Builders FirstSource, Inc. · BLDR · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

BLDR: Lower Guidance, Higher Savings Target Amid Housing Weakness

BLDR's near-term operating evidence is mixed: demand and profitability weakened, while cost actions, share capture, digital tools, and selective M&A provide potential offsets. The lower guidance and ongoing housing and cost risks make execution and demand stabilization central to the forward case.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $6.30B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.17 Consensus $1.25
EPS surprise -6.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.86B Consensus $3.91B
Revenue surprise -1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.6% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -4.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.8% Up to 20 sessions
BLDRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management reported another year-over-year sales decline, lowered full-year guidance again, and increased the cost-action target from $100 million to $115 million. The quarter also added the Precision Design & Trim acquisition and emphasized a $50 million capital-spending reduction.

Guidance delta

Management lowered full-year guidance to $14.0-$14.8 billion of sales and $1.0-$1.2 billion of adjusted EBITDA, from the prior quarter's $14.6-$15.6 billion sales and $1.1-$1.5 billion adjusted EBITDA ranges.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 sales fell 9% year over year to $3.9 billion, while adjusted EBITDA declined 35% to $329 million.
  • Management raised its 2026 cost-action target to $115 million and said $50 million had been realized.
  • M&A and digital tools remain part of the growth strategy, but housing starts, pricing, and input costs remain material constraints.

Management priorities

  • Execute the $115 million cost-action program
  • Advance SAP completion and digital sales and design tools
  • Pursue selective acquisitions to add product depth and geographic reach

