Carpenter Technology Corporation · CRS · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q2 2026

Carpenter Technology Raises FY2026 Outlook on Aerospace Demand

The quarter strengthens the case for continued earnings momentum from aerospace demand, pricing, productivity, and added capacity. Whether that momentum persists depends on lead-time management, pricing durability, and the aerospace and defense cycle.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $14.48B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.77 Consensus $2.63
EPS surprise +5.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $811.5M Consensus $797.0M
Revenue surprise +1.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -5.0% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -5.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +13.6% Up to 20 sessions
CRSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the supplied analysis shows another record SAO margin, a brownfield expansion still on schedule, lower FY2026 capital-spending guidance due to cash-timing changes, and a raised FY2026 operating-income outlook.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2026 operating-income guidance; the supplied analysis says the outlook implies at least 33% growth over FY2025.

Key takeaways

  • Record FY2026 Q3 results and cash generation extended the company’s earnings momentum.
  • Aerospace and defense demand, pricing, productivity, and mix supported record SAO adjusted operating margin.
  • The brownfield expansion remains on budget and on schedule while capital allocation stays balanced.

Management priorities

  • Complete the brownfield capacity expansion and bring new equipment online.
  • Pursue additional long-term aerospace agreements and invest in high-margin growth projects.
  • Maintain productivity and margin expansion while continuing disciplined capital allocation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CRS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $657M Q2 '24 actual $624M, miss Q3 '24 estimate $708M Q3 '24 actual $685M, miss Q4 '24 estimate $764M Q4 '24 actual $799M, beat Q1 '25 estimate $743M Q1 '25 actual $718M, miss Q4 '25 estimate $793M Q4 '25 actual $756M, miss Q1 '26 estimate $718M Q1 '26 actual $734M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $691M Q2 '26 actual $728M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $797M Q3 '26 actual $812M, beat Q4 '26 estimate $863M Q4 '26 actual $851M, miss Q1 '27 estimate $831M Q1 '27 actual $798M, miss Q2 '27 estimate $825M Q3 '27 estimate $908M Q4 '27 estimate $943M Q1 '28 estimate $924M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy21 ratings
Bullish1466.7%
Neutral628.6%
Bearish14.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$292.26Previous close
$144Low
$457.12Average
$620High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 14, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 9, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 8, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 30, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 16 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $292.26. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
KeyBancSamuel McKinney$465$391.17 +59.1%Oct 8, 2026
KeyBancSamuel McKinney$608$519.66 +108.0%Aug 3, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$600$521.89 +105.3%Jul 31, 2026
BTIGAndre Madrid$620$514.6 +112.1%Jul 31, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$680$597.14 +132.7%Jul 9, 2026
See 11 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Carpenter Technology Corporation is a global leader in the production and supply of high-performance metallic materials, serving markets across the United States, Europe, Asia Pacific, Mexico, and Canada. The company's operations are structured into two primary divisions: Specialty Alloys Operations and Performance Engineered Products. Its diverse product portfolio encompasses advanced alloys like titanium, stainless, alloy, and tool steels, alongside various powder metals, additives, and custom-fabricated metal components. These specialized materials are critical to numerous industries, including aerospace, defense, medical devices, transportation, energy generation, general manufacturing, and consumer goods. Established in 1889, Carpenter Technology maintains its corporate headquarters in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-23T11:40:43.066954+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-23T11:40:43.064054+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.