Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusHold19 ratings
Bullish1052.6%
Neutral842.1%
Bearish15.3%
The Bank of Nova Scotia · BNS · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2025
Scotiabank Q3: stronger earnings and a 2026 growth pivot
Scotiabank's Q3 results provide evidence of stronger current earnings and resilient demand across deposits, wealth management, and GBM. The next phase depends on whether planned 2026 growth investments and AI initiatives can build on that momentum without worsening credit, margin, or capital-allocation concerns.
Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services
$110.06B market cap
100quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
$1.37
Consensus $1.28
EPS surprise
+7.0%
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
$13.03B
Consensus $6.82B
Revenue surprise
+91.0%
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
+7.1%
Event window
SPY move
+0.4%
Same window
Abnormal move
+6.7%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
3.4×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
+4.3%
Up to 20 sessions
BNSSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about BNS FY2025 Q3
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
Why did BNS rise 7.1% after beating EPS estimates in FY2025 Q3?What changed in BNS's guidance and outlook in FY2025 Q3?Give me the bull and bear case for BNS after FY2025 Q3 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
The supplied analysis describes a more confident outlook: Q3 earnings increased 15% year over year, ROE reached 12.4%, retail deposits grew 6%, wealth-management net sales rose 12%, and GBM trading revenue rose 50%. Management is preparing for accelerated 2026 growth while maintaining guidance sentiment and continuing buybacks.
Guidance delta
Management's guidance sentiment was maintained; the supplied analysis does not identify a new quantitative guidance change.
Key takeaways
- Q3 earnings rose 15% year over year, with ROE improving to 12.4%.
- Mortgage Plus supported cross-selling and deposit growth; retail deposits rose 6% year over year.
- Wealth management net sales increased 12% year over year, while GBM trading revenue rose 50%.
- A 13.3% CET1 ratio supports ongoing buybacks and other capital-return initiatives.
Management priorities
- Expand commercial mid-market and transaction banking in 2026
- Roll out the U.S. cash-management platform
- Continue deploying Ask AI and other client-facing AI tools
- Implement wealth value propositions and SCENE data-driven cross-selling
- Continue the approved share-repurchase program
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Try FN2 freeEarnings History
Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$90.43Current
$67Low
$72.15Average
$75.6High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | May 28, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Aug 30, 2023 |
| Barclays | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Aug 21, 2023 |
| CIBC | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Mar 2, 2021 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 13, 2020 |
| CFRA | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 18, 2020 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Dec 13, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Sep 24, 2019 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 28, 2019 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 29, 2018 |
| Dundee | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 21, 2016 |
| Macquarie | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Jun 9, 2016 |
| Cormark Securities | Buy | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jun 1, 2015 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Mar 6, 2015 |
| TD Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 27, 2014 |
| National Bank Financial Inc | Outperform | Sector Perform | Upgrade | May 15, 2014 |
| National Bank Financial | Outperform | Sector Perform | Upgrade | May 15, 2014 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Aug 28, 2012 |
| Bank oferica | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 30, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $90.43. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Darko Mihelic | $74 | $55.38 | -18.2% | Dec 4, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Sohrab Movahedi | $72 | $48.98 | -20.4% | Aug 28, 2024 |
| UBS | Jill Shea | $67 | $45.46 | -25.9% | Jul 2, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Ebrahim Poonawala | $75.6 | $62.51 | -16.4% | May 19, 2021 |
Track every rating change on BNS the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationThe Bank of Nova Scotia provides various banking products and services in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Peru, Chile, Colombia, the Caribbean and Central America, and internationally. It operates through Canadian Banking, International Banking, Global Wealth Management, and Global Banking and Markets segments. The company offers financial advice and solutions, and banking products, including debit and credit cards, chequing and saving accounts, investments, mortgages, loans, and insurance to individuals; and retail automotive financing solutions. It also provides business banking solutions comprising lending, deposit, cash management, and trade finance solutions to small, medium, and large businesses. In addition, it provides wealth management advice and solutions, including online brokerage, mobile investment, full-service brokerage, trust, private banking, and private investment counsel services; and retail mutual funds, exchange traded funds, liquid alternatives, and institutional funds. The company was founded in 1832 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Historical context
All BNS earningsFinancial Services peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDS FactSet Research Systems Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +3.9% | +3.8% | FactSet reports record FY26 results as AI and MCP adoption accelerate |
| PUK Prudential plc | FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | -40.9% | -0.5% | Prudential sustains growth and capital returns focus in H1 2026 |
| CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +8.9% | -2.8% | CIBC Q3: Broad growth, resilient credit and expanded AI rollout |
| TD The Toronto-Dominion Bank | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +13.8% | +1.4% | TD emphasizes growth investments alongside disciplined capital management |
| RY Royal Bank of Canada | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +6.2% | -1.3% | RBC reports record Q3 earnings while investing for growth |
| AFRM Affirm Holdings, Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +1230.3% | +0.3% | Affirm's most profitable quarter shifts focus to product execution |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- ACNFY2026 Q4 · October 1, 2026+3.5% EPS+15.8% move
- MKCFY2026 Q3 · October 1, 2026+13.9% EPS-4.9% move
- NKEFY2027 Q1 · October 1, 2026+10.0% EPS-0.7% move
- CAGFY2027 Q1 · September 30, 2026+44.4% EPS-4.9% move
- FDSFY2026 Q4 · September 30, 2026+3.9% EPS+3.8% move
- JBLFY2026 Q4 · September 30, 2026+8.1% EPS-10.0% move
Get the BNS recap when the next report posts
One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-06T17:00:43.053445+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-06T17:00:43.050244+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.