American Water Works Company, Inc. · AWK · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

American Water reaffirms guidance as capital recovery and M&A progress

American Water's Q2 analysis supports a constructive operating picture: resilient earnings, near-100% capital recovery in recent rate cases, and acquisition progress support the growth framework. The main evidence to monitor is execution across rate cases, merger approvals and the capital program.

Reported After market closeNYSEUtilities $26.59B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.61 Consensus $1.53
EPS surprise +5.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.35B Consensus $1.33B
Revenue surprise +2.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.9% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -2.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.1% Up to 20 sessions
AWKSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the Nexus Water Group systems acquisition was completed ahead of schedule, adding 47,000 customers and 70 employees. Essential Utilities merger approvals progressed in Kentucky, Ohio and Virginia, while management highlighted near-100% capital recovery in three 2026 rate cases.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed full-year EPS guidance and continued to target 2% customer growth.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted earnings grew 8% year over year, while full-year EPS guidance was reaffirmed.
  • Recent rate cases in West Virginia, Maryland and Pennsylvania achieved near-100% capital recovery.
  • The Nexus Water Group systems acquisition closed ahead of schedule, adding 47,000 customers and 70 employees.
  • Management said the Essential Utilities merger remains on track, with a target close by the end of Q1 2027.
  • The company invested $1.8 billion in capital projects and acquisitions in the first half of 2026.

Management priorities

  • Execute the 2026 capital plan and infrastructure upgrades.
  • Continue pursuing acquisitions, including the Essential Utilities merger.
  • Advance rate cases and capital-recovery mechanisms.
  • Maintain affordable rate structures while targeting 2% customer growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AWK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.98 Q1 '24 actual $0.93, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1.46 Q2 '24 actual $1.40, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1.84 Q3 '24 actual $1.77, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1.52 Q2 '25 actual $1.48, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1.88 Q3 '25 actual $1.94, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.26 Q4 '25 actual $1.24, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.09 Q1 '26 actual $1.01, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.53 Q2 '26 actual $1.61, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.08 Q4 '26 estimate $1.45 Q1 '27 estimate $0.84
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold29 ratings
Bullish1344.8%
Neutral1448.3%
Bearish26.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$133.97Current
$124Low
$143.71Average
$181High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 4, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 15, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 8, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 21, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJan 20, 2026
Jefferies Hold UnderperformUpgradeNov 5, 2025
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 14, 2025
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainMay 2, 2025
Seaport Global Buy BuyMaintainApr 11, 2025
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 19, 2024
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainFeb 16, 2023
Janney Montgomery Scott Buy BuyMaintainNov 1, 2022
HSBC Buy HoldUpgradeFeb 23, 2022
Goldman Sachs Neutral BuyDowngradeNov 4, 2021
Atlantic Equities Overweight OverweightMaintainJan 7, 2021
Janney Capital Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 13, 2020
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 6, 2020
Bank of America Underperform NeutralDowngradeJul 15, 2019
Guggenheim Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 2, 2018
Argus Buy BuyMaintainJun 24, 2016
Boenning & Scattergood Neutral OutperformDowngradeJun 6, 2016
Ladenburg Thalmann Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 15, 2015
Brean Capital Buy BuyMaintainNov 7, 2014
Maxim Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 20, 2014
Macquarie Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 20, 2014
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 8, 2014
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 23, 2014
Hilliard Lyons Long Term Buy BuyMaintainJul 11, 2014
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $133.98. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSGregg Orrill$162$140.33 +20.9%Sep 10, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$139$131.3 +3.8%Aug 4, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$130$131.57 -3.0%Jul 15, 2026
UBSGregg Orrill$150$131.79 +12.0%Jul 2, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$140$122.35 +4.5%May 29, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$137$125.56 +2.3%May 7, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$131$133.25 -2.2%Apr 21, 2026
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$124$131.61 -7.4%Apr 20, 2026
UBSGregg Orrill$149$133.04 +11.2%Dec 17, 2025
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$122$132.72 -8.9%Dec 17, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$145$137.99 +8.2%Oct 28, 2025
Wells FargoShahriar Pourreza$142$137.99 +6.0%Oct 27, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$134$145.43 +0.0%Oct 21, 2025
UBSGregg Orrill$155$142.28 +15.7%Nov 19, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$140$140.37 +4.5%Oct 15, 2024
JefferiesJulien Dumoulin-Smith$124$138.89 -7.4%Oct 7, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesRoss Fowler$140$149.08 +4.5%Sep 20, 2024
Wells FargoJonathan Reeder$138$143.67 +3.0%Jul 31, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$131$118.21 -2.2%Mar 21, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$134$116.88 +0.0%Oct 3, 2023
UBSAnalyst unavailable$159$156.84 +18.7%Aug 2, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$152$145.68 +13.5%Jul 18, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$157$148.57 +17.2%Jul 18, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$151$159.46 +12.7%Apr 28, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$156$163.97 +16.4%Apr 19, 2022
Janney MontgomeryMichael Gaugler$181$174.56 +35.1%Aug 4, 2021
GuggenheimShahriar Pourreza$160$173.41 +19.4%Aug 3, 2021
Wolfe ResearchSteve Fleishman$156$150.81 +16.4%May 5, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

American Water Works Company, Inc. operates across the United States, delivering essential water and wastewater solutions via its various subsidiary companies. Its operations extend to around 1,700 communities situated across 14 states, catering to an active customer base of roughly 3.4 million. The firm caters to a broad spectrum of clients. These include individual households, commercial enterprises (such as food and beverage suppliers, property developers, and energy companies), and both public and private fire service customers. Industrial clients, like large-scale manufacturers, mining, and production facilities, also utilize its services. Furthermore, American Water Works supports public authorities, encompassing government facilities, schools, and universities, alongside other utility providers and community water and wastewater infrastructure.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T16:07:24.222363+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-03T01:23:14.877038+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T15:50:55.648156+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T15:50:55.645463+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.