Broadcom Inc. · AVGO · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q4 2025

Broadcom: AI backlog supports growth, while margins and supply remain risks

Broadcom's earnings support the view that resilient AI and infrastructure-software demand can sustain growth over the next year, but the thesis depends on converting the AI backlog without worsening margin, supply, or customer-concentration risks.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $1666.87B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.95 Consensus $1.87
EPS surprise +4.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $18.02B Consensus $17.47B
Revenue surprise +3.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -11.4% Event window
SPY move -1.1% Same window
Abnormal move -10.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.5% Up to 20 sessions
AVGOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis adds a $73 billion AI backlog to be delivered over 18 months, a 102 Tbps Tomahawk Six switch, and a Singapore advanced-packaging facility. It also makes margin pressure from system-level AI sales and supply constraints more explicit.

Guidance delta

Management maintained guidance; the analysis highlights Q1 2026 revenue guidance of $19.1 billion, up 28% year over year.

Key takeaways

  • AI semiconductor revenue grew 74% year over year to $6.5 billion, driving record FY2025 revenue of $64 billion.
  • Infrastructure software revenue rose 26% year over year, supported by VMware Cloud Foundation adoption.
  • The $73 billion AI backlog is slated for delivery over 18 months.
  • Q1 2026 guidance projects 28% year-over-year revenue growth, with AI revenue expected to double year over year.
  • Management expects gross-margin pressure from system-level AI sales, with operating leverage supporting operating-margin stability.

Management priorities

  • Scale the Singapore advanced-packaging fab for multi-chip XPU solutions.
  • Introduce next-generation AI switches and DSPs.
  • Expand custom accelerator programs with existing and new hyperscaler customers.
  • Continue VMware infrastructure software integration and cross-selling.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AVGO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.10 Q4 '23 actual $1.11, match Q1 '24 estimate $10.37 Q1 '24 actual $1.10, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1.09 Q2 '24 actual $1.10, match Q3 '24 estimate $1.22 Q3 '24 actual $1.24, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.57 Q2 '25 actual $1.58, match Q3 '25 estimate $1.66 Q3 '25 actual $1.69, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.87 Q4 '25 actual $1.95, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.03 Q1 '26 actual $2.05, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.40 Q2 '26 actual $2.44, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.21 Q4 '26 estimate $3.85 Q1 '27 estimate $4.11
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy58 ratings
Bullish5289.7%
Neutral610.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$350.36Current
$61.5Low
$350.57Average
$600High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 4, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainSep 4, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
StoneX Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Show 53 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $350.36. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$460$364.38 +31.3%Sep 9, 2026
D.A. DavidsonGil Luria$350$355.49 -0.1%Sep 4, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$520$344.98 +48.4%Sep 3, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$475$343.45 +35.6%Sep 3, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$600$342.93 +71.3%Sep 3, 2026
See 140 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Broadcom Inc. is a prominent global technology enterprise focused on the innovation, development, and supply of advanced semiconductor solutions and critical infrastructure software. The company's headquarters are situated in San Jose, California, and it maintains a significant team of 19,000 full-time staff. Its operations are segmented into four primary divisions: Wired Infrastructure, Wireless Communications, Enterprise Storage, and Industrial & Other.…

Historical context

All AVGO earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
SNX TD Synnex Corp FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 — -9.8% TD SYNNEX Reaffirms Outlook as AI and Hyve Drive Growth
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T01:50:56.029053+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T01:50:56.026276+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.