AppLovin Corporation · APP · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

AppLovin sustains AI-led growth while broadening its advertising platform

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient advertising demand and AXON improvements are supporting growth, while the next phase depends on scaling e-commerce, broadening supply, and converting capacity investment into durable results.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $89.40B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.25 Consensus $0.92
EPS surprise +35.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.20B Consensus $1.13B
Revenue surprise +5.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +46.3% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +45.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 5.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +62.9% Up to 20 sessions
APPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The latest analysis emphasizes stronger reported momentum, a shift toward broader advertising use cases, the planned self-service e-commerce platform, Wurl-related supply expansion, and increased GPU capacity planning. It also highlights a move toward an annual shareholder letter while quarterly guidance continues.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook; the supplied analysis describes Q4 guidance as in line with expectations.

Key takeaways

  • Management attributed continued momentum to AXON improvements and strong gaming advertising demand.
  • E-commerce advertising remains an early initiative, with material contribution dependent on successful scaling.
  • The company is prioritizing organic expansion, additional supply, AI-driven ad creative, and capacity planning.
  • Capital returns remain part of the framework, while management reported no current M&A plans.

Management priorities

  • Scale AXON and continue the AI and GenAI product roadmap.
  • Launch a self-service e-commerce advertising platform and broaden supply through Wurl.
  • Expand Google Cloud GPU capacity and align reporting around the Advertising business.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
APP REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $928M Q4 '23 actual $953M, beat Q1 '24 estimate $974M Q1 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, match Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish2177.8%
Neutral518.5%
Bearish13.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$266.13Current
$14Low
$410.5Average
$810High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 14, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 14, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 13, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 12, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2026
Show 22 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $266.13. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
WedbushMichael Pachter$560$264.4 +110.4%Oct 14, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$400$272.28 +50.3%Oct 14, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$400$272.71 +50.3%Oct 13, 2026
OppenheimerMartin Yang$490$273.25 +84.1%Oct 12, 2026
JefferiesJames Heaney$375$274.83 +40.9%Oct 8, 2026
See 108 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

AppLovin Corporation provides a specialized software platform focused on empowering mobile application developers to enhance the marketing and revenue generation of their products. With operations spanning the United States and international markets, the company assists mobile app developers worldwide. Among its core software offerings is AppDiscovery, a marketing solution that intelligently connects advertiser demand with publisher supply through an auction-based model. Another key product is Adjust, an analytics platform that enables marketers to scale their mobile apps by offering capabilities for performance measurement, campaign optimization, and user data protection. Additionally, MAX is an in-app bidding software engineered to maximize the value derived from an app's advertising inventory by facilitating real-time competitive auctions. Its client base is broad, serving advertisers, publishers, internet platforms, and other stakeholders. Founded in 2011, the enterprise maintains its headquarters in Palo Alto, California.

Historical context

All APP earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T22:40:41.626141+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T22:40:41.623254+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.