delivery Inc., the company officially adopted the name DoorDash, Inc. in 2015. It is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Historical context

All DASH earnings

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T07:16:09.554759+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T07:16:09.551876+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.