CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. · CRWD · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

CrowdStrike: AI demand and Falcon Flex support Q2 acceleration

The supplied analysis supports the view that CrowdStrike’s growth trajectory remains constructive: AI-security demand, Falcon Flex adoption, and cross-module expansion are supporting ARR acceleration. The main test is whether management can sustain that acceleration while navigating partner-program changes, competition, and Onum integration.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $274.97B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.23 Consensus $0.21
EPS surprise +11.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.17B Consensus $1.15B
Revenue surprise +1.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.6% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +4.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.9% Up to 20 sessions
CRWDSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, management highlighted record Q2 performance, stronger AI-security demand, more than 1,000 Falcon Flex customers, and the planned Onum acquisition. The company maintained its guidance sentiment and added a clearer focus on protecting AI agents and the broader AI lifecycle.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook while reaffirming a back-half net-new ARR growth target of at least 40% year over year.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record Q2 performance, with revenue up 21% year over year and net-new ARR of $221 million.
  • Falcon Flex, reflex contracts, and demand for AI security products were identified as growth drivers.
  • The planned Onum acquisition would add data-pipeline capabilities to Falcon NextGen SIEM.
  • The thesis is supported by current momentum, but depends on continued ARR acceleration and execution.

Management priorities

  • Expand Falcon Flex, Charlotte AI, next-generation SIEM, and identity offerings.
  • Integrate Onum and add real-time pipeline detection capabilities.
  • Continue back-half net-new ARR acceleration and broaden ecosystem partnerships.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CRWD REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $839M Q3 '24 actual $786M, miss Q4 '24 estimate $839M Q4 '24 actual $845M, beat Q1 '25 estimate $905M Q1 '25 actual $921M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $960M Q2 '25 actual $964M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q3 '26 actual $1B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 actual $1B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q1 '27 actual $1B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1B Q2 '27 actual $1B, beat Q3 '27 estimate $2B Q4 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy66 ratings
Bullish5075.8%
Neutral1421.2%
Bearish23.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$270.04Current
$30Low
$154.31Average
$425High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 2, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 21, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 18, 2026
Bernstein Market Perform Market PerformMaintainSep 17, 2026
Show 61 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $270.04. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$254$237.65 -5.9%Sep 21, 2026
StephensTodd Weller$280$237.28 +3.7%Sep 18, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$132$241.36 -51.1%Sep 17, 2026
Roth CapitalTaz Koujalgi$220$214.97 -18.5%Sep 3, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$235$203.42 -13.0%Sep 3, 2026
See 322 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. delivers cloud-native cybersecurity solutions. Its comprehensive suite safeguards endpoints, cloud workloads, user identities, and critical data. The company's offerings span a wide range, including threat intelligence, managed security services, IT operations management, proactive threat hunting, Zero Trust identity protection, and log management capabilities. CrowdStrike primarily generates revenue through subscription sales of its flagship Falcon platform and its array of cloud modules. These offerings are distributed globally via a direct sales force, augmented by an extensive network of channel partners. Established in 2011, the company is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T05:16:10.924076+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T05:16:10.920873+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.