Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusBuy47 ratings
Bullish2859.6%
Neutral1736.2%
Bearish24.2%
Carnival Corporation & plc · CCL · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026
Carnival posts record Q3 as demand and efficiency offset fuel costs
Carnival's Q3 analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: resilient demand, pricing and efficiency gains are supporting growth, while destination investment and modernization provide additional drivers. The counterweight is that fuel, geopolitical and loyalty-program effects could pressure near-term performance.
Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical
$34.39B market cap
100quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
$1.43
Consensus $1.35
EPS surprise
+5.9%
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
$8.44B
Consensus $8.39B
Revenue surprise
+0.6%
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
+13.4%
Event window
SPY move
-0.2%
Same window
Abnormal move
+13.6%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
3.2×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
0.0%
Up to 20 sessions
CCLSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about CCL FY2026 Q3
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
Why did CCL rise 13.4% after beating EPS estimates in FY2026 Q3?What changed in CCL's guidance and outlook in FY2026 Q3?Give me the bull and bear case for CCL after FY2026 Q3 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior quarter, the analysis emphasizes a record Q3, $150 million of net-income benefit from operational and fuel-efficiency improvements, stronger European deployment, the Carnival Rewards rollout and a $1.2 billion repurchase plan alongside debt reduction.
Guidance delta
Management's guidance sentiment was raised; the transcript analysis says Q3 2026 beat guidance by $100 million and highlights continued demand strength, while noting near-term yield and geopolitical risks.
Key takeaways
- Q3 2026 delivered record revenue, yields and net income, according to the transcript analysis.
- Operational and fuel-efficiency improvements added $150 million of net income and offset higher fuel prices.
- Europe now ties the Caribbean as the largest deployment region.
- Carnival Rewards is expected to become cash-flow positive in 2028 despite short-term yield headwinds.
- Capital allocation includes share repurchases, debt reduction and continued PROPEL investment.
Management priorities
- Expand Celebration Key and other private destinations.
- Modernize AIDA, Holland America and Queen Mary 2.
- Roll out AI across commercial and operational systems.
- Maintain modest capacity growth and focus on high-return deployments.
- Continue debt reduction and investment under PROPEL.
Follow CCL with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.
Try FN2 freeEarnings History
Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$25.11Previous close
$18Low
$30.51Average
$42High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susquehanna | Positive | Positive | Maintain | Sep 24, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 24, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 22, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 17, 2026 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 16, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 16, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 15, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 14, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Tigress Financial | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 16, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 13, 2026 |
| HSBC | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Mar 19, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Melius Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Loop Capital | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Macquarie | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 9, 2025 |
| Redburn Partners | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Sep 14, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Mar 28, 2023 |
| Berenberg | Hold | Sell | Upgrade | Oct 21, 2021 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Jun 16, 2021 |
| Redburn | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 22, 2020 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Hold | Hold | Maintain | May 20, 2020 |
| CFRA | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Apr 14, 2020 |
| Nomura | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 8, 2020 |
| Wedbush | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Dec 23, 2019 |
| Standpoint Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Dec 23, 2019 |
| Buckingham Research | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 2, 2019 |
| Buckingham | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 2, 2019 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 27, 2019 |
| Argus | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 6, 2018 |
| William Blair | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Mar 21, 2017 |
| Sterne Agee CRT | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 7, 2016 |
