The Boeing Company · BA · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Boeing Q1 2026: EPS Beat, Record Backlogs, Production Ramping

Boeing's Q1 2026 results showed meaningful operational progress: the company beat consensus on both EPS and revenue, with 737 production stabilizing at 42 per month and a clear path to 47 by summer and 52 via the Everett North Line. The defense segment posted a record $86 billion backlog, while commercial backlog reached an all-time high of $576 billion. Free cash flow guidance of $1-3 billion for 2026 was maintained, though Spirit AeroSystems integration is expected to create approximately $1 billion of cash drag this year. Management expressed confidence across all segments, but regional instability from the Iran war, supply-chain bottlenecks (notably 787 seat certification), and certification timelines for key programs remain the principal near-term risks. The stock's 5.5% post-earnings move on 2.6x normal volume reflected a positive market reception, though shares subsequently…

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $166.73B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Boeing Company is a global aerospace powerhouse specializing in the design, development, manufacture, sale, and comprehensive support of commercial airliners, military aircraft, satellites, missile defense systems, human space flight, and launch technologies, along with related services across the globe. Its operations are organized into four key segments. The Commercial Airplanes division delivers commercial jet aircraft for passenger and cargo transport, alongside essential fleet support services.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-0.20 Consensus $-1
EPS surprise +70.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $22.22B Consensus $21.85B
Revenue surprise +1.7% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BA REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $21B Q4 '23 actual $22B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $16B Q1 '24 actual $17B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $17B Q2 '24 actual $17B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $18B Q3 '24 actual $18B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $22B Q2 '25 actual $23B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $22B Q3 '25 actual $23B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $23B Q4 '25 actual $24B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $22B Q1 '26 actual $22B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $24B Q2 '26 actual $25B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $25B Q4 '26 estimate $27B Q1 '27 estimate $27B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy55 ratings
Bullish3869.1%
Neutral1221.8%
Bearish59.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$210.45Current
$109Low
$234.31Average
$305High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeAug 11, 2026
Tigress Financial Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform UnderperformUpgradeAug 3, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 29, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainMay 18, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainApr 23, 2026
Freedom Broker Buy BuyMaintainFeb 6, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $210.45. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$265$232.79 +25.9%Aug 11, 2026
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$305$234.28 +44.9%Aug 6, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$265$212.4 +25.9%Jul 29, 2026
Robert W. BairdPeter Arment$300$221.56 +42.6%Jul 29, 2026
BTG PactualAnalyst unavailable$260$217.11 +23.5%Jul 14, 2026
Tigress FinancialAnalyst unavailable$295$222.22 +40.2%Apr 29, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$275$233.86 +30.7%Apr 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$250$233.66 +18.8%Apr 23, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$295$233.72 +40.2%Feb 1, 2026
RBC CapitalKen Herbert$275$241.42 +30.7%Jan 28, 2026
See 110 more

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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +5.5% Event window
SPY move +1.0% Same window
Abnormal move +4.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.9% Up to 20 sessions
BASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

EPS came in at -$0.20 versus consensus of -$0.68, a 70.8% surprise. Revenue of $22.2B beat the $21.85B estimate by 1.7%. 737 production stabilized at 42 per month with a ramp to 47 planned for summer. Defense backlog reached a record $86B with new contracts across PAC-3, KC-46, and missile systems. Commercial backlog hit an all-time high of $576B. New certification milestones were achieved for the 737-10, 777-9 TIA-4a, and 787-9/10 MTOW increase. Spirit AeroSystems integration is now expected to create approximately $1B of cash drag in 2026. The stock rose 5.5% on the report (2.6x baseline volume) but subsequently drifted down 3.9%.

Guidance delta

Guidance was maintained. The company reaffirmed its 2026 free cash flow target of $1-3 billion and continued debt reduction trajectory with a $20.9B cash position. Capex outlook remains increasing, with approximately $4B planned for 2026 including factory expansions (North Line in Everett, new line in Charleston). Production rate targets are unchanged: 737 MAX to 47 per month this summer, then 52 per month; 787 to 10 per month in 2026; first 777X delivery targeted for 2027.

Key takeaways

  • EPS of -$0.20 beat consensus of -$0.68 by 70.8%; revenue of $22.2B beat by 1.7%
  • 737 production stabilized at 42 per month with planned ramp to 47 this summer and 52 via Everett North Line
  • Defense backlog reached record $86B with new PAC-3, KC-46, and missile-system contracts
  • Commercial backlog at all-time high of $576B, supporting multi-year revenue visibility
  • FCF guidance of $1-3B for 2026 maintained; approximately $1B cash drag expected from Spirit integration
  • Certification milestones achieved for 737-10, 777-9 TIA-4a, and 787-9/10 MTOW increase

Management priorities

  • Ramp 737 production to 47 per month this summer and 52 per month after Everett North Line activation
  • Complete certification of 737-7, 737-10, 777-9, and increased MTOW for 787-9/10
  • Advance MQ-25 unmanned refueler to first flight
  • Expand PAC-3 seeker production and other missile defense programs
  • Execute Singapore Airlines landing-gear exchange contract and expand AI automation in Global Services

Related earnings events

Industrials

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-28T16:41:06.280627+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-28T16:41:06.277828+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.