Charter Communications, Inc. · CHTR · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Charter: Lower capex plan offsets subscriber and competition risks

The supplied analysis supports a balanced view: management presented rural expansion, network upgrades, mobile and video initiatives, and lower future capex as potential supports for earnings quality, but the evidence does not remove concerns about competition, subscriber trends, cost pressure, or Cox execution.

Reported Before market openNASDAQCommunication Services $15.22B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $10.34 Consensus $9.78
EPS surprise +5.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $13.60B Consensus $13.73B
Revenue surprise -1.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +7.6% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +7.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +12.9% Up to 20 sessions
CHTRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the supplied current analysis adds detail on the Invincible Wi-Fi launch, rural build-out targets, network upgrades, updated MVNO plans, and the expected decline in capex after its 2025 peak. Guidance sentiment remained maintained, while analyst concerns shifted toward fiber competition, subscriber durability, video economics, and execution.

Guidance delta

Management guidance sentiment was maintained; the call emphasized lower capex after 2025 and continued network, rural-build, product, and Cox-integration plans.

Key takeaways

  • Management described modest revenue pressure alongside 0.6% adjusted EBITDA growth for the year.
  • Rural expansion, symmetrical multi-gig upgrades, and new Wi-Fi products were central operating priorities.
  • Spectrum Mobile offload, additional MVNO activity, and video-platform changes support the product roadmap.
  • Management highlighted lower future capex as a potential support for free cash flow, while fiber competition and programming costs remain risks.

Management priorities

  • Complete rural broadband build-out and targeted subsidized passings.
  • Upgrade the remaining network to symmetrical multi-gig service.
  • Launch Invincible Wi-Fi and expand mobile, video, and MVNO offerings.
  • Integrate Cox network, pricing, packaging, and video operations if approved.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CHTR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $8.73 Q4 '23 actual $7.07, miss Q1 '24 estimate $7.92 Q1 '24 actual $7.55, miss Q2 '24 estimate $7.98 Q2 '24 actual $8.49, beat Q3 '24 estimate $8.62 Q3 '24 actual $8.82, beat Q2 '25 estimate $9.58 Q2 '25 actual $9.18, miss Q3 '25 estimate $9.23 Q3 '25 actual $8.34, miss Q4 '25 estimate $9.78 Q4 '25 actual $10.34, beat Q1 '26 estimate $9.96 Q1 '26 actual $9.17, miss Q2 '26 estimate $9.98 Q2 '26 actual $10.66, beat Q3 '26 estimate $9.61 Q4 '26 estimate $11.19 Q1 '27 estimate $10.56 Q2 '27 estimate $11.00
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold53 ratings
Bullish2547.2%
Neutral2343.4%
Bearish59.4%

2 unmapped firm ratings excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$111.47Current
$101Low
$421.6Average
$900High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wolfe Research Underperform Peer PerformDowngradeSep 14, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 29, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 28, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 27, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 27, 2026
Show 50 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $111.46. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$118$145.77 +5.9%Sep 14, 2026
Morgan StanleySean Diffley$150$145.77 +34.6%Sep 14, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$150$127.76 +34.6%Jul 27, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$140$127.42 +25.6%Jul 27, 2026
Deutsche BankBryan Kraft$150$124.66 +34.6%Jul 27, 2026
See 76 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Charter Communications, Inc. is a prominent U.S. broadband and cable operator, delivering services to residential and commercial customers nationwide. Its offerings encompass a wide array of subscription video services, including on-demand content, high-definition channels, digital video recording (DVR), and pay-per-view options. Internet services form a crucial part of its portfolio, featuring robust security measures against cyber threats, high-performance in-home WiFi with provided routers, and extensive out-of-home and Spectrum WiFi access. The company also provides voice communication services utilizing Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) technology. For its business and carrier clientele, Charter offers comprehensive broadband communication solutions.…

Historical context

All CHTR earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-06-21T15:15:11.416158+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-28T18:10:56.768221+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-28T18:10:56.765353+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.