| Numis Securities | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Mar 30, 2015 |
| Natixis | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 12, 2015 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 5, 2014 |
| Shore Capital | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Sep 12, 2014 |
| Exane BNP Paribas | Underperform | Neutral | Downgrade | May 30, 2013 |
| RS Platou Markets | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 21, 2013 |
| Topeka Capital | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 24, 2012 |
| Topeka | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 24, 2012 |
| Charles Stanley | Hold | Accumulate | Downgrade | Feb 8, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $25.11. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | Jamie Rollo | $32.5 | $25.11 | +29.4% | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $28 | $21.8 | +11.5% | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $32 | $22.31 | +27.4% | Sep 22, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Lizzie Dove | $30 | $22.35 | +19.5% | Sep 17, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $35 | $22.11 | +39.4% | Sep 16, 2026 |
| Barclays | Brandt Montour | $33 | $22.11 | +31.4% | Sep 16, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Chris Woronka | $29 | $22.28 | +15.5% | Sep 15, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Tristan Thomas-Martin | $30 | $26.68 | +19.5% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Tigress Financial | Ivan Feinseth | $42 | $28.57 | +67.3% | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Analyst unavailable | $35 | $28.84 | +39.4% | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $33 | $28.72 | +31.4% | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $35 | $28.72 | +39.4% | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Melius Research | Analyst unavailable | $36 | $30.85 | +43.4% | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Steven Wieczynski | $36 | $28.12 | +43.4% | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Analyst unavailable | $36 | $28.06 | +43.4% | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $36 | $28.69 | +43.4% | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $39 | $24.19 | +55.3% | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $34 | $28.21 | +35.4% | Jan 22, 2026 |
| UBS | Robin Farley | $38 | $31.7 | +51.3% | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Jamie Rollo | $33 | $31.88 | +31.4% | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $33 | $32.27 | +31.4% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $34 | $31.92 | +35.4% | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $38 | $31.12 | +51.3% | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Patrick Scholes | $31 | $31.92 | +23.5% | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Steven Wieczynski | $40 | $31.12 | +59.3% | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Lizzie Dove | $34 | $31.12 | +35.4% | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Trey Bowers | $38 | $31.12 | +51.3% | Dec 22, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $37 | $28.12 | +47.4% | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $36 | $28.2 | +43.4% | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $33 | $28.76 | +31.4% | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $40 | $28.6 | +59.3% | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $37 | $27.62 | +47.4% | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Trey Bowers | $35 | $27.86 | +39.4% | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Tigress Financial | Analyst unavailable | $40 | $28.97 | +59.3% | Oct 15, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $35 | $28.91 | +39.4% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $35 | $29.4 | +39.4% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Ben Chaiken | $37 | $30.14 | +47.4% | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Steven Wieczynski | $38 | $30.71 | +51.3% | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $37 | $31.19 | +47.4% | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $34 | $25.48 | +35.4% | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Laura Champine | $22 | $23.77 | -12.4% | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Tigress Financial | Ivan Feinseth | $32 | $21.02 | +27.4% | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Jamie Rollo | $22 | $23.84 | -12.4% | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Patrick Scholes | $29 | $26.38 | +15.5% | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Chris Woronka | $19 | $18.02 | -24.3% | Oct 4, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Patrick Scholes | $20 | $17.84 | -20.4% | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Jamie Rollo | $16.5 | $18.48 | -34.3% | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Andrew Didora | $24 | $18.97 | -4.4% | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Steven Wieczynski | $27 | $18.76 | +7.5% | Sep 20, 2024 |
| Argus Research | John Staszak | $25 | $18.61 | -0.4% | Jun 27, 2024 |
| Macquarie | Paul Golding | $25 | $18.42 | -0.4% | Jun 26, 2024 |
