The Bank of Nova Scotia · BNS · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026

BNS Q3 FY2026: Record EPS and ROE Above Target

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: broad-based earnings growth, resilient loan and fee-income activity, capital-markets strength, and AI investment support momentum, while credit quality, capital impacts, expense leverage, and macro risks remain important tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $114.68B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.64 Consensus $1.53
EPS surprise +7.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.52B Consensus $7.11B
Revenue surprise +5.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +7.2% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +6.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.0% Up to 20 sessions
BNSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, BNS moved from strong Q2 execution to record Q3 earnings and ROE above target. The current analysis adds the MapleMark acquisition, an AI Consortium, AIRB conversion, record Canadian debt-capital-markets participation, and continued share repurchases as notable developments.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook and expressed confidence in sustaining momentum into FY2027; no new quantified guidance change is supplied.

Key takeaways

  • BNS reported record Q3 FY2026 earnings, with EPS up 21% year over year to $2.28.
  • ROE reached 14.2%, above management’s 14% target.
  • Growth was broad-based across Canadian Banking, Global Wealth Management, International Banking, and Global Banking & Markets.
  • Mid-market and small-business lending, fee income, deposits, capital-markets activity, and AI-enabled productivity were highlighted as growth drivers.
  • Management plans to scale its AI platform, pursue selective tuck-in acquisitions, and continue share repurchases.

Management priorities

  • Expand mid-market and small-business lending.
  • Scale Scotia Intelligence and the AI Consortium collaboration.
  • Pursue strategic tuck-in acquisitions, including small U.S. commercial banks.
  • Deepen North American cross-border capabilities.
  • Continue capital deployment alongside organic growth and share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BNS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $6B Q4 '23 actual $8B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $6B Q1 '24 actual $19B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $6B Q2 '24 actual $19B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $5B Q3 '24 actual $6B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $7B Q3 '25 actual $13B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $7B Q4 '25 actual $13B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $7B Q1 '26 actual $7B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7B Q2 '26 actual $7B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7B Q3 '26 actual $8B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $10B Q1 '27 estimate $11B Q2 '27 estimate $10B Q3 '27 estimate $11B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold19 ratings
Bullish1052.6%
Neutral842.1%
Bearish15.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$94.07Previous close
$67Low
$72.15Average
$75.6High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainMay 28, 2026
Scotiabank Hold HoldMaintainAug 30, 2023
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 21, 2023
CIBC Outperform NeutralUpgradeMar 2, 2021
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 13, 2020
Show 14 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $94.07. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalDarko Mihelic$74$55.38 -21.3%Dec 4, 2024
BMO CapitalSohrab Movahedi$72$48.98 -23.5%Aug 28, 2024
UBSJill Shea$67$45.46 -28.8%Jul 2, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesEbrahim Poonawala$75.6$62.51 -19.6%May 19, 2021

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Bank of Nova Scotia provides various banking products and services in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Peru, Chile, Colombia, the Caribbean and Central America, and internationally. It operates through Canadian Banking, International Banking, Global Wealth Management, and Global Banking and Markets segments. The company offers financial advice and solutions, and banking products, including debit and credit cards, chequing and saving accounts, investments, mortgages, loans, and insurance to individuals; and retail automotive financing solutions. It also provides business banking solutions comprising lending, deposit, cash management, and trade finance solutions to small, medium, and large businesses. In addition, it provides wealth management advice and solutions, including online brokerage, mobile investment, full-service brokerage, trust, private banking, and private investment counsel services; and retail mutual funds, exchange traded funds, liquid alternatives, and institutional funds. The company was founded in 1832 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-25T22:15:06.910550+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T09:00:52.042029+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T09:00:52.039358+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.