Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusBuy28 ratings
Bullish2382.1%
Neutral517.9%
Bearish00.0%
Apollo Global Management, Inc. · APO · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025
Apollo pairs record momentum with funding-cost and flow risks
Apollo's latest transcript supports a constructive operating narrative: origination, inflows, Athene and new distribution initiatives provide multiple growth channels. The case is tempered by funding costs, spread pressure, prepayment uncertainty and reliance on continued capital flows; the supplied data does not include reported EPS or revenue actuals.
Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services
$65.67B market cap
80quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
—
Consensus $1.87
EPS surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
—
Consensus $964.5M
Revenue surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
-1.8%
Event window
SPY move
+1.5%
Same window
Abnormal move
-3.3%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
0.8×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
-3.6%
Up to 20 sessions
APOSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about APO FY2025 Q1
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
What drove APO's -1.8% move after FY2025 Q1 earnings?What changed in APO's guidance and outlook in FY2025 Q1?Give me the bull and bear case for APO after FY2025 Q1 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
Relative to the prior quarter, Apollo shifted from a broad growth framework and modest M&A emphasis to execution around the Bridge Investment Group acquisition, private-credit liquidity products and tokenization. The growth narrative remained confident and guidance was maintained, while funding-cost, spread and flow risks became more explicit.
Guidance delta
Maintained; management continued to indicate mid-single-digit growth for the year.
Key takeaways
- Management described record Q1 momentum, supported by origination, inflows and AUM growth.
- Athene and the broader origination engine remained central to the growth narrative.
- Bridge Investment Group expands Apollo's real-estate capabilities.
- Private-credit liquidity products and tokenization are additional strategic initiatives, not yet established earnings drivers.
Management priorities
- Scale origination across credit, equity, hybrid and secondaries.
- Integrate Bridge Investment Group and expand real-estate capabilities.
- Develop private-credit liquidity products and tokenized investment structures.
- Maintain disciplined capital allocation, including repurchases and targeted investments.
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Try FN2 freeEarnings History
Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$114.02Current
$48Low
$118.88Average
$188High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 2, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 13, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Jul 13, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 18, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 11, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 5, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | May 9, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Oct 9, 2023 |
| JMP Securities | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | May 26, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 19, 2022 |
| CFRA | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 25, 2020 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Feb 7, 2017 |
| Argus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 12, 2016 |
| Keefe Bruyette & Woods | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Aug 4, 2016 |
| PiperJaffray | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jun 3, 2015 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Apr 3, 2014 |
| Sterne Agee | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 6, 2013 |
| Compass Point | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 13, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $114.02. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Fargo | Daniel Welden | $127 | $114.34 | +11.4% | Oct 1, 2026 |
| HSBC | Analyst unavailable | $145 | $120.47 | +27.2% | Jul 20, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Bart Dziarski | $142 | $113.73 | +24.5% | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Alexander Bolstein | $165 | $135.88 | +44.7% | Feb 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Michael Brown | $186 | $149.06 | +63.1% | Dec 11, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Brennan Hawken | $136 | $130.1 | +19.3% | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Alexander Bolstein | $155 | $130.17 | +35.9% | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | John Barnidge | $188 | $184.07 | +64.9% | Dec 9, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Etinenne Ricard | $157 | $147.62 | +37.7% | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Michael Brown | $164 | $163.67 | +43.8% | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $174 | $147.62 | +52.6% | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Brian Bedell | $155 | $147.62 | +35.9% | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Alexander Blostein | $135 | $131.54 | +18.4% | Oct 3, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $150 | $132.01 | +31.6% | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Michael Brown | $148 | $132.01 | +29.8% | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Wolfe Research | Steven Chubak | $139 | $125.13 | +21.9% | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Michael Brown | $132 | $108.67 | +15.8% | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Chris Allen | $135 | $105.58 | +18.4% | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Argus Research | Stephen Biggar | $125 | $111.61 | +9.6% | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Craig Siegenthaler | $123 | $105.04 | +7.9% | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Daniel Fannon | $117 | $113.32 | +2.6% | May 9, 2024 |
| Barclays | Benjamin Budish | $133 | $114.67 | +16.6% | Apr 8, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Etinenne Ricard | $122 | $111.08 | +7.0% | Apr 5, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Brian Bedell | $123 | $111.08 | +7.9% | Apr 5, 2024 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Rufus Hone | $103 | $91.26 | -9.7% | Sep 15, 2023 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $68.24 | -25.5% | Jan 12, 2023 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $74 | $66.52 | -35.1% | Jan 11, 2023 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $78 | $62.51 | -31.6% | Dec 19, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $83 | $64.88 | -27.2% | Nov 15, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Brian Bedell | $91 | $58.2 | -20.2% | Aug 23, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $61 | $60.59 | -46.5% | Aug 15, 2022 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $61 | $57.53 | -46.5% | Aug 8, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $88 | $50.3 | -22.8% | Jul 13, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $66 | $49.16 | -42.1% | Jul 13, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Brian Bedell | $90 | $54.48 | -21.1% | May 22, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Ronald Josey | $50 | $60 | -56.1% | Apr 21, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $81 | $59.52 | -29.0% | Apr 20, 2022 |
| Rosenblatt Securities | Barton Crockett | $48 | $59.44 | -57.9% | Apr 20, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $71 | $58.1 | -37.7% | Apr 19, 2022 |
| Citigroup | William Katz | $87.5 | $57.49 | -23.3% | Apr 16, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Brian Bedell | $95 | $56.87 | -16.7% | Apr 11, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Michael Cyprys | $88 | $61.58 | -22.8% | Mar 17, 2022 |
| BMO Capital | Rufus Hone | $100 | $67.58 | -12.3% | Feb 15, 2022 |
| Argus Research | Stephen Biggar | $90 | $75.34 | -21.1% | Nov 9, 2021 |
| Jefferies | Gerald O'Hara | $80 | $77 | -29.8% | Nov 3, 2021 |
Track every rating change on APO the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationApollo Global Management, Inc. operates as a prominent investment management firm, primarily concentrating its efforts across credit, private equity, and real estate asset classes. Within its private equity division, Apollo engages in a broad spectrum of transactions, ranging from traditional management buyouts, recapitalizations, and distressed acquisitions to corporate carve-outs, growth capital infusions, turnaround financing, bridge loans, strategic acquisitions, and industry consolidation initiatives. This also includes debt investments in real estate and corporate partnerships, along with investments in distressed assets and special situations within the middle market. Its client base is diverse, encompassing sovereign wealth and endowment funds, as well as various other institutional and private investors. The firm constructs and oversees bespoke portfolios for clients and actively manages a suite of investment vehicles, including hedge funds, real estate funds, and private equity funds.…
Historical context
All APO earningsFinancial Services peers this season
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Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- ACNFY2026 Q4 · October 1, 2026+3.5% EPS+15.8% move
- MKCFY2026 Q3 · October 1, 2026+13.9% EPS-4.9% move
- NKEFY2027 Q1 · October 1, 2026+10.0% EPS-0.7% move
- CAGFY2027 Q1 · September 30, 2026+44.4% EPS-4.9% move
- FDSFY2026 Q4 · September 30, 2026+3.9% EPS+3.8% move
- JBLFY2026 Q4 · September 30, 2026+8.1% EPS-10.0% move
Get the APO recap when the next report posts
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-18T00:01:48.469141+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T13:36:08.484822+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T13:36:08.480928+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.