CMS Energy Corporation · CMS · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

CMS Energy Reaffirms EPS Outlook as Michigan Investment Builds

The call supports a constructive but conditional view: management described resilient demand, favorable Michigan regulation, and clean-energy investment as growth supports, while financing, regulatory, weather, tax-credit, and execution risks remain important.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $21.13B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.84 Consensus $0.78
EPS surprise +7.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.74B Consensus $1.88B
Revenue surprise -7.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.7% Event window
SPY move -2.0% Same window
Abnormal move +1.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.1% Up to 20 sessions
CMSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, management added 2025 EPS guidance, emphasized Michigan clean-energy compensation and data-center load growth, and detailed a $7 billion reliability roadmap within the broader $17 billion capital plan.

Guidance delta

Management reaffirmed 2024 EPS guidance and set 2025 EPS guidance, indicating maintained confidence in continued growth.

Key takeaways

  • Management reaffirmed 2024 EPS guidance of $3.29-$3.35 and set 2025 guidance of $3.52-$3.58.
  • Management highlighted Michigan clean-energy incentives, rate-case relief, and demand from data centers and manufacturing.
  • A $7 billion five-year electric reliability roadmap is aimed at undergrounding wires, replacing poles, and expanding grid automation.
  • The company outlined a $17 billion five-year capital plan and expects renewable, storage, and load-growth opportunities to support investment.
  • Execution, regulatory outcomes, weather, financing, and tax-credit changes remain material considerations.

Management priorities

  • File the Renewable Energy Plan in November.
  • Refresh the five-year capital and financial plan at the Q4 earnings call.
  • Implement a data-center rate and evaluate additional tariff structures.
  • Continue undergrounding, pole replacement, and grid automation projects.
  • Pursue battery-storage deployments aligned with state law.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CMS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.05 Q4 '23 actual $1.05, match Q1 '24 estimate $0.94 Q1 '24 actual $0.97, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.63 Q2 '24 actual $0.66, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.78 Q3 '24 actual $0.84, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.68 Q2 '25 actual $0.71, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.86 Q3 '25 actual $0.93, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.93 Q4 '25 actual $0.95, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.10 Q1 '26 actual $1.13, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.36 Q2 '26 actual $0.37, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.30 Q4 '26 estimate $1.26 Q1 '27 estimate $1.17
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish1451.9%
Neutral1348.1%
Bearish00.0%

2 unmapped firm ratings excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$67.37Current
$57Low
$74.83Average
$84High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 20, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 16, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 6, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainSep 15, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $67.37. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$76$68.26 +12.8%Oct 19, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$77$66.3 +14.3%Oct 14, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$73$64.54 +8.4%Oct 6, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$73$64.03 +8.4%Oct 6, 2026
ScotiabankAndrew Weisel$78$63.08 +15.8%Oct 1, 2026
See 68 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

CMS Energy Corporation operates as an energy company primarily in Michigan. The company operates through three segments: Electric Utility; Gas Utility; and NorthStar Clean Energy. The Electric Utility segment is involved in the generation, purchase, distribution, and sale of electricity. This segment generates electricity through coal, wind, gas, renewable energy, oil, and nuclear sources. Its distribution system comprises 263 miles of high-voltage distribution overhead lines; 4 miles of high-voltage distribution underground lines; 4,619 miles of high-voltage distribution overhead lines; 18 miles of high-voltage distribution underground lines; 82,854 miles of electric distribution overhead…

Historical context

All CMS earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-20T05:40:44.892981+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-20T05:40:44.890053+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-20. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.