Aptiv PLC · APTV · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Aptiv raises guidance as non-auto growth and bookings strengthen

The current analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: record results, $8.4 billion of bookings, raised full-year guidance, and double-digit non-automotive growth strengthen the growth case. That case depends on execution through Q4, successful EDS separation, and resilience to trade, supply-chain, FX, commodity, and customer-specific pressures.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $9.24B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.17 Consensus $1.81
EPS surprise +19.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.21B Consensus $5.10B
Revenue surprise +2.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -4.3% Event window
SPY move -1.1% Same window
Abnormal move -3.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.6% Up to 20 sessions
APTVSPY benchmark

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What changed

Versus the prior quarter, management’s tone moved from cautious to confident, guidance sentiment changed from maintained to raised, and the current analysis emphasized record Q3 results, stronger bookings, and expanding non-automotive markets. The EDS separation remained a central priority, while Q4 disruption and copper, FX, trade, and supply-chain risks stayed prominent.

Guidance delta

Raised: full-year 2025 revenue guidance was increased to $20.3 billion.

Key takeaways

  • Record third-quarter results were attributed to strong vehicle production and non-automotive market growth.
  • Bookings reached $8.4 billion, while full-year 2025 guidance was raised.
  • Non-automotive markets, including energy storage, robotics, and data centers, were described as growing at double-digit rates.
  • Gen 8 radar, Wind River edge-AI partnerships, and high-speed connectors remain key product priorities.
  • Trade tensions, semiconductor constraints, customer disruptions, FX, and copper costs remain material uncertainties.

Management priorities

  • Roll out Gen 8 radar and radar-based parking solutions.
  • Expand Wind River Edge AI partnerships and integrations.
  • Develop an energy-storage program within the EDS portfolio.
  • Finalize the EDS separation in early 2026.
  • Use the November Investor Day to detail growth initiatives across automotive and non-automotive segments.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
APTV EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.29 Q4 '23 actual $1.40, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.04 Q1 '24 actual $1.16, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.42 Q2 '24 actual $1.58, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.68 Q3 '24 actual $1.83, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.79 Q2 '25 actual $2.12, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.81 Q3 '25 actual $2.17, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.82 Q4 '25 actual $1.86, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.62 Q1 '26 actual $1.71, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.42 Q2 '26 actual $1.63, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.33 Q4 '26 estimate $1.63 Q1 '27 estimate $1.48 Q2 '27 estimate $1.67
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy31 ratings
Bullish2064.5%
Neutral1135.5%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$43.64Previous close
$55Low
$110.05Average
$185High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeSep 15, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 10, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 5, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 27 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $43.64. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Argus ResearchBill Selesky$64$48.48 +46.7%Aug 13, 2026
Evercore ISIChris McNally$70$48.62 +60.4%Aug 10, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$65$49.55 +48.9%Aug 10, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$56$47.16 +28.3%Aug 5, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$62$47.43 +42.1%Aug 5, 2026
See 54 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Aptiv PLC, an industrial technology company, provides hardware and software solutions to support automotive and other industries in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and South America. It operates through three segments: Advanced Safety and User Experience, Engineered Components, and Electrical Distribution Systems. The company offers active safety, user experience and smart vehicle compute, and software products for vehicle safety and security, including intelligent sensors, compute platforms, and software tools and services. It also provides connection systems, interconnects, and cable management and protection solutions for the distribution of power, signal, and data. Aptiv PLC was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Schaffhausen, Switzerland.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T08:00:58.500417+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T08:00:58.497360+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.