Delta Air Lines, Inc. · DAL · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025
Delta: Premium demand supports a strong Q3, with capacity risks to watch
The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: premium demand, corporate travel, loyalty economics, fleet renewal, and capacity discipline are supporting Delta's trajectory, while main-cabin weakness, maintenance inflation, and potential oversupply remain important tests.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
prior-close to event-session closeAsk FN2 about DAL FY2025 Q3
Transcript, numbers and history already loadedFree account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
The analysis highlights the launch of Delta One lounges at four airports, a higher full-year free-cash-flow outlook of $3.5–$4.0 billion, and a new Uber airport-transportation partnership.
Guidance delta
Management's guidance sentiment was maintained; the analysis notes that full-year cash guidance was increased.
Key takeaways
- The analysis describes strong Q3 performance, led by premium and corporate demand.
- Premiumization, fleet renewal, and capacity rationalization are central to the operating outlook.
- The main counterweights are main-cabin weakness, capacity discipline, and maintenance-cost inflation.
Management priorities
- Continue premium-seat expansion through retrofits and new aircraft deliveries
- Deliver approximately 40 new aircraft across 2025–2026
- Invest in airport infrastructure, digital experience, and Delta One lounges
Follow DAL with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.
Try FN2 freeEarnings History
Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 2, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 28, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Rothschild & Co | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 11, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 24, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 13, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Positive | Maintain | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 2, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Freedom Broker | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 13, 2023 |
| Redburn Partners | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Feb 8, 2023 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 5, 2023 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Oct 14, 2022 |
| Berenberg | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 20, 2022 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Nov 19, 2021 |
| MKM Partners | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 10, 2021 |
| Vertical Group | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 15, 2021 |
| Vertical Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 14, 2021 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Mar 26, 2020 |
| CFRA | Hold | Strong Buy | Downgrade | Feb 28, 2020 |
| Stephens & Co. | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jan 15, 2020 |
| Buckingham Research | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Dec 16, 2019 |
| Buckingham | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Dec 16, 2019 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 3, 2019 |
| Imperial Capital | In Line | In Line | Maintain | Jul 10, 2019 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 3, 2019 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 3, 2019 |
| Macquarie | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 26, 2017 |
| Atlantic Equities | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jun 20, 2017 |
| CRT Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 16, 2015 |
| Argus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 30, 2015 |
| S&P Capital IQ | Strong Buy | Buy | Upgrade | Jan 3, 2014 |
| Evercore Partners | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Dec 19, 2013 |
| Standpoint Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 2, 2013 |
| Dahlman Rose | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Dec 17, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $84.09. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Tom Fitzgerald | $101 | $84.13 | +20.1% | Oct 2, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Michael Goldie | $100 | $84.94 | +18.9% | Sep 28, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $105 | $81.54 | +24.9% | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Redburn Partners | Analyst unavailable | $105 | $79.43 | +24.9% | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $95 | $78.24 | +13.0% | Sep 11, 2026 |
| UBS | Atul Maheswari | $99 | $78.75 | +17.7% | Sep 10, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $98 | $82.87 | +16.5% | Aug 24, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Analyst unavailable | $105 | $85.57 | +24.9% | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Tom Fitzgerald | $112 | $86.19 | +33.2% | Jul 14, 2026 |
