Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusBuy29 ratings
Bullish1758.6%
Neutral1241.4%
Bearish00.0%
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation · BK · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026
BNY Mellon Q1 FY2026: EPS Beats 15% as AI Scale and Fee Growth Drive Margin Expansion
BNY Mellon's Q1 FY2026 results reinforce the operating-leverage and fee-growth narrative established in the prior quarter, now backed by tangible evidence that AI deployment is converting into productivity gains and new client wins. EPS of $2.25 exceeded the $1.96 consensus by 15%, while revenue of $5.4 billion grew 13% year over year, pushing the pretax margin to 37% and pretax ROE to 29%. Management raised full-year guidance to roughly 6% revenue growth and 10% NII growth, reflecting confidence in fee momentum from securities services, digital-asset custody, and AI-driven efficiency. The stock's 2.2% positive reaction move on 1.9x baseline volume suggests the market endorsed the beat and raised outlook, though deposit-beta sustainability and the ROI pace of AI investment remain open questions for analysts.
Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services
$97.40B market cap
100quality score
Company context
Snapshot as of publicationThe Bank of New York Mellon Corporation provides a range of financial products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through Securities Services, Market and Wealth Services, Investment and Wealth Management, and Other segments. The Securities Services segment offers custody, trust and depositary, accounting, exchange-traded funds, middle-office solutions, transfer agency, services for private equity and real estate funds, foreign exchange, securities lending, liquidity/lending services, and data analytics. This segment also provides trustee, paying agency, fiduciary, escrow and other financial, issuer, and support services for brokers and investors. The Market and Wealth Services segment offers clearing and custody, investment, wealth and retirement solutions, technology and enterprise data management, trading, and prime brokerage services.…
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
$2.25
Consensus $2
EPS surprise
+14.8%
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
$5.41B
Consensus $5.18B
Revenue surprise
+4.4%
Reported versus consensus
Earnings History
Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$137.16Previous close
$48Low
$97.79Average
$149High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of May 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 11, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 17, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | In Line | In Line | Maintain | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jan 14, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 6, 2025 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 16, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 18, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 19, 2022 |
| Piper Sandler | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jun 24, 2022 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 5, 2022 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jul 20, 2021 |
| Buckingham Research | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jan 17, 2020 |
| Raymond James | Strong Buy | Outperform | Upgrade | Dec 28, 2016 |
| CLSA | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 23, 2016 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Aug 5, 2015 |
| Portales Partners | Sector Perform | Underperform | Upgrade | Apr 23, 2015 |
| Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 3, 2013 |
| Nomura | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jan 17, 2013 |
| ISI Group | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jan 17, 2013 |
| Macquarie | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 14, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $137.16. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Street | Analyst unavailable | $87 | $141.91 | -36.6% | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $148 | $135.09 | +7.9% | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $136 | $135.16 | -0.8% | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $139 | $135.88 | +1.3% | Apr 17, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Gerard Cassidy | $142 | $135.77 | +3.5% | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Barclays | Jason Goldberg | $149 | $134.84 | +8.6% | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $136 | $124.8 | -0.8% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $132 | $123.72 | -3.8% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| New Street | David Konrad | $143 | $122.93 | +4.3% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $130 | $122.93 | -5.2% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $122 | $122.93 | -11.1% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $134 | $121.31 | -2.3% | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $143 | $117.04 | +4.3% | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $124 | $114.72 | -9.6% | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $118 | $104.21 | -14.0% | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $119 | $103.52 | -13.2% | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $109 | $106.72 | -20.5% | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $126 | $106.72 | -8.1% | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $120 | $106.72 | -12.5% | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $118 | $106.83 | -14.0% | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $110 | $109.75 | -19.8% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $116 | $109.53 | -15.4% | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | David Smith | $109 | $102.89 | -20.5% | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Betsy Graseck | $93 | $77.67 | -32.2% | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Betsy Graseck | $90 | $76.58 | -34.4% | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $79 | $77.41 | -42.4% | Jan 2, 2025 |
| New Street | Betsy Graseck | $94 | $80.51 | -31.5% | Dec 9, 2024 |
