The Boeing Company · BA · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Boeing Q2 2026: Backlog Supports Ramp, but Supply Risks Remain

Boeing's record backlog, planned commercial production increases, defense demand and services growth support a constructive operating trajectory. The thesis depends on converting backlog into deliveries and cash flow while containing program charges and managing supply, labor and certification risks.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $156.27B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-0.76 Consensus $-0.34
EPS surprise -123.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $24.56B Consensus $24.26B
Revenue surprise +1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.8% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +4.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.7% Up to 20 sessions
BASPY benchmark

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What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, Boeing's backlog increased from $576 billion to $597 billion, while management added a $1 billion Wichita investment and highlighted a $280 million VC-25B charge. The company also identified SPEEA negotiations and a pending DOJ payment as additional execution and cash-flow considerations.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management remains on track for its 2026 plan and targets $10 billion of free cash flow for 2026.

Key takeaways

  • Production plans call for 47–52 737s per month and 8 787s per month, with higher rate breaks targeted later.
  • The record backlog rose to $597 billion, supporting revenue visibility and the free-cash-flow outlook.
  • A $280 million VC-25B charge and a pending $700 million DOJ payment add pressure while supply-chain and labor risks remain.

Management priorities

  • Raise 737 and 787 production rates while improving supply-chain readiness
  • Advance certification for the 737-7, 737-10 and 777X programs
  • Invest $1 billion in Wichita and recover 787 engine deliveries with GE