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BLDR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.30 Q1 '24 actual $2.65, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.02 Q2 '24 actual $3.50, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.98 Q3 '24 actual $3.07, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.35 Q2 '25 actual $2.38, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.75 Q3 '25 actual $1.88, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.30 Q4 '25 actual $1.12, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.39 Q1 '26 actual $0.27, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.25 Q2 '26 actual $1.17, miss Q3 '26 estimate $1.09 Q4 '26 estimate $1.01 Q1 '27 estimate $0.41
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold43 ratings
Bullish2251.2%
Neutral2046.5%
Bearish12.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$58.52Current
$63Low
$116.11Average
$230High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 11, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 31, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 31, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 28, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainJul 23, 2026
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainJul 23, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 13, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 1, 2026
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainApr 27, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 20, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainApr 13, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 18, 2026
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeDec 15, 2025
Zelman & Assoc Neutral UnderperformUpgradeOct 31, 2025
Wedbush Neutral OutperformDowngradeSep 15, 2025
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 2, 2025
Loop Capital Buy BuyMaintainApr 14, 2025
Cantor Fitzgerald Neutral OverweightDowngradeFeb 21, 2025
B. Riley Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2024
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainJul 12, 2023
BTIG Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 2, 2022
Zelman Sell SellMaintainJul 8, 2021
B. Riley FBR Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 3, 2020
Evercore ISI Group In Line OutperformDowngradeJun 5, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainApr 16, 2020
Buckingham Research Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 7, 2019
Buckingham Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 25, 2019
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainAug 9, 2018
MKM Partners Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 28, 2018
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 10, 2017
B. Riley Buy BuyMaintainNov 10, 2017
Seaport Global Buy BuyMaintainNov 22, 2016
FBR Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 1, 2016
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 8, 2015
William Blair Market Perform OutperformDowngradeMay 6, 2015
Sterne Agee Buy NeutralUpgradeApr 15, 2015
Gabelli & Co. Buy HoldUpgradeApr 28, 2014
Imperial Capital In Line OutperformDowngradeFeb 24, 2014
Williams Capital Buy BuyMaintainSep 28, 2012
Sidoti & Co. Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $58.52. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Stifel NicolausAndrew Carter$65$56.76 +11.1%Sep 18, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$63$58.97 +7.7%Sep 11, 2026
BMO CapitalKetan Mamtora$80$75.86 +36.7%Aug 6, 2026
D.A. DavidsonKurt Yinger$68$66.34 +16.2%Jul 31, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$66$65.71 +12.8%Jul 31, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$88$66.01 +50.4%Jul 31, 2026
Robert W. BairdDavid Manthey$75$66.01 +28.2%Jul 31, 2026
BarclaysMatthew Bouley$81$66.01 +38.4%Jul 31, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$110$70.01 +88.0%Jul 23, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$100$69.38 +70.9%Jul 23, 2026
Stifel NicolausAndrew Carter$70$71.03 +19.6%Jul 23, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$91$75.69 +55.5%Jul 13, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$93$75.58 +58.9%May 5, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$81$75 +38.4%May 4, 2026
Robert W. BairdDavid Manthey$95$79.27 +62.3%May 1, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$115$78.97 +96.5%May 1, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$121$79.29 +106.8%May 1, 2026
KeyBancJeffrey Hammond$100$79.09 +70.9%May 1, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$100$79.09 +70.9%May 1, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$93$79.09 +58.9%May 1, 2026
StephensAnalyst unavailable$100$90.05 +70.9%Apr 27, 2026
Robert W. BairdDavid Manthey$125$114.63 +113.6%Feb 18, 2026
Wells FargoSam Reid$120$128.42 +105.1%Feb 11, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$111$113.92 +89.7%Feb 2, 2026
StephensAnalyst unavailable$137$126.79 +134.1%Jan 20, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$136$126.38 +132.4%Jan 15, 2026
RBC CapitalMike Dahl$111$111.29 +89.7%Jan 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$143$108.22 +144.4%Jan 6, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$110$108.46 +88.0%Dec 15, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$123$110.01 +110.2%Dec 8, 2025
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$115$113.69 +96.5%Nov 3, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$166$111.69 +183.7%Oct 31, 2025
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$135$113.38 +130.7%Oct 31, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$124$111.69 +111.9%Oct 31, 2025
Vertical ResearchAnalyst unavailable$109.41$122.54 +87.0%Oct 20, 2025
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$145$121.25 +147.8%Oct 1, 2025
WedbushJay McCanless$145$140.17 +147.8%Sep 15, 2025
D.A. DavidsonKurt Yinger$125$128.18 +113.6%Aug 4, 2025
OppenheimerTyler Batory$155$135.12 +164.9%Jul 10, 2025
BMO CapitalKetan Mamtora$135$111.86 +130.7%May 5, 2025
Robert W. BairdDavid Manthey$130$114.13 +122.1%May 2, 2025
B.Riley FinancialAlex Rygiel$220$181.47 +275.9%Nov 6, 2024
D.A. DavidsonSteven Chercover$175$181.47 +199.0%Nov 6, 2024
BarclaysMatthew Bouley$211$196.73 +260.6%Oct 9, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsJeffrey Stevenson$230$201.83 +293.0%Sep 20, 2024
OppenheimerTyler Batory$225$195.02 +284.5%Sep 18, 2024
Truist FinancialKeuth Hughes$220$183.3 +275.9%Sep 16, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsJeffrey Stevenson$190$155.73 +224.7%Aug 7, 2024
Robert W. BairdDavid Manthey$190$155.73 +224.7%Aug 7, 2024
OppenheimerTyler Batory$230$167.49 +293.0%Jul 29, 2024
RBC CapitalMike Dahl$206$149.97 +252.0%Jun 6, 2024
Robert W. BairdDavid Manthey$185$162.69 +216.1%May 29, 2024
Stifel NicolausStanley Elliott$217$162.62 +270.8%May 7, 2024
BarclaysMatthew Bouley$240$202.77 +310.1%Apr 4, 2024
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$90$69.16 +53.8%Jan 11, 2023
Robert W. BairdDavid Manthey$100$69.88 +70.9%Aug 16, 2022
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$85$72.11 +45.2%Aug 2, 2022
Truist FinancialKeith Hughes$90$60.42 +53.8%Apr 27, 2022
Benchmark Co.Reuben Garner$125$76.48 +113.6%Dec 8, 2021
WedbushJay McCanless$85$65.4 +45.2%Nov 4, 2021
StephensTrey Grooms$65$49.7 +11.1%Aug 17, 2021
Stifel NicolausStanley Elliott$69$47.29 +17.9%Aug 6, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Builders FirstSource, Inc. engages in the supply and manufacture of building materials, manufactured components, and construction services to professional homebuilders, sub-contractors, remodelers, and consumers. Its products include factory-built roof and floor trusses, wall panels and stairs, vinyl windows, custom millwork and trim, and engineered wood. The company was founded by Kevin P. O'Meara, Donald F. McAleenan and John D. Roach in March 1998 and is headquartered in Irving, TX.

Historical context

All BLDR earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-13T18:12:27.714008+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-04T01:23:15.205020+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T05:00:54.388388+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T05:00:54.385580+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.