Avery Dennison Corporation · AVY · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Avery Dennison: RFID expansion and margin gains support Q4 outlook

The quarter provides evidence for a constructive operating case: adjusted EPS grew 2% year over year, margins improved in the Materials Group, and food-related Intelligent Labels adoption is expanding. The case remains conditional because general-retail volumes, tariffs, price deflation, and execution of the Walmart rollout remain material uncertainties.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $13.15B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.37 Consensus $2.33
EPS surprise +1.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.22B Consensus $2.22B
Revenue surprise -0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +9.5% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +10.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.9% Up to 20 sessions
AVYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management's tone was more confident and the growth discussion shifted toward a Walmart fresh-grocery RFID partnership, expanding Intelligent Labels capacity, and the completed Taylor Adhesives acquisition. The current analysis also reports improved Materials Group margins and a maintained Q4 outlook, while tariff and consumer-demand risks remain.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained. Management's Q4 outlook calls for 5%–7% sales growth and EPS at or above the prior-year level despite trade-policy headwinds.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 adjusted EPS of $2.37 was up 2% year over year and beat the midpoint of expectations.
  • Intelligent Labels grew about 3% year over year, with food adoption accelerating through Walmart and Kroger collaborations.
  • Management highlighted $454 million of share repurchases, 7% dividend growth, and completion of the Taylor Adhesives acquisition.

Management priorities

  • Roll out Walmart RFID across bakery, meat, and deli over the next 2–3 years.
  • Expand Intelligent Labels in food, apparel, and industrial markets while adding production capacity.
  • Continue high-value product innovation, productivity initiatives, disciplined capital allocation, and bolt-on acquisition activity.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AVY REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2B Q4 '23 actual $2B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, match Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy16 ratings
Bullish1381.3%
Neutral318.7%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$170.78Current
$175Low
$208.36Average
$250High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 15, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 14, 2026
Show 12 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $170.78. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesJohn Dunigan$181$170.34 +6.0%Sep 28, 2026
UBSJoshua Spector$225$171.18 +31.7%Jul 31, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$209$158.98 +22.4%Jul 15, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$175$154.6 +2.5%Jun 4, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$221$163.74 +29.4%Apr 29, 2026
See 31 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Avery Dennison Corporation operates as a materials science and digital identification solutions company in the North America, Europe, the Middle East, North Africa, Asia, and Latin America. It offers pressure-sensitive label materials, which consist of papers, plastic films, and metal foils; performance tapes products, including mechanical fasteners, which are precision-extruded and injection-molded plastic devices; and other pressure-sensitive adhesive-based materials and converted products under the Fasson, JAC, and Avery Dennison brands. The company provides graphics and reflective products that include films and other products for the architectural, commercial sign, digital printing, and other related market segments; durable cast and reflective films to the construction, automotive, and fleet transportation markets; sign shops, commercial printers, and designers for pressure-sensitive materials; reflective films for traffic and safety applications…

Historical context

All AVY earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T22:36:23.712821+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T22:36:23.709899+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.