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BA EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $-1.63 Q1 '24 actual $-1.13, beat Q2 '24 estimate $-1.95 Q2 '24 actual $-2.90, miss Q3 '24 estimate $-10.35 Q3 '24 actual $-10.44, miss Q2 '25 estimate $-1.40 Q2 '25 actual $-1.24, beat Q3 '25 estimate $-5.16 Q3 '25 actual $-7.47, miss Q4 '25 estimate $-0.44 Q4 '25 actual $9.92, beat Q1 '26 estimate $-0.68 Q1 '26 actual $-0.20, beat Q2 '26 estimate $-0.34 Q2 '26 actual $-0.76, miss Q3 '26 estimate $-0.20 Q4 '26 estimate $0.07 Q1 '27 estimate $0.56
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy55 ratings
Bullish3869.1%
Neutral1221.8%
Bearish59.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$199.93Current
$109Low
$233.69Average
$305High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainSep 21, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2026
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeAug 11, 2026
Tigress Financial Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform UnderperformUpgradeAug 3, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 29, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainMay 18, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainApr 23, 2026
Freedom Broker Buy BuyMaintainFeb 6, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJan 28, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 15, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainNov 12, 2025
Freedom Capital Markets Buy HoldUpgradeNov 3, 2025
Vertical Research Buy HoldUpgradeSep 8, 2025
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2025
Redburn Atlantic Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 27, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainJun 12, 2025
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainApr 24, 2025
TD Securities Buy BuyMaintainApr 24, 2025
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainApr 21, 2025
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainJan 2, 2025
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 24, 2024
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2024
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainAug 1, 2024
Northcoast Research Sell NeutralDowngradeApr 17, 2024
Melius Research Hold BuyDowngradeApr 1, 2024
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 13, 2024
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 27, 2023
Redburn Partners Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 7, 2022
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 7, 2022
Berenberg Hold HoldMaintainJun 15, 2021
Canaccord Genuity Buy HoldUpgradeMar 5, 2021
Redburn Sell NeutralDowngradeDec 17, 2020
Alembic Global Overweight NeutralUpgradeSep 28, 2020
Seaport Global Buy BuyMaintainJun 8, 2020
Buckingham Research Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 5, 2020
Buckingham Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 5, 2020
CFRA Buy HoldUpgradeJan 22, 2020
Longbow Research Underperform UnderperformMaintainJan 7, 2020
Bank of America Neutral NeutralMaintainDec 23, 2019
Citi Buy BuyMaintainOct 24, 2019
Argus Hold BuyDowngradeMar 19, 2019
Societe Generale Buy HoldUpgradeApr 26, 2018
Edward Jones Buy HoldUpgradeFeb 13, 2018
Standpoint Research Sell BuyDowngradeOct 26, 2016
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainFeb 23, 2015
Drexel Hamilton Buy HoldUpgradeMay 22, 2014
CRT Capital Buy BuyMaintainFeb 6, 2014
Oppenheimer Perform OutperformDowngradeNov 20, 2013
Sterne Agee Buy BuyMaintainSep 16, 2013
Imperial Capital In Line In LineMaintainMay 24, 2013
BB&T Capital Buy HoldUpgradeApr 26, 2013
Early Bird Capital Buy BuyMaintainJul 25, 2012
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 25, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $199.93. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$265$200.76 +32.5%Sep 21, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$265$232.79 +32.5%Aug 11, 2026
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$305$234.28 +52.6%Aug 6, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$265$212.4 +32.5%Jul 29, 2026
Robert W. BairdPeter Arment$300$221.56 +50.1%Jul 29, 2026
BTG PactualAnalyst unavailable$260$217.11 +30.0%Jul 14, 2026
Tigress FinancialAnalyst unavailable$295$222.22 +47.6%Apr 29, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$275$233.86 +37.5%Apr 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$250$233.66 +25.0%Apr 23, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$295$233.72 +47.6%Feb 1, 2026
RBC CapitalKen Herbert$275$241.42 +37.5%Jan 28, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$245$240.54 +22.5%Jan 28, 2026
UBSGavin Parsons$285$244.56 +42.5%Jan 28, 2026
Vertical ResearchRobert Stallard$281$244.56 +40.5%Jan 27, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$280$247.24 +40.0%Jan 15, 2026
BernsteinDouglas Harned$298$242.61 +49.1%Jan 15, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$277$230.02 +38.5%Jan 6, 2026
Tigress FinancialAnalyst unavailable$275$216.21 +37.5%Dec 29, 2025
New StreetAnalyst unavailable$257$200.54 +28.5%Dec 9, 2025
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$150$189.63 -25.0%Nov 18, 2025
BernsteinDouglas Harned$267$194.85 +33.5%Nov 14, 2025
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$255$195.21 +27.5%Nov 12, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsSergey Glinyanov$223$201.02 +11.5%Nov 3, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$275$213.58 +37.5%Oct 30, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$255$215.81 +27.5%Sep 30, 2025
Vertical ResearchRobert Stallard$270$230.53 +35.0%Sep 8, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$280$225.84 +40.0%Jul 30, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$255$226.08 +27.5%Jul 29, 2025
RBC CapitalKen Herbert$230$203.75 +15.0%Jun 12, 2025
Morgan StanleyKristine Liwag$200$203.75 +0.0%Jun 12, 2025
Goldman SachsNoah Poponak$212$214 +6.0%Jun 11, 2025
Melius ResearchAnalyst unavailable$204$180.9 +2.0%Mar 24, 2025
Deutsche BankScott Deuschle$215$171.87 +7.5%Jan 2, 2025
