Delta Air Lines, Inc. · DAL · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Delta Air Lines Q2 FY2026: Record Revenue and Profit Beat Despite $2B Fuel Headwind

Delta Air Lines delivered record Q2 FY2026 results, beating consensus on both lines — EPS of $2.45 vs. $1.49 estimated (64% surprise) and revenue of $19.76B vs. $17.43B estimated (13% surprise). The beat came despite a $2 billion year-over-year increase in fuel costs, underscoring the airline's growing ability to offset fuel volatility through diversified high-margin streams: Delta Amex loyalty, cargo, and third-party MRO. Pretax profit reached $1.4 billion. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance and expressed confidence in sustaining double-digit operating margins through H2, with mid-teens margins as a longer-term aspiration. International expansion (Asia, Middle East), fleet up-gauging (A321neo, Max 10, 787s), and technology investments (Delta Sync Concierge AI, Delta 1 lounges) form the forward growth architecture. The stock's modest abnormal move of +1.1% on the report suggests…

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $58.77B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Delta Air Lines, Inc. provides scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Airline and Refinery. Its domestic network centered on core hubs in Atlanta, Detroit, Minneapolis-St. Paul, and Salt Lake City, as well as coastal hub positions in Boston, Los Angeles, New York-LaGuardia, New York-JFK, and Seattle; and international network centered on hubs and market presence in Amsterdam, Bogota, Lima, Mexico City, London-Heathrow, Paris-Charles de Gaulle, Santiago (Chile), Sao Paulo, Seoul-Incheon, and Tokyo. It also provides aircraft maintenance and engineering support, repair, and overhaul services; and vacation packages. The company operates through a fleet of approximately 1,314 aircraft. Delta Air Lines, Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.45 Consensus $1
EPS surprise +64.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $19.76B Consensus $17.43B
Revenue surprise +13.4% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DAL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.17 Q4 '23 actual $1.28, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.37 Q1 '24 actual $0.45, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.36 Q2 '24 actual $2.36, match Q3 '24 estimate $1.52 Q3 '24 actual $1.50, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2.06 Q2 '25 actual $2.10, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.57 Q3 '25 actual $1.71, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.53 Q4 '25 actual $1.55, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.58 Q1 '26 actual $0.64, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.49 Q2 '26 actual $2.45, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.21 Q4 '26 estimate $2.22 Q1 '27 estimate $0.97 Q2 '27 estimate $2.99
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish3784.1%
Neutral715.9%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$86.25Current
$38Low
$77.06Average
$125High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 14, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 13, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 13, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 13, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 13, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJul 10, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJul 7, 2026
Raymond James Outperform Strong BuyDowngradeJul 6, 2026
Show 36 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $86.25. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$105$85.57 +21.7%Jul 14, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldTom Fitzgerald$112$86.19 +29.9%Jul 14, 2026
UBSAtul Maheswari$112$85.75 +29.9%Jul 13, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$106$87.39 +22.9%Jul 13, 2026
Morgan StanleyRavi Shanker$125$87.36 +44.9%Jul 10, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$110$87.7 +27.5%Jul 10, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$108$91.68 +25.2%Jul 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyRavi Shanker$115$93.66 +33.3%Jul 6, 2026
Raymond JamesSavanthi Syth$104$92.75 +20.6%Jul 6, 2026
Goldman SachsCatherine O'Brien$116$93.06 +34.5%Jul 2, 2026
See 94 more

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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.0% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +1.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.9% Up to 20 sessions
DALSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Q2 revenue grew 14% year-over-year to a record $19.76B, beating estimates by 13.4%. EPS of $2.45 surpassed the $1.49 consensus by 64.4%. The company absorbed $2B in additional fuel costs yet still delivered $1.4B in pretax profit. Delta's own refinery operated at roughly 75% throughput following an outage, contributing a $0.05/gallon benefit. Third-party MRO revenue reached $1.2B (up 50% YoY), with margins projected to rise into the mid-teens. A second Delta 1 lounge opened at LAX, bringing the network to five locations. The AI-powered Delta Sync Concierge assistant is now available to over half of Fly Delta app users. The market reaction was muted: a +1.1% abnormal move on the report session, followed by a -0.99% drift in subsequent sessions, with volume 1.11x baseline.

Guidance delta

Management maintained full-year earnings guidance, consistent with the prior quarter's maintained stance. They expressed confidence in sustaining double-digit operating margins in H2 FY2026 and reiterated mid-teens operating margins as a long-term target. No explicit upward or downward revision to quantitative guidance was noted. The guidance sentiment remained 'maintained' from Q1 to Q2, reinforcing management's view that diversified revenue streams can absorb fuel pressure without requiring a guidance reset.

Key takeaways

  • Record Q2 revenue of $19.76B (up 14% YoY) beat estimates by 13.4%, with EPS of $2.45 topping the $1.49 consensus by 64.4%.
  • Delta absorbed $2B in higher fuel costs year-over-year yet still delivered $1.4B pretax profit, reaffirming full-year guidance.
  • Diversified high-margin revenue streams — Delta Amex loyalty, cargo, and third-party MRO ($1.2B, up 50% YoY) — are increasingly offsetting fuel volatility.
  • International expansion into Asia, the Middle East, and new markets (Hong Kong, Melbourne), combined with fleet up-gauging (A321neo, Max 10, 787s), supports future capacity growth.
  • Technology investments including the Delta Sync Concierge AI assistant and five Delta 1 lounges reinforce the premium customer experience and competitive moat.

Management priorities

  • Open additional Delta 1 lounges, targeting five locations across the network.
  • Fully roll out the Delta Sync Concierge AI assistant across the entire Fly Delta app user base.
  • Up-gauge the fleet with A321neo, Max 10, and 787 aircraft to improve fuel efficiency and capacity.
  • Enter new international routes in Asia and the Middle East, expanding JV partnerships with Korean Air and LATAM.
  • Continue scaling third-party MRO and cargo operations to capture higher margins and diversify revenue.

Related earnings events

Industrials

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-10T17:04:02.390795+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-29T01:23:12.425879+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-29T19:18:19.527667+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-29T19:18:19.524822+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.