Campbell Soup Company · CPB · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2025

Campbell lowers outlook as Snacks weakness weighs on growth

The supplied analysis weakens the case for near-term earnings growth: acquisition contribution and brand initiatives provide support, but organic pressure, Snacks margin contraction, and a lowered outlook show that resilient demand is not yet established.

Reported Before market openNASDAQConsumer Defensive $5.85B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.73
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.74B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.9% Event window
SPY move +1.1% Same window
Abnormal move -3.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.5% Up to 20 sessions
CPBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management's tone shifted from confident to cautious. The current analysis points to weaker organic sales, a significant Snacks margin decline, a lowered full-year outlook, and a higher cost-savings target, while emphasizing innovation, Rao's, Sovos integration, and debt reduction.

Guidance delta

Lowered versus the prior quarter, with management's outlook now reflecting weaker organic sales and lower adjusted EPS expectations.

Key takeaways

  • Reported sales growth was acquisition-led, while organic sales declined as snack categories weakened.
  • Snacks margin pressure and higher promotional and supply-chain costs are central to the near-term debate.
  • Management is leaning on Rao's, product innovation, Sovos integration, and cost savings to support recovery.
  • Tariff exposure, private-label competition, and consumer weakness remain material risks.

Management priorities

  • Continue integrating Sovos Brands and pursue additional cost savings.
  • Accelerate Rao's awareness and expand its assortment.
  • Launch innovation across Snacks and improve value through price-pack architecture.
  • Use Noosa divestiture proceeds to reduce debt.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CPB REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $3B Q4 '24 actual $2B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $3B Q2 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold29 ratings
Bullish13.5%
Neutral1758.6%
Bearish1137.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$19.62Current
$18Low
$33.8Average
$59High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 14, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 8, 2026
UBS Sell SellMaintainSep 4, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 4, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainSep 4, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $19.62. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$21$21 +7.0%Sep 14, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$19$21.27 -3.2%Sep 4, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$18$22.12 -8.3%Sep 4, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$20$22.12 +1.9%Sep 3, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$22$23.39 +12.1%Aug 31, 2026
See 78 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is a leading international producer and marketer of a wide variety of food and beverage products. The enterprise conducts its business through two main operational divisions: Meals & Beverages and Snacks. The Meals & Beverages segment serves both retail and food service industries throughout the United States and Canada. Its extensive product range includes classic Campbell's condensed and ready-to-enjoy soups; Swanson brand broths and stocks; Pacific Foods' line of broths, soups, and non-dairy beverages; Prego pasta sauces; Pace brand Mexican sauces; Campbell's gravies, pasta dishes, beans, and dinner sauces; Swanson canned poultry; Plum organic baby food and snacks; V8 juices and drinks; and Campbell's tomato juice. The Snacks division primarily targets the retail sector, with a significant presence in Latin America.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-19T00:02:15.224412+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T06:06:05.634004+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T06:06:05.631116+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.