Corpay, Inc. · CPAY · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Corpay Maintains Guidance as Payments Growth Broadens

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional thesis: Corpay's growth plan is backed by corporate-payments momentum, Cross-Border expansion, and portfolio actions, while the investment case still depends on execution and the durability of recent volume trends.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $26.59B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $4.51
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.02B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.1% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -0.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.6% Up to 20 sessions
CPAYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added a Mastercard strategic partnership and investment, a minority investment in Avid with a call option, and a plan to divest three non-core businesses. Management also maintained full-year guidance and emphasized Cross-Border, payables, vehicle payments, and further acquisition activity.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management left full-year guidance unchanged.

Key takeaways

  • Management described Q1 revenue and cash EPS as ahead of expectations while maintaining full-year guidance.
  • The Mastercard partnership is intended to support Cross-Border growth; Corpay also invested in Avid with an option to acquire the remainder.
  • Portfolio reshaping is part of the plan: Corpay expects divestitures to generate liquidity while continuing to pursue payments acquisitions.
  • The main counterweights are tariff and macro uncertainty, integration execution, and questions around the divestiture and partnership outcomes.

Management priorities

  • Expand Cross-Border and multi-currency offerings, including through the Mastercard relationship.
  • Launch the UK payables product, deepen enterprise payments, and continue US vehicle-payments sales and cross-sell efforts.
  • Evaluate further corporate-payments acquisitions, including the potential exercise of the Avid call option, while executing planned divestitures.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CPAY EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $4.09 Q1 '24 actual $4.10, match Q2 '24 estimate $4.51 Q2 '24 actual $4.55, beat Q3 '24 estimate $4.97 Q3 '24 actual $5.00, beat Q2 '25 estimate $5.12 Q2 '25 actual $5.13, match Q3 '25 estimate $5.63 Q3 '25 actual $5.70, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5.95 Q4 '25 actual $6.04, beat Q1 '26 estimate $5.47 Q1 '26 actual $5.80, beat Q2 '26 estimate $6.58 Q2 '26 actual $7.00, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7.17 Q4 '26 estimate $7.37 Q1 '27 estimate $6.85
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy18 ratings
Bullish1477.8%
Neutral422.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$402.43Current
$285Low
$405.57Average
$536High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 8, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 31, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 10, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 6, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 6, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 6, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 28, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 31, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 6, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 12, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 7, 2025
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainApr 24, 2025
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 14, 2025
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainDec 13, 2024
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainNov 14, 2024
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainOct 16, 2024
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 15, 2024
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 25, 2024
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $402.43. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$536$404.81 +33.2%Sep 2, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$438$407.88 +8.8%Aug 31, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$530$413.92 +31.7%Aug 25, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldRamsey El-Assal$480$397.2 +19.3%Aug 10, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$455$397.55 +13.1%Aug 7, 2026
Robert W. BairdDavid Koning$475$394.15 +18.0%Aug 6, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$415$390.5 +3.1%Aug 6, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$423$394.53 +5.1%Aug 6, 2026
Wolfe ResearchDarrin Peller$475$394.53 +18.0%Aug 6, 2026
Raymond JamesMadison Suhr$442$394.53 +9.8%Aug 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyMichael Infante$415$379.71 +3.1%Jul 28, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$450$359.82 +11.8%Jun 3, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$406$348.5 +0.9%May 18, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$400$343.99 -0.6%May 10, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$388$338.65 -3.6%May 8, 2026
Raymond JamesJohn Davis$361$324.33 -10.3%Mar 5, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$380$354.96 -5.6%Feb 10, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$340$335 -15.5%Feb 6, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$363$331.01 -9.8%Feb 5, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$378$331.13 -6.1%Feb 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyMichael Infante$390$300.28 -3.1%Feb 5, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldRamsey El-Assal$385$324 -4.3%Jan 26, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$379$320.52 -5.8%Jan 26, 2026
OppenheimerRayna Kumar$380$297.39 -5.6%Dec 5, 2025
Williams TradingTrevor Williams$300$260.35 -25.5%Nov 3, 2025
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$356$301.7 -11.5%Aug 10, 2025
Raymond JamesJohn Davis$392$304.5 -2.6%Aug 7, 2025
Robert W. BairdDavid Koning$440$350.59 +9.3%Jun 10, 2025
BMO CapitalRufus Hone$400$366.01 -0.6%Nov 8, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$265$335.47 -34.2%Oct 29, 2024
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$325$338.92 -19.2%Oct 29, 2024
Williams TradingTrevor Williams$375$306.88 -6.8%Sep 18, 2024
Williams TradingTrevor Williams$350$297.52 -13.0%Jul 18, 2024
BarclaysRamsey El-Assal$330$267.15 -18.0%Jun 22, 2024
Wells FargoAndrew Bauch$285$257.92 -29.2%Jun 5, 2024
BarclaysRamsey El-Assal$350$283.44 -13.0%May 13, 2024
BMO CapitalRufus Hone$350$290.74 -13.0%May 9, 2024
RBC CapitalDaniel Perlin$310$304.5 -23.0%May 9, 2024
BarclaysRamsey El-Assal$355$296.29 -11.8%Apr 16, 2024
Williams TradingTrevor Williams$355$305.72 -11.8%Apr 12, 2024
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Corpay, Inc. operates as a global financial technology firm, delivering payment solutions that assist both businesses and individual consumers in efficiently managing a diverse range of expenditures. Its expertise primarily covers vehicle-related costs, corporate financial transactions, and lodging expenses, with operations spanning the United States, Brazil, the United Kingdom, and numerous other international markets. Among its specialized services are comprehensive vehicle payment offerings, which include provisions for fuel, road tolls, parking fees, fleet maintenance, and long-distance transportation. The company also supplies prepaid vouchers and cards for food and transit requirements.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-22T00:02:47.536505+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T23:50:43.562048+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T23:50:43.559073+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.