| UBS | Atul Maheswari | $112 | $85.75 | +33.2% | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $106 | $87.39 | +26.1% | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Ravi Shanker | $125 | $87.36 | +48.7% | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $110 | $87.7 | +30.8% | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $108 | $91.68 | +28.4% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Ravi Shanker | $115 | $93.66 | +36.8% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Savanthi Syth | $104 | $92.75 | +23.7% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Catherine O'Brien | $116 | $93.06 | +37.9% | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $105 | $93.17 | +24.9% | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Barclays | Brandon Oglenski | $105 | $90.65 | +24.9% | Jun 25, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $107 | $85.92 | +27.2% | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Bernstein | David Vernon | $93 | $83.14 | +10.6% | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $105 | $79.84 | +24.9% | Jun 1, 2026 |
| UBS | Atul Maheswari | $98 | $79 | +16.5% | May 26, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $88 | $73.33 | +4.6% | May 11, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $95 | $73.34 | +13.0% | May 7, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Duane Pfennigwerth | $85 | $74.46 | +1.1% | Apr 17, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $86 | $67.83 | +2.3% | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $78 | $67.83 | -7.2% | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Seaport Global | Analyst unavailable | $88 | $67.89 | +4.6% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $87 | $69.66 | +3.5% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Argus Research | John Staszak | $80 | $69.24 | -4.9% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bernstein | David Vernon | $81 | $70.18 | -3.7% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $72.31 | +1.1% | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Christopher Stathoulopoulos | $85 | $72 | +1.1% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Catherine O'Brien | $77 | $71.82 | -8.4% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Savanthi Syth | $80 | $70.15 | -4.9% | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $87 | $69.72 | +3.5% | Dec 18, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $70.56 | +7.0% | Dec 12, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Michael Goldie | $80 | $67.22 | -4.9% | Dec 8, 2025 |
| UBS | Thomas Wadewitz | $75 | $59.57 | -10.8% | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Savanthi Syth | $70 | $59.57 | -16.8% | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $74 | $59.57 | -12.0% | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $70 | $59.57 | -16.8% | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Michael Linenberg | $72 | $59.57 | -14.4% | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $68 | $57.08 | -19.1% | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $70 | $56.75 | -16.8% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $75 | $57.2 | -10.8% | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Barclays | Brandon Oglenski | $65 | $56.65 | -22.7% | Jul 11, 2025 |
| UBS | Thomas Wadewitz | $72 | $56.65 | -14.4% | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Susquehanna | Christopher Stathoulopoulos | $65 | $56.65 | -22.7% | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Catherine O'Brien | $67 | $56.78 | -20.3% | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Bernstein | David Vernon | $60 | $47.56 | -28.6% | Jun 18, 2025 |
| UBS | Thomas Wadewitz | $66 | $51.19 | -21.5% | May 19, 2025 |
| UBS | Thomas Wadewitz | $42 | $36.7 | -50.1% | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $46 | $42.42 | -45.3% | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $100 | $46.68 | +18.9% | Mar 11, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Michael Linenberg | $82 | $61.18 | -2.5% | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Catherine O'Brien | $83 | $64.85 | -1.3% | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $72 | $63.56 | -14.4% | Nov 11, 2024 |
| HSBC | Achal Kumar | $68.3 | $50.42 | -18.8% | Oct 11, 2024 |
| Bernstein | David Vernon | $65 | $49.47 | -22.7% | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Andrew Didora | $55 | $37.93 | -34.6% | Aug 5, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $56 | $46.98 | -33.4% | Jul 9, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Duane Pfenningwerth | $65 | $48.81 | -22.7% | Jun 25, 2024 |
| HSBC | Achal Kumar | $72.8 | $52.99 | -13.4% | May 13, 2024 |
| Susquehanna | Christopher Stathoulopoulos | $55 | $46.24 | -34.6% | Apr 11, 2024 |
| Argus Research | John Staszak | $55 | $46.24 | -34.6% | Apr 11, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Michael Linenberg | $60 | $46.24 | -28.6% | Apr 11, 2024 |
| Susquehanna | Christopher Stathoulopoulos | $54 | $47.01 | -35.8% | Apr 9, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $58 | $48.22 | -31.0% | Apr 2, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Ravi Shanker | $85 | $47.87 | +1.1% | Apr 1, 2024 |
| UBS | Atul Maheswari | $59 | $43.74 | -29.8% | Mar 19, 2024 |
| Susquehanna | Christopher Stathoulopoulos | $44 | $42.42 | -47.7% | Jan 10, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Ravi Shanker | $77 | $34.1 | -8.4% | Oct 13, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Savanthi Syth | $54 | $35.7 | -35.8% | Oct 11, 2023 |