BernsteinDouglas Harned$169$152.98 -15.5%Oct 29, 2024
SusquehannaCharles Minervino$200$157.06 +0.0%Oct 24, 2024
Robert W. BairdPeter Arment$200$157.06 +0.0%Oct 24, 2024
Wells FargoMatthew Akers$109$159.88 -45.5%Oct 23, 2024
CitigroupJason Gursky$209$148.99 +4.5%Oct 15, 2024
Deutsche BankScott Deuschle$195$152.89 -2.5%Oct 3, 2024
Wolfe ResearchMyles Walton$210$156.3 +5.0%Sep 24, 2024
Goldman SachsNoah Poponak$202$156.3 +1.0%Sep 24, 2024
JefferiesSheila Kahyaoglu$240$153.29 +20.0%Sep 23, 2024
CitigroupJason Gursky$224$156.77 +12.0%Sep 16, 2024
CFRAStewart Glickman$151$156.77 -24.5%Sep 13, 2024
Wolfe ResearchMyles Walton$215$162.77 +7.5%Sep 13, 2024
Goldman SachsNoah Poponak$232$161.02 +16.0%Sep 3, 2024
Wells FargoMatthew Akers$119$173.74 -40.5%Sep 3, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesRonald Epstein$200$174.96 +0.0%Aug 26, 2024
Seaport GlobalRichard Safran$207$174.73 +3.5%Aug 23, 2024
BernsteinDouglas Harned$207$169.95 +3.5%Aug 5, 2024
UBSGavin Parsons$240$191.42 +20.0%Jun 7, 2024
Robert W. BairdPeter Arment$240$177.61 +20.0%Jun 3, 2024
BarclaysDavid Strauss$190$177.61 -5.0%Jun 3, 2024
BernsteinDouglas Harned$215$177.61 +7.5%Jun 3, 2024
Stifel NicolausBert Subin$230$172.21 +15.0%May 23, 2024
CFRAStewart Glickman$147$172.21 -26.5%May 23, 2024
Wolfe ResearchMyles Walton$220$174.33 +10.0%May 23, 2024
Deutsche BankScott Deuschle$225$162.98 +12.5%Apr 25, 2024
Goldman SachsNoah Poponak$243$164.33 +21.5%Apr 25, 2024
Stifel NicolausBert Subin$240$164.33 +20.0%Apr 24, 2024
Northcoast ResearchChris Olin$140$170.55 -30.0%Apr 17, 2024
RBC CapitalKen Herbert$215$167.82 +7.5%Apr 16, 2024
Morgan StanleyKristine Liwag$180$178.12 -10.0%Apr 10, 2024
Stifel NicolausBert Subin$260$178.12 +30.0%Apr 9, 2024
BernsteinDouglas Harned$240$183.14 +20.0%Apr 8, 2024
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$85$184.92 -57.5%Apr 3, 2024
CFRAAnalyst unavailable$164$191.95 -18.0%Mar 28, 2024
UBSGavin Parsons$250$191.41 +25.0%Mar 25, 2024
Morgan StanleyKristine Liwag$235$191.41 +17.5%Mar 25, 2024
Vertical ResearchRobert Stallard$230$191.41 +15.0%Mar 25, 2024
SusquehannaCharles Minervino$230$187.7 +15.0%Mar 21, 2024
BarclaysDavid Strauss$235$187.7 +17.5%Mar 21, 2024
Deutsche BankScott Deuschle$240$187.7 +20.0%Mar 21, 2024
Wolfe ResearchMyles Walton$260$182.35 +30.0%Mar 13, 2024
RBC CapitalKen Herbert$260$184.24 +30.0%Mar 12, 2024
JefferiesShelia Kahyaoglu$300$184.24 +50.1%Mar 12, 2024
CitigroupJason Gursky$271$200.44 +35.5%Jan 31, 2024
Deutsche BankScott Deuschle$270$217.71 +35.0%Nov 20, 2023
SusquehannaCharles Minervino$270$209.76 +35.0%Sep 13, 2023
Credit SuisseScott Deuschle$220$210.26 +10.0%Apr 10, 2023
RBC CapitalKen Herbert$225$207.09 +12.5%Feb 3, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$240$206.69 +20.0%Jan 11, 2023
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$207$206.69 +3.5%Jan 11, 2023
Morgan StanleyKristine Liwag$220$208.57 +10.0%Jan 10, 2023
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$200$183.74 +0.0%Dec 12, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$218$180.91 +9.0%Dec 8, 2022
RBC CapitalKen Herbert$170$156.75 -15.0%Nov 3, 2022
New StreetSam Boughedda Ahead$175$131.57 -12.5%Oct 11, 2022
Morgan StanleyKristine Liwag$233$127.51 +16.5%Sep 27, 2022
Goldman SachsNoah Poponak$281$169.87 +40.5%Aug 1, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$210$156.09 +5.0%Jul 28, 2022
RBC CapitalKen Herbert$200$144.66 +0.0%Jul 14, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$200$144.18 +0.0%Jul 14, 2022
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$188$143.09 -6.0%Jul 13, 2022
Morgan StanleyKristine Liwag$215$120.7 +7.5%May 22, 2022
SusquehannaCharles Minervino$192$120.7 -4.0%May 21, 2022
Vertical ResearchRobert Stallard$193$127.2 -3.5%May 15, 2022
RBC CapitalKen Herbert$220$148.84 +10.0%May 1, 2022
Robert W. BairdPeter Arment$245$148.84 +22.5%Apr 30, 2022
BernsteinDouglas Harned$216$154.22 +8.0%Apr 29, 2022
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$190$152.22 -5.0%Apr 28, 2022
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$193$152.72 -3.5%Apr 28, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$214$152.47 +7.0%Apr 28, 2022
Cowen & Co.Cai von Rumohr$230$154.46 +15.0%Apr 28, 2022
Vertical ResearchRobert Stallard$198$154.46 -1.0%Apr 27, 2022
Benchmark Co.Josh Sullivan$250$171.05 +25.0%Apr 26, 2022
Morgan StanleyKristine Liwag$230$175.03 +15.0%Apr 11, 2022
Robert W. BairdPeter Arment$306$192.83 +53.1%Mar 20, 2022
Goldman SachsNoah Poponak$307$178.39 +53.6%Mar 10, 2022
JefferiesSheila Kahyaoglu$270$206.45 +35.0%Feb 6, 2022
Argus ResearchJohn Eade$210$200.24 +5.0%Jan 31, 2022
Morgan StanleyKristine Liwag$288$190.57 +44.1%Jan 29, 2022
Wells FargoMatthew Akers$250$189.75 +25.0%Jan 27, 2022
Vertical ResearchRobert Stallard$234$194.27 +17.0%Jan 26, 2022
CitigroupCharles Armitage$238$214.19 +19.0%Jan 20, 2022
BernsteinDouglas Harned$259$225.01 +29.5%Jan 18, 2022
BarclaysDavid E. Strauss$225$211.34 +12.5%Jan 6, 2022
SusquehannaCharles Minervino$243$211.34 +21.5%Jan 6, 2022
Seaport GlobalRichard Safran$298$209.9 +49.1%Nov 22, 2021
Credit SuisseRobert Spingarn$265$217.15 +32.5%Jul 20, 2021
Capital One FinancialJonathan Raviv$240$234.82 +20.0%May 21, 2021
Show less

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Boeing Company is a global aerospace powerhouse specializing in the design, development, manufacture, sale, and comprehensive support of commercial airliners, military aircraft, satellites, missile defense systems, human space flight, and launch technologies, along with related services across the globe. Its operations are organized into four key segments. The Commercial Airplanes division delivers commercial jet aircraft for passenger and cargo transport, alongside essential fleet support services.…

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-28T19:03:59.629822+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-02T01:23:14.593608+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T23:50:54.229473+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T23:50:54.226753+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.