Axon Enterprise, Inc. · AXON · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026
Axon raises growth outlook as AI and counter-drone demand accelerate
Axon’s Q2 evidence supports a constructive growth case: management described accelerating AI and counter-drone demand, strong international bookings, and raised full-year revenue guidance. The durability of that trajectory still depends on converting event- and contract-driven demand into recurring deployments while controlling privacy, component-cost, and supply-chain risks.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior quarter, revenue-growth guidance moved from 30–32% to 32–34%, while adjusted EBITDA margin guidance stayed around 25.5%. The Q2 analysis also highlighted stronger international bookings, quarterly Dedrone revenue above $100 million, and continued rapid AI expansion.
Guidance delta
Management raised full-year revenue-growth guidance to 32–34%; adjusted EBITDA margin guidance remained approximately 25.5%.
Key takeaways
- Q2 revenue reached $904 million, up 35% year over year, while ARR was $1.6 billion and net revenue retention was 126%.
- Management said AI Era Plan growth was approximately 700% year over year and quarterly Dedrone revenue exceeded $100 million.
- International bookings were roughly three times prior-year levels, with strong TASER demand and continued body-camera replacement activity.
- The next phase depends on scaling AI and counter-drone products while managing privacy, component-cost, and supply-chain risks.
Management priorities
- Scale the AI Era Plan and real-time translation internationally.
- Expand Dedrone and counter-drone offerings through partnerships and broader deployments.
- Continue Axon 911 platform expansion, including Prepared and Carbyne integration.
- Strengthen AI data-access monitoring and privacy safeguards.
- Support international sales and the body-camera and TASER replacement cycles.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 3, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Needham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Citizens | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Maintain | Jun 25, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 7, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 8, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 25, 2026 |
| JMP Securities | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Maintain | Sep 29, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Northland Capital Markets | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Craig-Hallum | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Citizens Capital Markets | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Maintain | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Baird | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 10, 2023 |
| Imperial Capital | In Line | In Line | Maintain | May 18, 2020 |
| Ladenburg Thalmann | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 15, 2018 |
| CL King | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 16, 2018 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $456.95. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argus Research | Analyst unavailable | $600 | $506.98 | +31.3% | Sep 3, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Meta Marshall | $640 | $528.41 | +40.1% | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $715 | $561.47 | +56.5% | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $732 | $551.4 | +60.2% | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $688 | $609.49 | +50.6% | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $724 | $565.8 | +58.4% | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Needham | Analyst unavailable | $750 | $597.04 | +64.1% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | James Fish | $674 | $457.33 | +47.5% | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Barclays | Tim Long | $523 | $426.89 | +14.5% | May 8, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $600 | $433.82 | +31.3% | May 7, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $535 | $434.5 | +17.1% | May 7, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $440 | $416.57 | -3.7% | May 7, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $675 | $391.53 | +47.7% | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $625 | $391.53 | +36.8% | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $800 | $523.63 | +75.1% | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Craig-Hallum | Jeremy Hamblin | $820 | $543.47 | +79.5% | Feb 25, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | David Paige | $735 | $543.24 | +60.8% | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | James Fish | $690 | $548.22 | +51.0% | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Northcoast Research | Keith Housum | $742 | $591.16 | +62.4% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Meta Marshall | $713 | $555.06 | +56.0% | Dec 17, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $860 | $554.37 | +88.2% | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | James Fish | $753 | $622.38 | +64.8% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $855 | $867.12 | +87.1% | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Northland Securities | Michael Latimore | $800 | $867.12 | +75.1% | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Needham | Joshua Reilly | $870 | $867.12 | +90.4% | Aug 5, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $840 | $867.12 | +83.8% | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Craig-Hallum | Analyst unavailable | $900 | $867.12 | +97.0% | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Meta Marshall | $885 | $729.62 | +93.7% | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $726 | $506.96 | +58.9% | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Meta Marshall | $700 | $636.39 | +53.2% | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Needham | Joshua Reilly | $525 | $443.98 | +14.9% | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Michael Ng | $441 | $443.98 | -3.5% | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | William Power | $400 | $364.39 | -12.5% | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Craig-Hallum | Jeremy Hamblin | $370 | $315.35 | -19.0% | May 7, 2024 |
| Needham | Joshua Reilly | $400 | $311.27 | -12.5% | Apr 10, 2024 |
| Argus Research | John Staszak | $380 | $306.78 | -16.8% | Mar 13, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Sami Badri | $300 | $225.13 | -34.3% | Apr 11, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $155 | $168.59 | -66.1% | Dec 13, 2022 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationAxon Enterprise, Inc., founded in 1993 and headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona, was previously known as TASER International, Inc. until its rebranding in April 2017. The company specializes in the development, production, and sale of conducted energy devices (CEDs) marketed under its well-known TASER brand, catering to both domestic and international clients. Axon's operations are divided into two primary segments: TASER, and Software and Sensors. In addition to its signature TASER devices, such as the TASER 7, X26P, X2, and consumer models, along with their corresponding cartridges, Axon offers an extensive portfolio of hardware and cloud-based software.…
Historical context
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Latest beats and misses
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-06T02:08:28.331962+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-09T01:23:14.388487+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T15:50:51.973251+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T15:50:51.970482+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.