Builders FirstSource, Inc. · BLDR · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025
Builders FirstSource raises 2025 guidance as digital tools and M&A advance
The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient profitability, value-added solutions, digital adoption and acquisitions may support growth, while housing weakness, commodity volatility and execution risks remain material offsets.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, guidance sentiment shifted from lowered to raised. The current analysis adds a broader digital and AI rollout, Phase 2 SAP implementation, several acquisitions and continued capacity consolidation as the main operating developments.
Guidance delta
Management modestly raised 2025 guidance to $15.1-$15.4 billion of net sales and $1.625-$1.675 billion of adjusted EBITDA.
Key takeaways
- Management said profitability and free cash flow remained robust despite a soft housing market.
- Value-added products, digital quoting and AI-enabled tools were identified as core growth engines.
- Management highlighted acquisitions, capacity rationalization and SAP implementation as operating priorities.
- The supplied analysis describes a confident tone, while housing demand and affordability remain key constraints.
Management priorities
- Roll out the Paradigm digital platform and AI capabilities.
- Advance Phase 2 of SAP implementation across field operations.
- Pursue targeted bolt-on acquisitions in value-added categories.
- Invest in capacity in key growth markets while continuing disciplined capital allocation.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Sep 11, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Stifel | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Benchmark | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 13, 2026 |
| DA Davidson | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 1, 2026 |
| Stephens & Co. | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Apr 27, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Baird | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Zelman & Assoc | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Wedbush | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 2, 2025 |
| Loop Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Neutral | Overweight | Downgrade | Feb 21, 2025 |
| B. Riley Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 12, 2023 |
| BTIG | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 2, 2022 |
| Zelman | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Jul 8, 2021 |
| B. Riley FBR | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Aug 3, 2020 |
| Evercore ISI Group | In Line | Outperform | Downgrade | Jun 5, 2020 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 16, 2020 |
| Buckingham Research | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 7, 2019 |
| Buckingham | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Feb 25, 2019 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 9, 2018 |
| MKM Partners | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jun 28, 2018 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Nov 10, 2017 |
| B. Riley | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 10, 2017 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 22, 2016 |
| FBR Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jun 1, 2016 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 8, 2015 |
| William Blair | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | May 6, 2015 |
| Sterne Agee | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Apr 15, 2015 |
| Gabelli & Co. | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Apr 28, 2014 |
| Imperial Capital | In Line | Outperform | Downgrade | Feb 24, 2014 |
| Williams Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 28, 2012 |
| Sidoti & Co. | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 20, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $57.53. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stifel Nicolaus | Andrew Carter | $65 | $56.76 | +13.0% | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $63 | $58.97 | +9.5% | Sep 11, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Ketan Mamtora | $80 | $75.86 | +39.1% | Aug 6, 2026 |
| D.A. Davidson | Kurt Yinger | $68 | $66.34 | +18.2% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $66 | $65.71 | +14.7% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $88 | $66.01 | +53.0% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | David Manthey | $75 | $66.01 | +30.4% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Barclays | Matthew Bouley | $81 | $66.01 | +40.8% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $110 | $70.01 | +91.2% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| D.A. Davidson | Analyst unavailable | $100 | $69.38 | +73.8% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Andrew Carter | $70 | $71.03 | +21.7% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $91 | $75.69 | +58.2% | Jul 13, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $93 | $75.58 | +61.7% | May 5, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $81 | $75 | +40.8% | May 4, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | David Manthey | $95 | $79.27 | +65.1% | May 1, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $115 | $78.97 | +99.9% | May 1, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $121 | $79.29 | +110.3% | May 1, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Jeffrey Hammond | $100 | $79.09 | +73.8% | May 1, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $100 | $79.09 | +73.8% | May 1, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $93 | $79.09 | +61.7% | May 1, 2026 |
