Amphenol Corporation · APH · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Amphenol: AI datacom growth remains central as guidance holds

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Amphenol’s AI-related datacom demand, portfolio expansion and diversified end markets support continued growth, while durability of demand, capex intensity and margin conversion remain the key tests.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $215.89B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.81 Consensus $0.67
EPS surprise +21.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.65B Consensus $5.04B
Revenue surprise +12.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.1% Event window
SPY move +0.9% Same window
Abnormal move -1.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.9% Up to 20 sessions
APHSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis shifts the emphasis from the prior quarter’s raised guidance and acquisition expansion to maintained guidance, continued AI datacom momentum, additional capacity investment and a more explicit focus on durability, capex and book-to-bill risks.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained. The analysis describes continued growth with modest sequential softening, rather than a new upward revision.

Key takeaways

  • AI-driven IT datacom and high-speed interconnect demand remained the main growth engine.
  • Management paired expansion plans and acquisitions with higher capital spending and continued capacity investment.
  • The setup is strong but depends on the durability of AI demand and the ability to sustain margin conversion as growth moderates.

Management priorities

  • Expand IT datacom capacity and high-speed and fiber-optic product development
  • Pursue acquisitions in RF and high-tech interconnect markets
  • Expand global manufacturing capacity across diversified end markets

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
APH EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.37 Q1 '24 actual $0.40, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.41 Q2 '24 actual $0.44, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.45 Q3 '24 actual $0.50, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.67 Q2 '25 actual $0.81, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.79 Q3 '25 actual $0.93, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.93 Q4 '25 actual $0.97, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.94 Q1 '26 actual $1.06, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.18 Q2 '26 actual $1.35, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.72 Q4 '26 estimate $1.31 Q1 '27 estimate $1.26
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold29 ratings
Bullish1655.2%
Neutral1241.4%
Bearish13.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$87.24Current
$42.5Low
$120.14Average
$215High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 9, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 22, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 9, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 8, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 9, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 30, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 30, 2026
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeMar 31, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 10, 2025
TD Securities Hold HoldMaintainMay 1, 2025
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainJun 13, 2024
Credit Suisse Neutral OutperformDowngradeMay 19, 2023
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 28, 2022
Cowen & Co. Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 1, 2022
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJun 10, 2022
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 23, 2020
Cross Research Sell HoldDowngradeJan 21, 2020
Longbow Research Neutral BuyDowngradeJun 17, 2019
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy HoldUpgradeApr 2, 2019
Stifel Nicolaus Hold HoldMaintainJul 26, 2018
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainOct 26, 2017
Bank of America Buy NeutralUpgradeSep 29, 2017
Macquarie Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 4, 2014
Cantor Fitzgerald Hold HoldMaintainSep 19, 2013
Topeka Hold HoldMaintainMay 7, 2012
KeyBanc Hold HoldMaintainApr 10, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $87.24. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSJoseph Spak$105$88.62 +20.4%Oct 7, 2026
Industrial Alliance SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$116$87.27 +33.0%Oct 6, 2026
BernsteinVarun Govindaraj$99$82.84 +13.5%Sep 23, 2026
BarclaysGuy Hardwick$100$82.78 +14.6%Sep 8, 2026
UBSJoseph Spak$197$155.61 +125.8%Jul 30, 2026
BarclaysGuy Hardwick$200$159.06 +129.3%Jul 13, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$185$164.16 +112.1%Jul 9, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$198$138.81 +127.0%Jun 8, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$180$142.3 +106.3%May 4, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$215$146.36 +146.4%Apr 30, 2026
UBSJoseph Spak$178$144.02 +104.0%Apr 30, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$200$148.38 +129.3%Apr 30, 2026
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$177$148.38 +102.9%Apr 30, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$170$145.27 +94.9%Apr 14, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$165$135.18 +89.1%Mar 17, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$210$149.52 +140.7%Jan 29, 2026
BarclaysGuy Hardwick$175$145.96 +100.6%Jan 29, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$165$152.54 +89.1%Jan 20, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$183$146.75 +109.8%Jan 15, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$174$148.97 +99.4%Jan 14, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$182$144.16 +108.6%Jan 13, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$156$140.16 +78.8%Jan 12, 2026
US Capital AdvisorsSteven Fox$165$140.14 +89.1%Jan 9, 2026
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$180$129.61 +106.3%Dec 19, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$147$135.03 +68.5%Oct 23, 2025
UBSJoseph Spak$152$128.93 +74.2%Oct 23, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$154$128.93 +76.5%Oct 23, 2025
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$139$126.25 +59.3%Oct 10, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$120$124.53 +37.6%Oct 7, 2025
UBSJoseph Spak$145$124.2 +66.2%Oct 6, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$139$122.6 +59.3%Sep 29, 2025
Industrial Alliance SecuritiesMark Delaney$115$98.31 +31.8%Jul 11, 2025
UBSJoseph Spak$85$75.16 -2.6%Apr 24, 2025
US Capital AdvisorsSteven Fox$85$74.18 -2.6%Apr 24, 2025
Seaport GlobalScott Graham$80$69.48 -8.3%Oct 24, 2024
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$82$68.47 -6.0%Oct 24, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesWamsi Mohan$74$68.47 -15.2%Oct 23, 2024
Seaport GlobalScott Graham$76$64.24 -12.9%Jul 26, 2024
Stifel NicolausMatthew Sheerin$66$68.69 -24.3%Jun 12, 2024
Evercore ISIAmit Daryanani$75$68.69 -14.0%Jun 12, 2024
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$68.5$66.68 -21.5%May 21, 2024
Evercore ISIAmit Daryanani$75$65.98 -14.0%May 16, 2024
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$68$58.39 -22.1%Apr 25, 2024
UBSChris Snyder$69$58.16 -20.9%Apr 25, 2024
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$62$58.16 -28.9%Apr 25, 2024
Evercore ISIAmit Daryanani$65$58.16 -25.5%Apr 24, 2024
JefferiesSaree Boroditsky$62.5$58.31 -28.4%Apr 9, 2024
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$93$80.19 +6.6%Dec 13, 2022
Goldman SachsMark Delaney$83$65.06 -4.9%Jun 13, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$90$71.28 +3.2%Apr 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$79$68.74 -9.4%Apr 25, 2022
CitigroupJim Suva$100$87.71 +14.6%Dec 29, 2021
J.P. MorganSamik Chatterjee$42.5$41.59 -51.3%Dec 13, 2021
UBSChristopher Snyder$82$68.02 -6.0%Apr 29, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Amphenol Corporation, alongside its numerous subsidiaries, operates globally as a prominent designer, manufacturer, and distributor of electrical, electronic, and fiber optic connectors. Its market reach extends across the United States, China, and various international territories. The company is organized into three primary operational divisions: Harsh Environment Solutions, Communications Solutions, and Interconnect and Sensor Systems. Amphenol's comprehensive product lineup features an extensive array of connectors and integrated connector systems. These include specialized interconnects engineered for demanding conditions (covering data, power, high-speed, fiber optic, and radio frequency applications), in addition to busbars and complete power distribution systems. Beyond these core offerings, the company provides value-added products such as backplane interconnect systems, bespoke cable assemblies and harnesses, and cable management solutions.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-09T20:30:44.424801+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-09T20:30:44.421952+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-09. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.