| Seaport Global | Jim Mitchell | $83 | $75.64 | -39.5% | Oct 14, 2024 |
| New Street | Brian Bedell | $82 | $74.15 | -40.2% | Oct 14, 2024 |
| New Street | Jason Goldberg | $86 | $74.15 | -37.3% | Oct 14, 2024 |
| New Street | Vivek Juneja | $77 | $74.15 | -43.9% | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Brian Bedell | $80 | $71.82 | -41.7% | Sep 23, 2024 |
| New Street | Brian Bedell | $80 | $71.82 | -41.7% | Sep 23, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Betsy Graseck | $65 | $64.69 | -52.6% | Jul 15, 2024 |
| UBS | Brennan Hawken | $62 | $61.3 | -54.8% | Jul 11, 2024 |
| New Street | David Konrad | $70 | $59.42 | -49.0% | Jun 27, 2024 |
| Argus Research | Stephen Biggar | $67 | $54.46 | -51.2% | Apr 18, 2024 |
| New Street | Ebrahim Poonawala | $66 | $54 | -51.9% | Apr 17, 2024 |
| New Street | Kenneth Leon | $63 | $54 | -54.1% | Apr 16, 2024 |
| New Street | Brian Bedell | $59 | $56.77 | -57.0% | Apr 5, 2024 |
| Seaport Global | Jim Mitchell | $70 | $57.66 | -49.0% | Apr 4, 2024 |
| New Street | Betsy Graseck | $62 | $56.04 | -54.8% | Jan 30, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $46 | $41.68 | -66.5% | Jul 1, 2022 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $48 | $42 | -65.0% | Jun 24, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Gerard Cassidy | $56 | $43.3 | -59.2% | Apr 25, 2022 |
| New Street | Analyst unavailable | $51.5 | $46.52 | -62.5% | Apr 19, 2022 |
| New Street | Analyst unavailable | $55 | $46.6 | -59.9% | Apr 19, 2022 |
| New Street | Analyst unavailable | $54 | $46.56 | -60.6% | Apr 19, 2022 |
| New Street | Analyst unavailable | $68 | $46.41 | -50.4% | Apr 19, 2022 |
| New Street | Analyst unavailable | $56 | $46.49 | -59.2% | Apr 19, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Keith Horowitz | $50 | $48.07 | -63.5% | Apr 11, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Brian Bedell | $62 | $48.07 | -54.8% | Apr 11, 2022 |
| J.P. Morgan | Vivek Juneja | $59 | $47.76 | -57.0% | Apr 7, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Betsy Graseck | $58 | $49.45 | -57.7% | Apr 2, 2022 |
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $68 | $58.89 | -50.4% | Jan 19, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Ken Usdin | $72 | $62.55 | -47.5% | Jan 18, 2022 |
| KBW | Michael Brown | $70 | $62.43 | -49.0% | Jan 10, 2022 |
| Barclays | Jason Goldberg | $74 | $58.17 | -46.0% | Jan 3, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Keith Horowitz | $70 | $59.02 | -49.0% | Oct 22, 2021 |
| Argus Research | Stephen Biggar | $55 | $48.54 | -59.9% | Jul 20, 2021 |
Track every rating change on BK the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeMarket reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
+2.2%
Event window
SPY move
+0.2%
Same window
Abnormal move
+1.9%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
1.9×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
+0.8%
Up to 20 sessions
BKSPY benchmark
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Try FN2 freeTranscript intelligence
What changed
The prior quarter (Q4 FY2025) established BNY's operating-leverage story with record results and raised medium-term targets (38% pretax margin, 28% ROTCE). Q1 FY2026 intensified that trajectory on several fronts. The AI platform Eliza scaled from 130 digital employees to over 200 production AI solutions, and BNY became the first global bank to deploy an NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD. Digital-asset custody expanded with new PayPal and Morgan Stanley partnerships and selection as financial agent for the US Treasury's Trump accounts program alongside Robinhood. Full-year revenue guidance was raised from approximately 5% to approximately 6% growth, with net interest income guidance set at +10% YoY and expense growth at the top of the 3-4% range. Capex outlook shifted to increasing, with $4 billion in technology infrastructure spending. Capital returns accelerated with $1.4 billion deployed in the quarter and a new $10 billion share-repurchase authorization.
Guidance delta
Management raised full-year FY2026 guidance: revenue growth from approximately 5% to approximately 6% YoY, net interest income growth to +10% YoY, and expense growth at the upper end of the 3-4% range. Capex outlook shifted to increasing with $4 billion in technology infrastructure spending. The prior quarter's medium-term targets (38% pretax margin, 28% ROTCE) remain in place. Capital return policy stays steady at roughly a 100% payout ratio, reinforced by a new $10 billion share-repurchase authorization. Guidance sentiment is raised.
Key takeaways
- EPS of $2.25 beat the $1.96 consensus by 15%; revenue of $5.4 billion exceeded the $5.18 billion estimate by 4.4%.
- Operating margin expanded to 37% with pretax ROE of 29%, driven by fee growth and AI-enabled efficiency gains.
- AI platform now powers 200+ production solutions; BNY is the first global bank to deploy an NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD.
- Full-year guidance raised to approximately 6% revenue growth and +10% NII growth, with expenses at the top of the 3-4% range.
- Notable client wins include PayPal (digital-asset custody), Allianz Global Investors, and the US Treasury's Trump accounts program with Robinhood.
- Capital returns remain strong: $1.4 billion returned in the quarter with a new $10 billion repurchase authorization.
Management priorities
- Scale AI integration end-to-end across front-office and back-office processes via the Eliza platform and NVIDIA SuperPOD infrastructure.
- Expand digital-asset custody and tokenization services for institutional clients, including new PayPal and Morgan Stanley partnerships.
- Grow Wealth Solutions through Pershing and Archer integration and cross-selling from Asset Servicing.
- Sustain capital returns with $1.4 billion deployed in the quarter and a new $10 billion repurchase authorization.
- Invest $4 billion in technology infrastructure to maintain operating leverage and support new product development.
Related earnings events
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-29T03:12:52.264320+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-29T03:12:52.261450+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.