Delta Air Lines, Inc. · DAL · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Delta protects margins as demand becomes more uneven

The quarter supports a measured resilience case: stronger premium, loyalty, cargo and MRO areas are being paired with capacity discipline, but demand softness and external cost risks leave the trajectory dependent on execution.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $54.56B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.40
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $13.75B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +23.4% Event window
SPY move +10.5% Same window
Abnormal move +12.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +9.6% Up to 20 sessions
DALSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The emphasis shifted from broad growth to tighter supply-demand management. Management highlighted flatter second-half capacity, accelerated retirements and a UPS MRO partnership while acknowledging softer domestic Main Cabin demand and tariff-related uncertainty.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook while planning flatter second-half capacity growth and margin protection measures.

Key takeaways

  • Premium, loyalty, cargo and MRO were described as resilient areas despite softer domestic Main Cabin demand.
  • Management plans to align second-half capacity more closely with demand and accelerate older-aircraft retirements.
  • The UPS MRO agreement adds a diversification initiative alongside continued focus on premium products, loyalty and cargo.
  • The central question is whether capacity discipline can offset macro uncertainty and uneven travel demand.

Management priorities

  • Match capacity growth to demand in the second half.
  • Retire older aircraft and limit net fleet additions.
  • Continue developing premium, loyalty, cargo and MRO revenue streams while managing costs.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DAL REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $14B Q4 '23 actual $14B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $13B Q1 '24 actual $14B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $15B Q2 '24 actual $17B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $15B Q3 '24 actual $16B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $15B Q2 '25 actual $17B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $15B Q3 '25 actual $17B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $15B Q4 '25 actual $15B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $14B Q1 '26 actual $14B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $17B Q2 '26 actual $20B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $18B Q4 '26 estimate $17B Q1 '27 estimate $16B Q2 '27 estimate $19B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish3784.1%
Neutral715.9%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$82.97Previous close
$38Low
$79.84Average
$125High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 8, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainOct 7, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 7, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 6, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 2, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 28, 2026
Show 39 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $82.97. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$100$82.61 +20.5%Oct 7, 2026
SusquehannaChristopher Stathoulopoulos$100$83.66 +20.5%Oct 7, 2026
BernsteinDavid Vernon$100$83.66 +20.5%Oct 7, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$100$83.08 +20.5%Oct 6, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldTom Fitzgerald$101$84.13 +21.7%Oct 2, 2026
See 110 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Delta Air Lines, Inc. provides scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Airline and Refinery. Its domestic network centered on core hubs in Atlanta, Detroit, Minneapolis-St. Paul, and Salt Lake City, as well as coastal hub positions in Boston, Los Angeles, New York-LaGuardia, New York-JFK, and Seattle; and international network centered on hubs and market presence in Amsterdam, Bogota, Lima, Mexico City, London-Heathrow, Paris-Charles de Gaulle, Santiago (Chile), Sao Paulo, Seoul-Incheon, and Tokyo. It also provides aircraft maintenance and engineering support, repair, and overhaul services; and vacation packages. The company operates through a fleet of approximately 1,314 aircraft. Delta Air Lines, Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-03-26T00:01:18.281069+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-08T09:30:44.129106+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-08T09:30:44.126143+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-08. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.