Cardinal Health, Inc. · CAH · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026

Cardinal Health sets 13%-15% FY27 EPS growth outlook

Cardinal Health's supplied earnings analysis supports a constructive operating trajectory: resilient pharmaceutical and specialty demand, FY27 EPS growth guidance of 13%-15%, and continued investment in automation and growth platforms. The case is tempered by tariff uncertainty, regulatory headwinds, and execution risk around integrations.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $52.79B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.91 Consensus $2.42
EPS surprise +20.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $63.67B Consensus $65.15B
Revenue surprise -2.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.3% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +1.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.1% Up to 20 sessions
CAHSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management moved from a prior-quarter guidance raise to maintaining FY27 EPS guidance at $12.40-$12.60. The current analysis adds a $700 million FY27 capex plan, a larger $1 billion FY27 repurchase plan, and a $5 billion increase in total repurchase authorization, while highlighting a one-time tariff-refund benefit.

Guidance delta

FY27 EPS guidance was maintained at $12.40-$12.60, representing 13%-15% growth; FY27 capex is projected at $700 million.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 operating earnings grew 30% year over year and EPS rose 40%, including $0.31 from a tariff refund.
  • FY27 EPS guidance is $12.40-$12.60, with no material M&A assumed.
  • Management plans $700 million of FY27 capex and increased the share-repurchase plan to $1 billion.

Management priorities

  • Integrate Solaris and recent at-Home acquisitions
  • Expand automation, technology, and distribution infrastructure
  • Build Biopharma Solutions, MSO, theranostics, and cell-and-gene-therapy capabilities

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CAH EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 6 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1.60 Q2 '24 actual $1.82, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.95 Q3 '24 actual $2.08, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.73 Q4 '24 actual $1.84, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1.62 Q1 '25 actual $1.88, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.34 Q4 '25 actual $2.63, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.79 Q1 '26 actual $3.17, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2.98 Q1 '27 estimate $3.29 Q2 '27 estimate $3.12 Q3 '27 estimate $3.37

