American Express Company · AXP · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

American Express raises guidance as Platinum refresh gains traction

The supplied analysis supports a constructive near-term operating thesis: premium-card refreshes, travel spending, younger customer acquisition and international growth are supporting revenue and EPS momentum. The key counterweights are retention costs, variable-cost pressure and the need to sustain premium acquisition.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $206.82B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.14 Consensus $4.00
EPS surprise +3.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $18.43B Consensus $18.05B
Revenue surprise +2.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +7.3% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +6.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.0% Up to 20 sessions
AXPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management reported stronger growth, raised full-year revenue and EPS guidance, and provided evidence that the Platinum refresh was driving acquisition and engagement. Credit metrics remained favorable, while retention and margin execution became more important watchpoints.

Guidance delta

Raised full-year guidance to 9–10% revenue growth and $15.20–$15.50 EPS from the prior quarter’s 8–10% revenue growth and $15.00–$15.50 EPS.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 11% year over year to $18.4 billion and EPS rose 19% to $4.14.
  • Refreshed U.S. Consumer and Business Platinum cards reached 3.2 million new cards, with more than 70% fee-paying.
  • Credit performance remained strong, with delinquencies below 2019 levels and declining write-offs.
  • International spend grew 13% on an FX-adjusted basis, while younger customers continued to gain share of spend.

Management priorities

  • Continue the consumer and business card refresh pipeline.
  • Expand digital expense-management tools and the Amex Travel platform.
  • Increase merchant coverage outside the United States.
  • Develop new premium-card tiers and partner benefits.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AXP REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $16B Q4 '23 actual $16B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $16B Q1 '24 actual $18B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $17B Q2 '24 actual $18B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $17B Q3 '24 actual $17B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $18B Q2 '25 actual $18B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $18B Q3 '25 actual $18B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $19B Q4 '25 actual $19B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $19B Q1 '26 actual $19B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $20B Q2 '26 actual $20B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $20B Q4 '26 estimate $21B Q1 '27 estimate $21B Q2 '27 estimate $21B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold57 ratings
Bullish2340.4%
Neutral3052.6%
Bearish47.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$306.33Previous close
$145Low
$270.94Average
$415High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 23, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 12, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 3, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 27, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainJul 27, 2026
Show 52 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $306.33. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSErika Najarian$384$336.25 +25.4%Aug 3, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$382$332.24 +24.7%Jul 27, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$370$331.4 +20.8%Jul 27, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$315$326.17 +2.8%Jul 27, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$329$350.58 +7.4%Jul 13, 2026
See 104 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating globally, American Express Company and its affiliated entities deliver a comprehensive suite of charge and credit payment card solutions, alongside a variety of travel-related offerings. Its business structure is organized into three primary divisions: the Global Consumer Services Group, Global Commercial Services, and Global Merchant and Network Services. Among its core offerings are diverse payment and financing instruments, robust network infrastructure services, tools for managing accounts payable expenses, and comprehensive travel and lifestyle support.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T06:10:58.165885+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T06:10:58.162806+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.