Cisco Systems, Inc. · CSCO · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2024

Cisco: AI orders accelerate as Splunk integration supports security

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: recurring revenue, security demand and AI orders provide growth support, while margin normalization, federal spending uncertainty, competition and Splunk execution remain important counterweights.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $464.85B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.87
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $13.77B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -2.1% Event window
SPY move -0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -1.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.2% Up to 20 sessions
CSCOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis emphasizes more than $300 million of AI orders from webscale customers, doubled security orders, subscription revenue at 57% of total, a 69.3% gross margin and early milestones for HyperShield and Wi-Fi 7.

Guidance delta

Maintained; the supplied analysis does not identify a new guidance change.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue met the high end of guidance, while subscription revenue reached 57% of total.
  • Security orders doubled year over year, supported by Splunk integration and new offerings.
  • AI orders from webscale customers exceeded $300 million in the quarter.
  • Gross margin reached 69.3%, partly aided by a one-time duty-drawback benefit.

Management priorities

  • Expand AI infrastructure through AI servers, AI PODs, Hyperfabric and Wi-Fi 7.
  • Continue integrating Splunk across security and networking products.
  • Advance the security and AI product pipeline through R&D and targeted acquisitions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CSCO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.03 Q1 '24 actual $1.11, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.84 Q2 '24 actual $0.87, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.83 Q3 '24 actual $0.88, beat Q4 '24 estimate $0.85 Q4 '24 actual $0.87, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.98 Q4 '25 actual $0.99, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.98 Q1 '26 actual $1.00, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.02 Q2 '26 actual $1.04, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.03 Q3 '26 actual $1.06, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.17 Q4 '26 actual $1.22, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.32 Q2 '27 estimate $1.22 Q3 '27 estimate $1.24 Q4 '27 estimate $1.31
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold73 ratings
Bullish3852.0%
Neutral3446.6%
Bearish11.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$117.94Previous close
$44Low
$84.54Average
$150High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 22, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeSep 1, 2026
HSBC Hold BuyDowngradeAug 14, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Show 68 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $117.94. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$110$106.94 -6.7%Sep 30, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$125$111.46 +6.0%Sep 22, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$135$110.49 +14.5%Aug 31, 2026
HSBCStephen Bersey$120$113.47 +1.7%Aug 14, 2026
Truist FinancialMatthew Niknam$140$114.38 +18.7%Aug 13, 2026
See 93 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Cisco Systems, Inc. is a leading global technology company focused on designing, producing, and marketing Internet Protocol (IP)-based networking equipment, software, and associated products within the communications and information technology industries. The company operates extensively across major regions including the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific, specifically covering Japan and China. Its comprehensive product lineup features switching solutions for both enterprise campuses and data centers. Cisco's enterprise routing segment is crucial for securely and reliably interconnecting public, private, wired, and mobile networks, ensuring vital connectivity across corporate campuses, data centers, and branch offices. Additionally, the company provides a range of wireless products offering seamless indoor and outdoor roaming for voice, video, and data applications.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:39:04.055137+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T11:40:40.999430+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T11:40:40.996672+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.