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy33 ratings
Bullish1854.5%
Neutral1545.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$225.75Current
$53Low
$192.16Average
$292High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 13, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 12, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 12, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 12, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 12, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 12, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 12, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 12, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 2, 2026
Leerink Partners Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 12, 2025
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeFeb 5, 2025
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainNov 4, 2024
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 11, 2024
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 12, 2023
Cowen & Co. Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 16, 2022
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainMay 11, 2020
Guggenheim Neutral BuyDowngradeDec 16, 2019
Argus Hold BuyDowngradeAug 27, 2019
Leerink Swann Market Perform OutperformDowngradeNov 16, 2018
RBC Capital Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 19, 2017
Tigress Financial Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 28, 2017
William Blair Market Perform OutperformDowngradeApr 19, 2017
Needham Hold HoldMaintainApr 4, 2017
Goldman Sachs Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 16, 2016
Avondale Partners Outperform Market OutperformMaintainApr 18, 2016
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJan 6, 2016
FBR Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 10, 2015
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainDec 29, 2014
Sterne Agee Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 6, 2013
ISI Group Buy Strong BuyDowngradeMar 20, 2013
Lazard Neutral BuyDowngradeMar 19, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $225.75. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalRyan Halsted$276$234.98 +22.3%Aug 19, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$275$234.16 +21.8%Aug 13, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$265$236.64 +17.4%Aug 12, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$270$240.26 +19.6%Aug 12, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$280$240.26 +24.0%Aug 12, 2026
Wells FargoStephen Baxter$277$240.26 +22.7%Aug 12, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesSteven Valiquette$250$240.26 +10.7%Aug 12, 2026
Robert W. BairdEric Coldwell$274$240.26 +21.4%Aug 12, 2026
Leerink PartnersAnalyst unavailable$292$240.26 +29.3%Aug 11, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$274$226.42 +21.4%Jul 20, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$248$195.08 +9.9%May 1, 2026
Evercore ISIElizabeth Anderson$240$215.13 +6.3%Apr 8, 2026
Leerink PartnersMichael Cherny$275$222.28 +21.8%Mar 9, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$258$224.82 +14.3%Feb 24, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$256$225.76 +13.4%Feb 10, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$255$229.63 +13.0%Feb 6, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$252$228.78 +11.6%Feb 6, 2026
UBSKevin Caliendo$260$228.63 +15.2%Feb 6, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesSteven Valiquette$235$227.18 +4.1%Feb 6, 2026
Evercore ISIElizabeth Anderson$260$227.18 +15.2%Feb 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyErin Wright$245$210.39 +8.5%Jan 29, 2026
Robert W. BairdEric Coldwell$250$211.98 +10.7%Jan 14, 2026
Leerink PartnersMichael Cherny$240$208.24 +6.3%Jan 13, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesSteven Valiquette$222$201.11 -1.7%Jan 12, 2026
BarclaysGlen Santangelo$243$198.88 +7.6%Dec 8, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesSteven Valiquette$210$190.22 -7.0%Nov 3, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$220$190.22 -2.5%Nov 3, 2025
Evercore ISIElizabeth Anderson$220$191.29 -2.5%Oct 31, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$220$192.07 -2.5%Oct 31, 2025
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$232$192.36 +2.8%Oct 31, 2025
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$189$148.1 -16.3%Aug 22, 2025
Leerink PartnersMichael Cherny$186$146.3 -17.6%Aug 12, 2025
JefferiesBrian Tanquilut$150$157.66 -33.6%Aug 12, 2025
Morgan StanleyErin Wright$181$161.41 -19.8%Jun 13, 2025
Wells FargoStephen Baxter$179$155.48 -20.7%Jun 3, 2025
Argus ResearchKristina Ruggeri$148$125.17 -34.4%Feb 4, 2025
Robert W. BairdEric Coldwell$140$112.3 -38.0%Sep 23, 2024
Argus ResearchDavid Toung$125$112.36 -44.6%Sep 11, 2024
Deutsche BankGeorge Hill$119$107.91 -47.3%Aug 16, 2024
Evercore ISIElizabeth Anderson$115$107.71 -49.1%Aug 15, 2024
Morgan StanleyErin Wright$119$106.36 -47.3%Aug 15, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesAnn Hynes$110$107.39 -51.3%Aug 15, 2024
Robert W. BairdEric Coldwell$137$107.33 -39.3%Aug 15, 2024
Wells FargoStephen Baxter$101$106.36 -55.3%Aug 15, 2024
CFRAGarrett Nelson$111$99.01 -50.8%Jun 11, 2024
Robert W. BairdEric Coldwell$129$94.75 -42.9%May 29, 2024
Argus ResearchDavid Toung$115$97.43 -49.1%May 15, 2024
Robert W. BairdEric Coldwell$128$102.98 -43.3%May 3, 2024
Robert W. BairdEric Coldwell$134$110.12 -40.6%Apr 5, 2024
Morgan StanleyErin Wright$90$92.99 -60.1%Aug 15, 2023
Wolfe ResearchTim Anderson$127$79.18 -43.7%Apr 12, 2023
Robert W. BairdBaird Baird$94$78.61 -58.4%Feb 8, 2023
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$92$80.14 -59.2%Feb 3, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$86$78.12 -61.9%Jan 6, 2023
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$79$79.22 -65.0%Nov 22, 2022
UBSAnalyst unavailable$78$68.51 -65.4%Aug 29, 2022
Evercore ISIElizabeth Anderson$68$55.83 -69.9%May 20, 2022
Deutsche BankGeorge Hill$51$58.27 -77.4%May 8, 2022
Morgan StanleyRicky Goldwasser$74$62.96 -67.2%Apr 16, 2022
BarclaysSteve Valiquette$63$53.09 -72.1%Jan 17, 2022
UBSKevin Caliendo$61$48.84 -73.0%Nov 17, 2021
Cowen & Co.Charles Rhyee$53$50.28 -76.5%Aug 11, 2021
Bank of America SecuritiesMichael Cherny$56$49.2 -75.2%Aug 5, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Cardinal Health, Inc. operates as a global, integrated provider of healthcare services and products, with its reach spanning the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia, and other international markets. The company delivers bespoke support to a diverse clientele, including hospitals, healthcare networks, pharmacies, outpatient surgical centers, clinical labs, physician practices, and individuals receiving care at home. It is structured into two core divisions: Pharmaceutical and Medical. The Pharmaceutical division oversees the distribution of a wide array of products, encompassing branded, generic, and specialty pharmaceuticals, along with over-the-counter health and consumer goods. This segment additionally offers specialized services to pharmaceutical manufacturers and healthcare providers, particularly for specialty pharmaceutical products. Its operations extend to managing nuclear pharmacies and facilities that produce radiopharmaceuticals. It also performs repackaging of generic drugs and OTC items.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-11T17:12:00.603433+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-16T01:23:13.900088+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T20:00:50.768245+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T20:00:50.765550+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.