Banco Bradesco S.A. · BBD · FY2023 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2024

Bradesco outlines a five-year plan after a challenging 2023

Bradesco’s medium-term case rests on executing its transformation plan: expanding credit and insurance, improving efficiency and using technology to strengthen risk management. The evidence is mixed: insurance and digital initiatives support the plan, but lowered guidance, higher provisions and execution risks argue for caution.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $42.38B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.06 Consensus $0.08
EPS surprise -25.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $74.39B Consensus —
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -15.5% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -16.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.7% Up to 20 sessions
BBDSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis shifts the focus from a maintained outlook and improving credit quality in the prior quarter to a lowered 2024 outlook after a challenging 2023. Management now emphasizes a five-year transformation, including technology hiring, cloud migration, AI-supported credit models, cost-to-serve reductions and possible Cielo ownership.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment moved from maintained in the prior analysis to lowered in the current analysis, with 2024 characterized as a transition year.

Key takeaways

  • Management described 2023 as challenging, with earnings below expectations and a modest 2024 outlook.
  • The five-year plan targets higher loan market share, better operating efficiency and improved ROE.
  • Insurance was identified as a strong business, while technology hiring, cloud migration and AI-supported credit models are central initiatives.
  • The main test is execution: reducing costs and provisions while restarting retail and SME credit growth.

Management priorities

  • Execute the five-year strategic plan.
  • Increase loan market share through retail and SME credit origination.
  • Hire technology staff, migrate core systems to the cloud and expand AI usage.
  • Reduce operating costs and improve the efficiency ratio.
  • Grow insurance revenue and pursue the Cielo acquisition.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BBD REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $74B, None Q1 '24 estimate $5B Q1 '24 actual $74B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $5B Q2 '24 actual $13B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $6B Q2 '25 actual $6B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6B Q3 '25 actual $6B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $7B Q4 '25 actual $7B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $7B Q1 '26 actual $8B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7B Q2 '26 actual $7B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $8B Q3 '26 actual $8B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $40B Q1 '27 estimate $42B Q2 '27 estimate $42B Q3 '27 estimate $42B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold16 ratings
Bullish637.5%
Neutral956.3%
Bearish16.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$2.89Current
$3.2Low
$3.77Average
$4.2High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
HSBC Hold BuyDowngradeOct 8, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeOct 6, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral SellUpgradeOct 14, 2025
Citigroup Buy NeutralUpgradeMay 28, 2025
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeMay 8, 2025
Show 11 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $2.89. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$4.2$4.24 +45.3%Oct 9, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$3.9$4.34 +34.9%Oct 8, 2026
Goldman SachsTito Labarta$3.2$2.75 +10.7%Aug 19, 2024

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Banco Bradesco S.A., along with its affiliated entities, functions as a prominent financial institution delivering a broad spectrum of banking and financial services. These offerings cater to individual clients, corporate organizations, and various businesses, operating both within Brazil and across international markets. Its operations are structured around two core divisions: Banking and Insurance. Within its Banking division, it facilitates a range of deposit accounts, including checking, savings, and specialized options.…

Historical context

All BBD earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-11T06:39:45.180704+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-26T16:30:40.969267+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-26T16:30:40.966300+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.