CDW Corporation · CDW · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

CDW maintained its outlook as services and AI demand supported Q3 growth

CDW's Q3 analysis supports a measured positive operating thesis: resilient services demand and growing AI, cloud, and security adoption supported growth, but shutdown timing, spending volatility, and operating leverage remain important tests.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $16.65B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.71 Consensus $2.62
EPS surprise +3.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.74B Consensus $5.75B
Revenue surprise -0.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -8.5% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -7.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.4% Up to 20 sessions
CDWSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The analysis highlighted services as an increasingly important growth contributor, AI workstations as a small-business growth driver, and continued AI integration across offerings. Management also maintained its outlook despite the federal shutdown.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook; the federal government shutdown was incorporated into Q4 guidance, with sales timing shifts expected rather than permanent loss.

Key takeaways

  • Management described Q3 net sales growth of 4% year over year to $5.7 billion, with gross profit up 5% and non-GAAP EPS up 3%.
  • Services revenue grew 9% and reached 9% of total revenue, led by professional and managed services.
  • Management said the federal shutdown was reflected in Q4 guidance and expected timing shifts rather than permanent lost sales.
  • AI workstations, cloud, and security solutions were highlighted as demand drivers, while capital allocation included a dividend increase and share repurchases.

Management priorities

  • Embed AI across product and service offerings.
  • Expand professional and managed services.
  • Evaluate strategic M&A aligned with the three-part growth strategy.
  • Execute in the UK and Canada while maintaining disciplined capital allocation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CDW EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.15 Q1 '24 actual $1.92, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2.53 Q2 '24 actual $2.50, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2.86 Q3 '24 actual $2.63, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2.49 Q2 '25 actual $2.60, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.62 Q3 '25 actual $2.71, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.44 Q4 '25 actual $2.57, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.28 Q1 '26 actual $2.28, match Q2 '26 estimate $2.80 Q2 '26 actual $2.91, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.96 Q4 '26 estimate $2.78 Q1 '27 estimate $2.53
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy18 ratings
Bullish1372.2%
Neutral527.8%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$130.33Current
$130Low
$183.67Average
$270High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 21, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 6, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 13, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeMay 27, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainMay 7, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 7, 2026
Raymond James Strong Buy OutperformUpgradeNov 25, 2025
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJul 17, 2024
Northcoast Research Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 7, 2024
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 4, 2023
B of A Securities Neutral BuyDowngradeApr 19, 2023
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainMay 7, 2020
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2019
Stifel Nicolaus Hold BuyDowngradeApr 17, 2019
Baird Outperform NeutralUpgradeMay 9, 2017
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainAug 4, 2016
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainDec 1, 2015
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 8, 2015
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $130.33. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$150$152.38 +15.1%Sep 8, 2026
Morgan StanleyErik Woodring$171$140.89 +31.2%Aug 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyErik Woodring$170$123.57 +30.4%Jun 23, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$130$108.59 -0.3%May 27, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$147$113.08 +12.8%May 7, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$123$109 -5.6%May 7, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$150$111.17 +15.1%May 6, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$162$138.08 +24.3%Feb 5, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$144$138.08 +10.5%Feb 5, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$180$127.51 +38.1%Jan 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$141$131.75 +8.2%Jan 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$177$145.02 +35.8%Dec 17, 2025
Raymond JamesAdam Tindle$185$141.92 +41.9%Nov 25, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$190$142.21 +45.8%Nov 5, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$148$141.66 +13.6%Nov 5, 2025
CitigroupAsiya Merchant$245$226.3 +88.0%Oct 1, 2024
Northcoast ResearchKeith Housum$270$224.24 +107.2%Jun 7, 2024
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$225$178.46 +72.6%Dec 20, 2022
Stifel NicolausMatthew Sheerin$210$171.68 +61.1%Apr 18, 2022
Morgan StanleyErik Woodring$214$178.83 +64.2%Apr 4, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

CDW Corporation specializes in delivering comprehensive information technology services and products across North America and the United Kingdom. It strategically targets three core client divisions: corporate enterprises, small to medium-sized businesses, and public sector organizations. Their portfolio encompasses both individual hardware and software offerings, alongside sophisticated integrated IT solution packages. These comprehensive solutions span on-premise, hybrid, and cloud environments, addressing critical areas such as data center infrastructure, network management, digital workspace enablement, and robust security.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T01:51:00.472816+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T01:51:00.470042+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.