Builders FirstSource, Inc. · BLDR · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

BLDR: Lower guidance offsets resilient execution in Q2

BLDR's operational discipline, digital adoption, value-added products, and M&A support a longer-term recovery case, but the lowered outlook shows that housing demand, commodity pricing, and margins remain decisive.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $6.05B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.38 Consensus $2.35
EPS surprise +1.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.23B Consensus $3.86B
Revenue surprise +9.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.8% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +1.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +10.2% Up to 20 sessions
BLDRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis points to lower guidance, softer sales, modest sequential margin improvement, continued strong cash generation, and further progress on digital tools and SAP ERP.

Guidance delta

Guidance was lowered as weaker single-family starts and OSB pricing pressure weighed on expectations.

Key takeaways

  • Sales declined amid softer housing starts and commodity deflation.
  • Gross margin improved modestly sequentially while remaining under pressure year over year.
  • Free cash flow supported continued share repurchases and disciplined capital allocation.
  • Digital tools, SAP ERP, value-added solutions, and selective M&A remain central initiatives.

Management priorities

  • Complete the SAP ERP rollout
  • Expand the BFS digital platform
  • Invest in value-added solutions and capacity optimization
  • Pursue selective M&A while maintaining balance-sheet strength

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BLDR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2.54 Q4 '23 actual $3.55, beat Q1 '24 estimate $2.30 Q1 '24 actual $2.65, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.02 Q2 '24 actual $3.50, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.98 Q3 '24 actual $3.07, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.35 Q2 '25 actual $2.38, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.75 Q3 '25 actual $1.88, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.30 Q4 '25 actual $1.12, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.39 Q1 '26 actual $0.27, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.25 Q2 '26 actual $1.17, miss Q3 '26 estimate $1.08 Q4 '26 estimate $1.01 Q1 '27 estimate $0.69
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold44 ratings
Bullish2352.3%
Neutral2045.4%
Bearish12.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$56.25Current
$63Low
$116.01Average
$230High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
StoneX Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 11, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 39 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $56.25. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$85$55.07 +51.1%Oct 1, 2026
Stifel NicolausAndrew Carter$65$56.76 +15.6%Sep 18, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$63$58.97 +12.0%Sep 11, 2026
BMO CapitalKetan Mamtora$80$75.86 +42.2%Aug 6, 2026
D.A. DavidsonKurt Yinger$68$66.34 +20.9%Jul 31, 2026
See 58 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Builders FirstSource, Inc. engages in the supply and manufacture of building materials, manufactured components, and construction services to professional homebuilders, sub-contractors, remodelers, and consumers. Its products include factory-built roof and floor trusses, wall panels and stairs, vinyl windows, custom millwork and trim, and engineered wood. The company was founded by Kevin P. O'Meara, Donald F. McAleenan and John D. Roach in March 1998 and is headquartered in Irving, TX.

Historical context

All BLDR earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 0.0% -6.2% Harmony Gold posts record FY2026 while Eva Copper risks remain

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T18:10:40.694511+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T18:10:40.691333+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.