CMS Energy Corporation · CMS · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

CMS Energy pairs utility growth with NorthStar restructuring

The call supports a constructive but execution-dependent view: regulated utility investment, Michigan load growth, and strategic simplification provide potential support for earnings growth, while regulatory approvals, asset-sale execution, and financing remain key checks.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $20.15B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.37 Consensus $0.36
EPS surprise +3.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.83B Consensus $1.87B
Revenue surprise -2.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.1% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -7.6% Up to 20 sessions
CMSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management reaffirmed FY2026 EPS guidance, introduced FY2027 guidance, and described a strategic exit from non-utility renewable development. The company also emphasized a $24 billion five-year utility investment plan and a new large-load tariff for data centers.

Guidance delta

FY2026 EPS guidance was reaffirmed at $3.83-$3.90; FY2027 guidance was introduced at $4.08-$4.17.

Key takeaways

  • CMS is exiting non-utility renewable development while retaining selected assets.
  • Management highlighted Michigan data-center and industrial-load demand supported by a new large-load tariff.
  • A $24 billion five-year utility capital plan targets 10.5% rate-base growth.
  • The company expects the restructuring to reduce parent financing needs through 2030.

Management priorities

  • Complete NorthStar restructuring and asset sales by year-end.
  • File the Integrated Resource Plan in September incorporating large-load growth.
  • Invest in utility renewables and electric distribution reliability.
  • Pursue data-center and industrial-load growth under the large-load tariff.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CMS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.94 Q1 '24 actual $0.97, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.63 Q2 '24 actual $0.66, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.78 Q3 '24 actual $0.84, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.68 Q2 '25 actual $0.71, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.86 Q3 '25 actual $0.93, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.93 Q4 '25 actual $0.95, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.10 Q1 '26 actual $1.13, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.36 Q2 '26 actual $0.37, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.12 Q4 '26 estimate $1.26 Q1 '27 estimate $1.13
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish1451.9%
Neutral1348.1%
Bearish00.0%