| Deutsche Bank | Michael Linenberg | $58 | $48.52 | -31.0% | Jul 12, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Ravi Shanker | $70 | $46.71 | -16.8% | Jun 28, 2023 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $44 | $38.09 | -47.7% | Jan 11, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $59 | $33.49 | -29.8% | Dec 19, 2022 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $40 | $33.1 | -52.4% | Dec 15, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Ravi Shanker | $65 | $31.17 | -22.7% | Oct 14, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Raymond James Raymond James | $52 | $30.62 | -38.2% | Oct 7, 2022 |
| Melius Research | Conor Cunningham | $41 | $35 | -51.2% | Aug 15, 2022 |
| Berenberg Bank | Conor Dwyer | $48.5 | $31.8 | -42.3% | Jul 31, 2022 |
| Susquehanna | Christopher Stathoulopoulos | $35 | $31.41 | -58.4% | Jul 26, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Michael Linenberg | $47 | $29.77 | -44.1% | Jul 14, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Chloe Lemarie | $60 | $29.9 | -28.6% | Jul 8, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $29.91 | -46.5% | Jul 8, 2022 |
| Evercore ISI | Duane Pfennigwerth | $56 | $29.44 | -33.4% | Jul 6, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Savanthi Syth | $50 | $29.37 | -40.5% | Jun 23, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $50 | $30 | -40.5% | Jun 23, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Catherine O’Brien | $45 | $38.54 | -46.5% | Jun 6, 2022 |
| Barclays | Brandon Oglenski | $60 | $40.72 | -28.6% | May 17, 2022 |
| J.P. Morgan | Analyst unavailable | $70 | $44.14 | -16.8% | Apr 22, 2022 |
| Argus Research | John Staszak | $50 | $43.54 | -40.5% | Apr 21, 2022 |
| UBS | Myles Walton | $53 | $42.13 | -37.0% | Apr 18, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Catherine O’Brien | $44 | $42.36 | -47.7% | Apr 14, 2022 |
| Barclays | Brandon Oglenski | $42 | $38.21 | -50.1% | Apr 11, 2022 |
| Redburn Partners | James Goodall | $38 | $39.85 | -54.8% | Feb 6, 2022 |
| Berenberg Bank | Adrian Yanoshik | $50 | $38.28 | -40.5% | Jan 30, 2022 |
| Argus Research | John Staszak | $46 | $39.54 | -45.3% | Jan 18, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Savanthi Syth | $53 | $40.31 | -37.0% | Jan 14, 2022 |
| J.P. Morgan | Jamie Baker | $50 | $40.31 | -40.5% | Jan 14, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Catherine O'Brien | $40 | $41.47 | -52.4% | Jan 13, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Michael Linenberg | $55 | $41.47 | -34.6% | Jan 13, 2022 |
| Susquehanna | Christopher Stathoulopoulos | $50 | $41.47 | -40.5% | Jan 13, 2022 |
| Bernstein | David Vernon | $67 | $41.51 | -20.3% | Jan 7, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Helane Becker | $54 | $41.2 | -35.8% | Oct 14, 2021 |
| UBS | Myles Walton | $48 | $40.11 | -42.9% | Sep 17, 2021 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Joseph DeNardi | $58 | $41.35 | -31.0% | Jul 15, 2021 |
| MKM Partners | Conor Cunningham | $59 | $46.28 | -29.8% | Jun 10, 2021 |
Track every rating change on DAL the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationDelta Air Lines, Inc. provides scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Airline and Refinery. Its domestic network centered on core hubs in Atlanta, Detroit, Minneapolis-St. Paul, and Salt Lake City, as well as coastal hub positions in Boston, Los Angeles, New York-LaGuardia, New York-JFK, and Seattle; and international network centered on hubs and market presence in Amsterdam, Bogota, Lima, Mexico City, London-Heathrow, Paris-Charles de Gaulle, Santiago (Chile), Sao Paulo, Seoul-Incheon, and Tokyo. It also provides aircraft maintenance and engineering support, repair, and overhaul services; and vacation packages. The company operates through a fleet of approximately 1,314 aircraft. Delta Air Lines, Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Historical context
All DAL earningsIndustrials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTAS Cintas Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +3.0% | -3.4% | Cintas raises FY2027 guidance as Q1 growth broadens |
| PAYX Paychex, Inc. | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +1.5% | -8.8% | Paychex maintains FY27 outlook as PEO and AI momentum strengthen |
| FPS Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +4.3% | +9.5% | Forgent Power Solutions pairs record results with an aggressive FY27 buildout |
| CPRT Copart, Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | -8.7% | -2.6% | Copart pairs international growth with ACV investment amid higher costs |
| SUNB Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +19.2% | +5.9% | Sunbelt raises FY27 outlook as specialty rental demand accelerates |
| FRO Frontline Plc | FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +8.0% | +1.0% | Frontline posts a record quarter as tanker rates remain elevated |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- ACNFY2026 Q4 · October 1, 2026+3.5% EPS+15.8% move
- MKCFY2026 Q3 · October 1, 2026+13.9% EPS-4.9% move
- NKEFY2027 Q1 · October 1, 2026+10.0% EPS-0.7% move
- CAGFY2027 Q1 · September 30, 2026+44.4% EPS-4.9% move
- FDSFY2026 Q4 · September 30, 2026+3.9% EPS+3.8% move
- JBLFY2026 Q4 · September 30, 2026+8.1% EPS-10.0% move
Get the DAL recap when the next report posts
One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T10:50:41.743084+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T10:50:41.739584+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.