Corteva, Inc. · CTVA · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Corteva raises 2026 outlook as licensing and products support growth

Corteva's raised outlook and product and licensing momentum strengthen the operating case, while Latin America pricing and farmer-margin pressure remain key tests.

Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials $53.69B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.30 Consensus $2.24
EPS surprise +2.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.38B Consensus $6.60B
Revenue surprise -3.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -11.9% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -12.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +6.6% Up to 20 sessions
CTVASPY benchmark

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What changed

Management raised full-year operating EBITDA and EPS outlooks after a strong first half. The planned separation remains on track for October 1, with a smaller-than-expected separation headwind.

Guidance delta

Raised full-year operating EBITDA guidance to $4.1-$4.3 billion and EPS guidance to $3.60-$3.80.

Key takeaways

  • First-half results exceeded expectations, with double-digit EBITDA growth and margin expansion.
  • New product launches, licensing revenue and productivity initiatives are supporting growth.
  • The separation into two public companies is on track for October 1, with limited expected cost impact.
  • Latin America pricing pressure and tight farmer margins remain important execution risks.

Management priorities

  • Execute the October 1 separation and launch Vylor as a standalone seed and genetics company.
  • Continue new-product launches, including the pipeline of seven new actives.
  • Expand licensing, productivity initiatives and the nature-based and biological portfolio.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CTVA REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $4B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $5B Q1 '24 actual $4B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $6B Q2 '24 actual $6B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $3B Q3 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $6B Q2 '25 actual $6B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $4B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '26 actual $5B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7B Q2 '26 actual $6B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '27 estimate $5B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy35 ratings
Bullish2262.9%
Neutral1131.4%
Bearish25.7%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$80.34Previous close
$53Low
$78.58Average
$103High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 17, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 16, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 16, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 16, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $80.34. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalJoel Jackson$95$83.11 +18.2%Sep 16, 2026
New StreetAnalyst unavailable$95$83.39 +18.2%Sep 16, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$90$83.39 +12.0%Sep 16, 2026
Deutsche BankDavid Begleiter$101$77.75 +25.7%Aug 3, 2026
BMO CapitalJoel Jackson$100$78.71 +24.5%Aug 3, 2026
See 57 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Corteva, Inc. operates in the agriculture business. The company operates through two segments, Seed and Crop Protection. The Seed segment develops and supplies advanced germplasm and traits that produce optimum yield for farms. It offers trait technologies that enhance resistance to weather, disease, insects, and herbicides used to control weeds, as well as food and nutritional characteristics. This segment also provides digital solutions that assist farmer decision-making with a view to optimize product selection, and maximize yield and profitability.…

Historical context

All CTVA earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-31T15:08:27.974488+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-04T01:23:15.205020+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T07:00:55.764329+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T07:00:55.761480+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.