Crown Holdings, Inc. · CCK · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Crown Holdings holds 2025 outlook amid volume growth

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified outlook: beverage-can volume growth, manufacturing efficiency and disciplined capital allocation are positives, while regional demand weakness, overcapacity, tariffs and input-cost volatility limit confidence.

Reported After market closeNYSEConsumer Cyclical $12.76B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.51
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.89B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +2.6% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +2.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.0% Up to 20 sessions
CCKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management maintained 2025 adjusted EPS guidance at $6.60-$7.00 and highlighted 5% global beverage-can volume growth, record adjusted EBITDA and strong free cash flow. It also described a 50/50 debt-reduction/share-repurchase allocation and a Thailand joint venture.

Guidance delta

Maintained: 2025 adjusted EPS guidance remains $6.60-$7.00, with free cash flow of approximately $800 million.

Key takeaways

  • Global beverage-can volumes grew 5%, with strength in the Americas and Europe.
  • Management maintained 2025 adjusted EPS guidance at $6.60-$7.00.
  • Record adjusted EBITDA and strong free cash flow support continued capital returns.
  • China and parts of North America remain softer, while Europe, Brazil and Southeast Asia are growth areas.

Management priorities

  • Execute the 50/50 cash-allocation plan between debt reduction and share repurchases.
  • Continue manufacturing expansion through the Thailand joint venture.
  • Right-size Asia-Pacific production and improve the cost structure.
  • Pursue growth from beverage-can conversion and higher utilization.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CCK REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $3B Q4 '23 actual $3B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $3B Q2 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $3B Q2 '25 actual $3B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $4B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q3 '26 actual $4B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $3B Q2 '27 estimate $4B Q3 '27 estimate $4B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy25 ratings
Bullish1976.0%
Neutral624.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$117.29Previous close
$87Low
$117.08Average
$135High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 21, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 21, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 19, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeSep 18, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 24, 2026
Show 20 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $117.29. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$121$117.99 +3.2%Jul 22, 2026
BOCOM International Holdings CompanyAnalyst unavailable$130$117.02 +10.8%Jul 16, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$126$112.88 +7.4%Feb 9, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$115$114.2 -2.0%Feb 6, 2026
Truist FinancialMichael Roxland$126$99.6 +7.4%Oct 22, 2025
See 36 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Crown Holdings, Inc. is a global enterprise dedicated to the design, production, and sale of a diverse range of packaging solutions and related machinery. Its operations span the Americas, Europe, and Asia Pacific, serving both consumer and industrial markets. For consumer goods, the company offers steel and aluminum cans, primarily targeting the food and beverage sectors. Its consumer product portfolio further extends to include glass bottles for beverages, as well as steel crowns and aluminum caps.…

Historical context

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Consumer Cyclical peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-22T00:04:22.296664+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-26T10:20:45.268805+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-26T10:20:45.266092+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.