Aptiv PLC · APTV · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Aptiv pairs strong Q1 execution with cautious production outlook

The supplied analysis supports a balanced view: operating execution, software growth, China local-OEM bookings, cost reduction, and deleveraging strengthen the near-term case, but production uncertainty, tariff risk, and execution demands limit confidence in a durable growth trajectory.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $9.36B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.53
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $4.78B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.2% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -0.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +17.3% Up to 20 sessions
APTVSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, Aptiv's emphasis shifted from a conservative initial outlook to strong Q1 execution with record operating income and EPS, while caution remained around tariffs, second-half production, China EV exposure, and the EDS separation.

Guidance delta

Maintained; no numerical change was supplied in the analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted record first-quarter operating income and EPS, strong cash flow, and continued deleveraging.
  • Advanced Safety, Wind River software, and China local-OEM bookings were identified as growth drivers.
  • Tariffs were described as limited and mitigated, while vehicle production and second-half demand remained key uncertainties.

Management priorities

  • Complete the EDS business separation
  • Expand Advanced Safety, Wind River, and edge-to-cloud offerings
  • Continue cost reduction, deleveraging, and supply-chain localization

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
APTV EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.29 Q4 '23 actual $1.40, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.04 Q1 '24 actual $1.16, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.42 Q2 '24 actual $1.58, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.68 Q3 '24 actual $1.83, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.79 Q2 '25 actual $2.12, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.81 Q3 '25 actual $2.17, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.82 Q4 '25 actual $1.86, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.62 Q1 '26 actual $1.71, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.42 Q2 '26 actual $1.63, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.33 Q4 '26 estimate $1.63 Q1 '27 estimate $1.50 Q2 '27 estimate $1.63
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy31 ratings
Bullish2064.5%
Neutral1135.5%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$43.8Current
$55Low
$107.5Average
$185High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 9, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeSep 15, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 10, 2026
Show 27 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $43.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSJoseph Spak$57$44.72 +30.1%Oct 7, 2026
Goldman SachsMark Delaney$61$43.89 +39.3%Oct 6, 2026
Industrial Alliance SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$61$43.89 +39.3%Oct 6, 2026
Argus ResearchBill Selesky$64$48.48 +46.1%Aug 13, 2026
Evercore ISIChris McNally$70$48.62 +59.8%Aug 10, 2026
See 57 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Aptiv PLC, an industrial technology company, provides hardware and software solutions to support automotive and other industries in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and South America. It operates through three segments: Advanced Safety and User Experience, Engineered Components, and Electrical Distribution Systems. The company offers active safety, user experience and smart vehicle compute, and software products for vehicle safety and security, including intelligent sensors, compute platforms, and software tools and services. It also provides connection systems, interconnects, and cable management and protection solutions for the distribution of power, signal, and data. Aptiv PLC was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Schaffhausen, Switzerland.

Historical context

All APTV earnings

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-17T00:02:52.217204+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-09T21:30:40.178182+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-09T21:30:40.175168+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-09. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.