2 unmapped firm ratings excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$63.86Current
$57Low
$75.21Average
$84High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainSep 15, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 8, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 26, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 4, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 29, 2026
Keybanc Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeJul 23, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 16, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 14, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainApr 21, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJan 20, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainDec 17, 2025
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 7, 2025
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainApr 28, 2025
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainApr 25, 2025
Guggenheim Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 7, 2025
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 4, 2024
Seaport Global Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 8, 2024
Credit Suisse Outperform NeutralUpgradeNov 21, 2022
Vertical Research Hold BuyDowngradeJun 9, 2021
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 4, 2020
Goldman Sachs Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 16, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Hold HoldMaintainSep 30, 2019
Bank of America Buy NeutralUpgradeApr 11, 2019
Argus Buy HoldUpgradeSep 10, 2018
Hilliard Lyons Long Term Buy NeutralUpgradeFeb 15, 2018
Macquarie Neutral OutperformDowngradeApr 4, 2016
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainFeb 5, 2016
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 23, 2014
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $63.86. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$77$68.46 +20.6%Sep 8, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$79$69.81 +23.7%Aug 21, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$81$71.74 +26.8%Aug 4, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$84$74.37 +31.5%Jul 29, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$86$73.65 +34.7%Jul 20, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$78$74.03 +22.1%Jul 16, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$81$75.75 +26.8%Jul 14, 2026
KeyBancSophie Karp$83$71.31 +30.0%Jun 8, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$81$70.22 +26.8%Jun 4, 2026
JefferiesJulien Dumoulin-Smith$74$70.22 +15.9%Jun 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$77$73.46 +20.6%May 21, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$83$71.64 +30.0%May 18, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$82$72.97 +28.4%May 11, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$80$77.04 +25.3%Apr 21, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$85$78.11 +33.1%Apr 17, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$79$75.86 +23.7%Feb 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$80$75.72 +25.3%Feb 20, 2026
Williams TradingAnalyst unavailable$80$72.27 +25.3%Feb 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$81$73.14 +26.8%Feb 6, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$79$70.86 +23.7%Feb 2, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$75$71.22 +17.4%Feb 2, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$79$71.49 +23.7%Feb 2, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$82$70.9 +28.4%Jan 30, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$74$70.93 +15.9%Jan 14, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$77$69.91 +20.6%Dec 17, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$77$74.59 +20.6%Oct 27, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$76$75.4 +19.0%Oct 22, 2025
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$82$75.09 +28.4%Oct 21, 2025
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$79$74.35 +23.7%Oct 15, 2025
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$71$69.36 +11.2%May 22, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$81$72.18 +26.8%Apr 25, 2025
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$74$73.5 +15.9%Apr 23, 2025
JefferiesJulien Dumoulin-Smith$83$72.1 +30.0%Apr 21, 2025
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$80$73.14 +25.3%Mar 24, 2025
JefferiesJulien Dumoulin-Smith$76$68.39 +19.0%Nov 4, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$76$70.63 +19.0%Oct 1, 2024
KeyBancSophie Karp$73$70.09 +14.3%Sep 16, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesPaul Cole$73$67.55 +14.3%Aug 29, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$69$61.34 +8.0%Jul 19, 2024
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$61$61.7 -4.5%May 28, 2024
KeyBancSophie Karp$68$63.24 +6.5%May 20, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$71$62.91 +11.2%May 14, 2024
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$59$60.2 -7.6%Apr 30, 2024
KeyBancSophie Karp$66$58.48 +3.4%Apr 19, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$64$56.89 +0.2%Apr 17, 2024
UBSRoss Fowler$65$59.32 +1.8%Apr 4, 2024
GuggenheimShahriar Pourreza$64$57.77 +0.2%Feb 2, 2024
Wolfe ResearchSteve Fleishman$62$58.07 -2.9%Jan 16, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsSophie Karp$57$52.14 -10.7%Oct 5, 2023
UBSRoss Fowler$68$58.99 +6.5%Jun 6, 2023
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$68$61.27 +6.5%Apr 19, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$73$62.1 +14.3%Feb 3, 2023
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$59$53.97 -7.6%Oct 21, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$67$65.54 +4.9%Sep 22, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$63$63.88 -1.3%Jul 21, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$72$66.2 +12.7%Jul 18, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$73$67.24 +14.3%Jun 30, 2022
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$71$65.19 +11.2%Jun 27, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$59$62.73 -7.6%Jun 23, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$66$68.98 +3.4%May 23, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$70$68.56 +9.6%May 4, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$76$70.59 +19.0%Apr 26, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$77$73.04 +20.6%Apr 21, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$69$73.02 +8.0%Apr 20, 2022
Evercore ISIDurgesh Chopra$67$64.22 +4.9%Feb 4, 2022
Wolfe ResearchSteve Fleishman$69$64.22 +8.0%Feb 4, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesJulien Dumoulin Smith$67$63.72 +4.9%Dec 17, 2021
Credit SuisseMaheep Mandloi$71$58.74 +11.2%Jul 13, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

CMS Energy Corporation operates as an energy company primarily in Michigan. The company operates through three segments: Electric Utility; Gas Utility; and NorthStar Clean Energy. The Electric Utility segment is involved in the generation, purchase, distribution, and sale of electricity. This segment generates electricity through coal, wind, gas, renewable energy, oil, and nuclear sources. Its distribution system comprises 263 miles of high-voltage distribution overhead lines; 4 miles of high-voltage distribution underground lines; 4,619 miles of high-voltage distribution overhead lines; 18 miles of high-voltage distribution underground lines; 82,854 miles of electric distribution overhead…

Historical context

All CMS earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T21:07:02.130343+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-02T01:23:14.593608+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T12:00:56.599807+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T12:00:56.597097+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.