| Wolfe Research | Greg Badishkanian | $19 | $17.82 | -24.3% | Jun 25, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Jamie Rollo | $13.5 | $17.82 | -46.2% | Jun 25, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Patrick Scholes | $17 | $15.65 | -32.3% | May 29, 2024 |
| CFRA | Siye Desta | $19 | $16.37 | -24.3% | Apr 1, 2024 |
| UBS | Robin Farley | $20 | $16.54 | -20.4% | Apr 1, 2024 |
| Argus Research | John Staszak | $20 | $16.34 | -20.4% | Apr 1, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Steven Wieczynski | $25 | $17.19 | -0.4% | Mar 28, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $22 | $17.19 | -12.4% | Mar 28, 2024 |
| Macquarie | Analyst unavailable | $24 | $17.19 | -4.4% | Mar 27, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Ben Chaiken | $21 | $16.88 | -16.4% | Mar 26, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Steven Wieczynski | $26 | $17.2 | +3.5% | Mar 25, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Lizzie Dove | $20 | $16.65 | -20.4% | Mar 13, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Daniel Politzer | $22 | $17.33 | -12.4% | Jan 5, 2024 |
| Argus Research | John Staszak | $21 | $14.44 | -16.4% | Sep 29, 2023 |
| Jefferies | David Katz | $25 | $17.16 | -0.4% | Jun 30, 2023 |
| Citigroup | James Hardiman | $18 | $15.52 | -28.3% | Jun 27, 2023 |
| Wells Fargo | Daniel Politzer | $9 | $9.34 | -64.2% | Mar 28, 2023 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $10 | $10.8 | -60.2% | Sep 20, 2022 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Steven Wieczynski | $20 | $9.69 | -20.4% | Aug 3, 2022 |
| Barclays | Brandt Montour | $14 | $8.86 | -44.2% | Jun 29, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Chris Woronka | $14 | $10.55 | -44.2% | Jun 28, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Jamie Rollo | $13 | $9.6 | -48.2% | Jun 18, 2022 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Steven Wieczynski | $30 | $17.41 | +19.5% | Apr 27, 2022 |
| Citigroup | James Hardiman | $22 | $19.04 | -12.4% | Apr 19, 2022 |
| Jefferies | David Katz | $19 | $20.05 | -24.3% | Apr 1, 2022 |
| Berenberg Bank | Stuart Gordon | $23 | $21.98 | -8.4% | Jan 18, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Stephen Grambling | $21 | $20.54 | -16.4% | Dec 21, 2021 |
| Credit Suisse | Benjamin Chaiken | $38 | $20.54 | +51.3% | Dec 21, 2021 |
| Bank of America Securities | Andrew Didora | $29 | $18.5 | +15.5% | Dec 7, 2021 |
| HSBC | Ali Naqvi | $18.3 | $21.66 | -27.1% | Aug 19, 2021 |
| J.P. Morgan | Brandt Montour | $36 | $28.42 | +43.4% | Jun 17, 2021 |
| Macquarie | Paul Golding | $32 | $25.72 | +27.4% | Apr 20, 2021 |
Track every rating change on CCL the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationCarnival Corporation & plc operates as a prominent global entity in the leisure travel sector. Its extensive fleet of vessels navigates to nearly 700 different ports globally, sailing under a diverse portfolio of acclaimed brands such as Carnival Cruise Line, Princess Cruises, Holland America Line, P&O Cruises (Australia), Seabourn, Costa Cruises, AIDA Cruises, P&O Cruises (UK), and Cunard. Beyond its core cruise operations, the company also provides port services and other related offerings. Its holdings include and it manages hotels, lodges, unique glass-domed railcars, and motor coaches.…
Historical context
All CCL earningsConsumer Cyclical peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DRI Darden Restaurants, Inc. | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | 0.0% | -3.0% | Darden reaffirms FY2027 outlook as brands deliver mixed comp growth |
| AZO AutoZone, Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +3.6% | +3.3% | AutoZone pairs commercial momentum with an aggressive FY2027 expansion plan |
| LEN-B Lennar Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | — | — | Lennar: Efficiency Gains Offset Housing-Market Pressures |
| LEN Lennar Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | — | -4.1% | Lennar Holds Volume Guidance as Margins Improve Despite Housing Headwinds |
| TCOM Trip.com Group Limited | FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +22.3% | +3.0% | Trip.com pairs international growth with heavier AI investment |
| CASY Casey's General Stores, Inc. | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +8.7% | -14.2% | Casey's Q1: Prepared Food Drives Growth as Fuel Margins Stay Volatile |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- COSTFY2026 Q4 · September 24, 2026+3.2% EPS+2.9% move
- SNXFY2026 Q3 · September 24, 2026+20.9% EPS-9.9% move
- DRIFY2027 Q1 · September 24, 20260.0% EPS-3.0% move
- CTASFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+3.0% EPS-3.4% move
- PAYXFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+1.5% EPS-8.8% move
- GISFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+4.6% EPS+1.0% move
Get the CCL recap when the next report posts
One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-09-30T08:07:01.414551+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-30T01:23:08.536807+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T08:16:09.886207+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T08:16:09.883498+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.