| Stephens | Analyst unavailable | $100 | $90.05 | +73.8% | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | David Manthey | $125 | $114.63 | +117.3% | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Sam Reid | $120 | $128.42 | +108.6% | Feb 11, 2026 |
| D.A. Davidson | Analyst unavailable | $111 | $113.92 | +92.9% | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Stephens | Analyst unavailable | $137 | $126.79 | +138.1% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $136 | $126.38 | +136.4% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Mike Dahl | $111 | $111.29 | +92.9% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $143 | $108.22 | +148.6% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $110 | $108.46 | +91.2% | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $123 | $110.01 | +113.8% | Dec 8, 2025 |
| D.A. Davidson | Analyst unavailable | $115 | $113.69 | +99.9% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $166 | $111.69 | +188.5% | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $135 | $113.38 | +134.7% | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $124 | $111.69 | +115.5% | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Vertical Research | Analyst unavailable | $109.41 | $122.54 | +90.2% | Oct 20, 2025 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $145 | $121.25 | +152.0% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Wedbush | Jay McCanless | $145 | $140.17 | +152.0% | Sep 15, 2025 |
| D.A. Davidson | Kurt Yinger | $125 | $128.18 | +117.3% | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Oppenheimer | Tyler Batory | $155 | $135.12 | +169.4% | Jul 10, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Ketan Mamtora | $135 | $111.86 | +134.7% | May 5, 2025 |
| Robert W. Baird | David Manthey | $130 | $114.13 | +126.0% | May 2, 2025 |
| B.Riley Financial | Alex Rygiel | $220 | $181.47 | +282.4% | Nov 6, 2024 |
| D.A. Davidson | Steven Chercover | $175 | $181.47 | +204.2% | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Barclays | Matthew Bouley | $211 | $196.73 | +266.8% | Oct 9, 2024 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Jeffrey Stevenson | $230 | $201.83 | +299.8% | Sep 20, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Tyler Batory | $225 | $195.02 | +291.1% | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Keuth Hughes | $220 | $183.3 | +282.4% | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Jeffrey Stevenson | $190 | $155.73 | +230.3% | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | David Manthey | $190 | $155.73 | +230.3% | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Tyler Batory | $230 | $167.49 | +299.8% | Jul 29, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Mike Dahl | $206 | $149.97 | +258.1% | Jun 6, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | David Manthey | $185 | $162.69 | +221.6% | May 29, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Stanley Elliott | $217 | $162.62 | +277.2% | May 7, 2024 |
| Barclays | Matthew Bouley | $240 | $202.77 | +317.2% | Apr 4, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $69.16 | +56.4% | Jan 11, 2023 |
| Robert W. Baird | David Manthey | $100 | $69.88 | +73.8% | Aug 16, 2022 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $72.11 | +47.7% | Aug 2, 2022 |
| Truist Financial | Keith Hughes | $90 | $60.42 | +56.4% | Apr 27, 2022 |
| Benchmark Co. | Reuben Garner | $125 | $76.48 | +117.3% | Dec 8, 2021 |
| Wedbush | Jay McCanless | $85 | $65.4 | +47.7% | Nov 4, 2021 |
| Stephens | Trey Grooms | $65 | $49.7 | +13.0% | Aug 17, 2021 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Stanley Elliott | $69 | $47.29 | +19.9% | Aug 6, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationBuilders FirstSource, Inc. engages in the supply and manufacture of building materials, manufactured components, and construction services to professional homebuilders, sub-contractors, remodelers, and consumers. Its products include factory-built roof and floor trusses, wall panels and stairs, vinyl windows, custom millwork and trim, and engineered wood. The company was founded by Kevin P. O'Meara, Donald F. McAleenan and John D. Roach in March 1998 and is headquartered in Irving, TX.
Historical context
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| HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | 0.0% | -6.2% | Harmony Gold posts record FY2026 while Eva Copper risks remain |
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T11:06:05.214692+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T11:06:05.211606+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.