Coherent, Inc. · COHR · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026

Coherent posts record FY26 revenue as optics capacity expands

Coherent’s record FY26 results, strong data-center and communications demand, expanding Indium Phosphide capacity, and backlog through 2028 support the case for continued growth. The evidence is constructive, but the thesis depends on capacity execution, new-product ramps, and sustained AI infrastructure demand.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $62.09B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.74 Consensus $1.62
EPS surprise +7.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.05B Consensus $1.98B
Revenue surprise +3.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -8.0% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -8.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.7% Up to 20 sessions
COHRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, Coherent reported record FY26 revenue and a 6-inch Indium Phosphide ramp that is driving higher output and margin expansion. The company added PhotonLink as an upcoming platform, advanced CPO timing toward the December quarter, and said backlog extends through calendar 2028.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook and provided Q1 FY27 guidance of $2.2-$2.4 billion revenue, 39.5%-41.5% non-GAAP gross margin, and $1.85-$2.05 EPS.

Key takeaways

  • FY26 revenue reached a record $7.12 billion, supported by 41% data-center growth and 54% communications growth.
  • The 6-inch Indium Phosphide ramp lifted laser output 80% year over year and helped gross margin reach 40.2% in Q4.
  • PhotonLink, CPO, OCS, and multi-rail products are expected to begin contributing in the second half of FY27.
  • Backlog extends through calendar 2028, with long-term agreements supporting volume and pricing visibility.

Management priorities

  • Scale 6-inch Indium Phosphide production and add a third Zurich line in the first half of calendar 2027.
  • Launch PhotonLink and begin commercial CPO laser shipments in the December quarter.
  • Expand capacity and capital spending for data-center and communications demand.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
COHR REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, miss Q4 '24 estimate $1B Q4 '24 actual $1B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1B Q1 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 actual $2B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 estimate $2B Q3 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy31 ratings
Bullish2477.4%
Neutral722.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$322.02Current
$52Low
$213.03Average
$455High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainSep 1, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 13, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Show 26 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $322.02. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$400$277.83 +24.2%Aug 31, 2026
Stifel NicolausRuben Roy$420$337.34 +30.4%Aug 13, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$448$348.88 +39.1%Aug 13, 2026
NeedhamRyan Koontz$420$355.64 +30.4%Aug 13, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$420$355.64 +30.4%Aug 13, 2026
See 54 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Coherent, Inc. specializes in advanced laser technologies, offering a comprehensive suite of products that includes lasers, laser-based solutions, and complete systems. These are deployed across a spectrum of uses, from commercial and industrial operations to critical scientific research. The company's operations are distinctly segmented into two primary areas: laser sources for Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and industrial lasers alongside integrated systems. Coherent handles the entire lifecycle of its offerings, from conceptual design and manufacturing to global marketing and ongoing service.…

Technology peers this season

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SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
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DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-12T22:12:07.589691+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-17T01:23:13.296768+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T16:50:51.085064+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T16:50:51.081692+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.