Cisco Systems, Inc. · CSCO · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q2 2025

Cisco: AI orders accelerate as networking and software momentum builds

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Cisco’s AI infrastructure demand, networking upgrades and growing subscription mix provide evidence for continued earnings momentum, while tariff exposure, competitive pressure and uncertain AI order-to-revenue conversion limit confidence in the durability of that growth.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $442.23B market cap
70quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.91
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $14.05B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.8% Event window
SPY move +0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +4.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.3% Up to 20 sessions
CSCOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The call analysis points to accelerating AI infrastructure orders, stronger recurring-revenue mix, continued networking and security momentum, new strategic partnerships and a leadership transition. Management maintained guidance, while tariff exposure and AI revenue-conversion timing remained important watch items.

Guidance delta

Management maintained guidance and reaffirmed its Q4 and full-year outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Management described strong Q3 execution across networking, security and AI infrastructure.
  • AI infrastructure orders exceeded $600 million in Q3 and moved past the FY25 target ahead of schedule.
  • Subscription and software revenue reached 56% of total revenue, supporting a more recurring revenue mix.
  • The company highlighted NVIDIA, HUMAIN, G42 and ServiceNow partnerships alongside WiFi 7, Meraki and security initiatives.
  • The main counterweights are tariff uncertainty, macro sensitivity, competitive pressure and the conversion of AI orders into revenue.

Management priorities

  • Convert AI infrastructure demand into revenue through Silicon One, the G200 platform and secure AI factory offerings.
  • Expand subscription and recurring revenue across software and security.
  • Continue WiFi 7 and next-generation campus switching launches.
  • Advance partnerships, sovereign-cloud initiatives and security integrations.
  • Execute the leadership transition while maintaining investment in recurring-revenue models.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CSCO REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $14B Q1 '24 actual $15B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $13B Q2 '24 actual $13B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $13B Q3 '24 actual $13B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $14B Q4 '24 actual $14B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $15B Q4 '25 actual $15B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $15B Q1 '26 actual $15B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $15B Q2 '26 actual $15B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $16B Q3 '26 actual $16B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $17B Q4 '26 actual $17B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $18B Q2 '27 estimate $18B Q3 '27 estimate $18B Q4 '27 estimate $19B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold73 ratings
Bullish3852.0%
Neutral3446.6%
Bearish11.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$112.2Previous close
$44Low
$84.54Average
$150High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 22, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeSep 1, 2026
HSBC Hold BuyDowngradeAug 14, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Show 68 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $112.2. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$110$106.94 -2.0%Sep 30, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$125$111.46 +11.4%Sep 22, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$135$110.49 +20.3%Aug 31, 2026
HSBCStephen Bersey$120$113.47 +7.0%Aug 14, 2026
Truist FinancialMatthew Niknam$140$114.38 +24.8%Aug 13, 2026
See 93 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Cisco Systems, Inc. is a leading global technology company focused on designing, producing, and marketing Internet Protocol (IP)-based networking equipment, software, and associated products within the communications and information technology industries. The company operates extensively across major regions including the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific, specifically covering Japan and China. Its comprehensive product lineup features switching solutions for both enterprise campuses and data centers. Cisco's enterprise routing segment is crucial for securely and reliably interconnecting public, private, wired, and mobile networks, ensuring vital connectivity across corporate campuses, data centers, and branch offices. Additionally, the company provides a range of wireless products offering seamless indoor and outdoor roaming for voice, video, and data applications.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-05-02T20:34:24.035318+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T06:00:46.971707+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T06:00:46.968796+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.